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Ulsan Citizen vs Changwon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South Korea South Korea

K3 League Ulsan Complex Stadium, Ulsan
søn. 1. nov. 2026
VS
05:00 a.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Ulsan Citizen host Changwon in the K3 League. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Ulsan Citizen have averaged 1.06 scored and 1.1 conceded recently, against Changwon's 1.33 scored and 1.3 conceded. Past meetings favor Changwon slightly — 0-5-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 23. mai 2026, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.75 vs 1.19, favoring Changwon. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

80%
Ulsan Citizen
11%
Uavgjort
9%
Changwon
Uavgjort-prognose: 11% Favoritt: Ulsan Citizen

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

93% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • Form's been kind to Ulsan Citizen lately — more wins on the board than Changwon.
  • Model gives Ulsan Citizen a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
  • Changwon have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 25.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 11%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 71%
Ulsan Citizen Rent bur 20%
Changwon Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Ulsan Citizen Changwon
Kamper Spilt 31 30
Seire 12 11
Uavgjort 4 9
Tap 15 10
Mål Scoret 1.06 1.33
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.1 1.3
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.75 1.19
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

23. mai 2026 K3 League
Changwon vs Ulsan Citizen
2:0
23. aug. 2025 K3 League
Ulsan Citizen vs Changwon
0:1
27. apr. 2025 K3 League
Changwon vs Ulsan Citizen
2:1
7. sep. 2024 K3 League
Changwon vs Ulsan Citizen
1:0
11. mai 2024 K3 League
Ulsan Citizen vs Changwon
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Ulsan Citizen 76 / 100
Changwon 10 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Ulsan Citizen Changwon

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Ulsan Citizen Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Ulsan Citizen scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Changwon has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Changwon lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Måltrender

Ulsan Citizen VS Changwon
1.25 Mål scoret 1.25
1.13 Mål sluppet inn 2.25
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ulsan Citizen

(Home)
09 Oct
Yangpyeong
2 : 1
Ulsan Citizen
03 Oct
Ulsan Citizen
1 : 2
Siheung Citizen
11 Sept
Daejeon Korail
0 : 1
Ulsan Citizen
05 Sept
Ulsan Citizen
1 : 2
Gyeongju KHNP
30 Aug
Ulsan Citizen
2 : 1
Busan Kyotong
Page 1 of 7

Changwon

(Away)
10 Oct
Changwon
1 : 3
Pocheon
03 Oct
Changwon
2 : 1
Yangpyeong
20 Sept
Gyeongju KHNP
2 : 1
Changwon
13 Sept
Siheung Citizen
3 : 1
Changwon
05 Sept
Changwon
0 : 1
Daejeon Korail
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Siheung Citizen 23 17 4 2 37:20 55
2 Pocheon 24 14 7 3 41:20 49
3 Daejeon Korail 24 12 5 7 33:19 41
4 Busan Kyotong 24 11 7 6 42:30 40
5 Gyeongju KHNP 23 9 8 6 35:31 35
6 Dangjin Citizen 24 10 4 10 47:39 34
7 Chuncheon 24 9 6 9 42:37 33
8 Changwon 24 7 8 9 27:31 29
9 Ulsan Citizen 24 8 4 12 25:28 28
10 Yeoju Citizen 24 7 7 10 27:31 28
11 Gangneung 23 7 6 10 21:32 27
12 Mokpo 23 5 9 9 22:36 24
13 Yangpyeong 24 4 8 12 30:46 20
14 Jeonbuk 2 24 1 7 16 25:54 10
Relegation - K3 League (Relegation)