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Unterrath vs SW Essen

World World

Club Friendly 2020
ons. 19. aug. 2020
VS
05:00 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

This Club Friendly 2020 encounter between Unterrath and SW Essen promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Unterrath averages 1.5 goals scored and 2.2 conceded in recent matches. SW Essen shows a form average of 1.9 goals scored and 1.9 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 0 wins for Unterrath, 0 wins for SW Essen, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 19.08.20 ended in a 0:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.35 for Unterrath and 1.24 for SW Essen, suggesting the primary value lies in the SW Essen double chance or over markets.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

32%
Unterrath
19%
Uavgjort
49%
SW Essen
Uavgjort-prognose: 19% Favoritt: SW Essen

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

77% / Høy Sikkerhet
  • Unterrath har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med SW Essen.
  • Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (1.35 vs 1.24 xG).
  • Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for bortelaget.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 59%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 78%
Over 2.5 Mål 59%
Over 3.5 Mål 35%
Over 4.5 Mål 18%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 59%
Unterrath Rent bur 19%
SW Essen Rent bur 10%
Mål 1. omgang 70%
Mål 2. omgang 74%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Unterrath SW Essen
Kamper Spilt 6 34
Seire 2 12
Uavgjort 1 6
Tap 3 16
Mål Scoret 1.5 1.88
Mål Sluppet Inn 2.17 1.88

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

19.08.20 Club Friendly
Unterrath vs SW Essen
0:0

Taktisk Profil

Posisjonering og Kontrollstil

Unterrath

Pressintensitet Medium blokk
Angrepsstil Hurtige kontringer
Flügelspill-Frekvens Mye innlegg
Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

SW Essen

Pressintensitet Medium blokk
Angrepsstil Hurtige kontringer
Flügelspill-Frekvens Mye innlegg
Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Unterrath 33 / 100
SW Essen 46 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Unterrath SW Essen

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Double Chance: SW Essen or Draw (X2)
Sekundærtips Under 3.5 Goals
Halvtidstips Draw (HT)
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Value Bet Finder (+EV)

Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +33.4%
4.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.5%
1.89
*EV represents Erventet verdi. Positiv edge betyr at bookmakerne priser spillet for lavt.

Erventet Kampforløp

Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker

0' - 15' Dominansindeks

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Unterrath 35%
SW Essen 39%
15' - 30' Dominansindeks

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Unterrath 30%
SW Essen 51%
30' - 45' Dominansindeks

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Unterrath 32%
SW Essen 49%
45' - 60' Dominansindeks

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Unterrath 34%
SW Essen 47%
60' - 75' Dominansindeks

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Unterrath 29%
SW Essen 54%
75' - 90' Dominansindeks

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Unterrath 37%
SW Essen 56%

Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd

Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk

Unterrath angriper → ← angriper SW Essen

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Unterrath have found the net in 67% of their last 6 matches.

SW Essen have conceded at least one goal in 79% of their last 34 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 0.00 goals per match.

Unterrath remained undefeated in 3 of their last 5 overall matchups.

SW Essen suffered defeat in 5 of their last 5 overall games.

Risikoanalyse

Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter

Risikonivå: Moderat
Risikofaktor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risikofaktor

Friendly match context where both Unterrath and SW Essen will focus on tactical prep rather than league table pressure.

Risikofaktor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Teamvergleich

Statistikk-sammenligning

7 Poeng siste 5 42
0.00 Forventede mål (xG) 1.38
0.00 Forventede mål sluppet inn (xGA) 1.50