Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Uganda vs Congo

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations 2025 Nelson Mandela National Stadium, Kampala
2 - 0
Slutt
Vårt Tips

Kamphendelser

19'
Passi B.
21' Event
Kayondo A.
44'
Bytte
Shaban M. Inn: Ssemugabi J.
Ut: Shaban M.

Kampsammendrag

Uganda in this Africa Cup of Nations 2025 tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

50%
Uganda
28%
Uavgjort
22%
Congo
Uavgjort-prognose: 28% Favoritt: Uganda

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

76% / Høy Sikkerhet
  • Uganda have won more games recently than Congo.
  • Uganda are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Uganda have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Uganda, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Uganda have taken 4 of them.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 85%
Over 1.5 Mål 61.5%
Over 2.5 Mål 25%
Over 3.5 Mål 22%
Over 4.5 Mål 10%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 26.4%
Uganda Rent bur 68%
Congo Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Uganda Congo
Kamper Spilt 25 28
Seire 12 3
Uavgjort 3 8
Tap 10 17
Mål Scoret 1.25 0.4
Mål Sluppet Inn 1 1.4
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.25 0.40
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.00 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

19. nov. 2024 Africa Cup of Nations
Congo vs Uganda
0:1
9. sep. 2024 Africa Cup of Nations
Uganda vs Congo
2:0
12. nov. 2017 World Championship
Congo vs Uganda
1:1
12. nov. 2016 World Championship
Uganda vs Congo
1:0
16. juni 2012 Africa Cup of Nations
Uganda vs Congo
4:0

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Uganda Sammenlign

Toppscorer Kayondo A.
1 Mål
Assister Ssemugabi J.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 0.96
Snitt xA / kamp 0.63

Congo Sammenlign

Snitt xG / kamp 0.36
Snitt xA / kamp 0.22

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Uganda 59 / 100
Congo 22 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Uganda Congo

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips UGA Win (1)
Sekundærtips Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Prognose No (NG)
Over/Under Tips Under 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Congo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

Attacking prowess: Uganda scored in 76% of their last 25 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Congo lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Måltrender

Uganda VS Congo
1.25 Mål scoret 0.4
1 Mål sluppet inn 1.4
63% Over 1.5 60%
50% Over 2.5 20%
25% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Uganda

(Home)
30 Dec
Uganda
1 : 3
Nigeria
27 Dec
Uganda
1 : 1
Tanzania
23 Dec
Tunisia
3 : 1
Uganda
18 Nov
Morocco
4 : 0
Uganda
14 Nov
Uganda
2 : 1
Chad
Page 1 of 5

Congo

(Away)
14 Oct
Morocco
1 : 0
Congo
08 Oct
Niger
3 : 1
Congo
05 Sept
Congo
1 : 1
Tanzania
19 Aug
Nigeria
2 : 0
Congo
12 Aug
Senegal
1 : 1
Congo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Comoros 6 3 3 0 7:4 12
2 Tunisia 6 3 1 2 7:6 10
3 Gambia 6 2 2 2 6:6 8
4 Madagascar 6 0 2 4 4:8 2
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco 6 6 0 0 26:2 18
2 Gabon 6 3 1 2 7:9 10
3 Lesotho 6 1 1 4 2:13 4
4 Central Africa 6 1 0 5 3:14 3
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Egypt 6 4 2 0 12:2 14
2 Botswana 6 2 2 2 4:7 8
3 Mauritania 6 2 1 3 3:6 7
4 Cape Verde 6 1 1 4 3:7 4
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nigeria 6 3 2 1 9:3 11
2 Benin 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
3 Rwanda 6 2 2 2 5:7 8
4 Libya 6 1 2 3 3:7 5
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Algeria 6 5 1 0 16:2 16
2 Equatorial Guinea 6 2 2 2 5:8 8
3 Togo 6 1 2 3 7:10 5
4 Liberia 6 1 1 4 4:12 4
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Angola 6 4 2 0 7:2 14
2 Sudan 6 2 2 2 4:6 8
3 Niger 6 2 1 3 7:6 7
4 Ghana 6 0 3 3 3:7 3
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zambia 6 4 1 1 7:4 13
2 Ivory Coast 6 4 0 2 12:3 12
3 Sierra Leone 6 1 2 3 5:10 5
4 Chad 6 0 3 3 1:8 3
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 D.R. Congo 6 4 0 2 7:3 12
2 Tanzania 6 3 1 2 5:4 10
3 Guinea 6 3 0 3 9:5 9
4 Ethiopia 6 1 1 4 3:12 4
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mali 6 4 2 0 10:1 14
2 Mozambique 6 3 2 1 9:5 11
3 Guinea Bissau 6 1 2 3 4:6 5
4 Eswatini 6 0 2 4 2:13 2
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cameroon 6 4 2 0 8:2 14
2 Zimbabwe 6 2 3 1 6:4 9
3 Kenya 6 1 3 2 4:7 6
4 Namibia 6 0 2 4 2:7 2
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Africa 6 4 2 0 16:5 14
2 Uganda 6 4 1 1 8:5 13
3 Congo 6 1 1 4 4:12 4
4 South Sudan 6 1 0 5 6:12 3
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Senegal 6 5 1 0 10:1 16
2 Burkina Faso 6 3 1 2 10:7 10
3 Burundi 6 1 1 4 4:11 4
4 Malawi 6 1 1 4 6:11 4
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)