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Valencia U19 vs Juventus U19

Europe Europe

UEFA Youth League 2018/2019 Estadio Antonio Puchades
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

This UEFA Youth League 2018/2019 encounter between Valencia U19 and Juventus U19 promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Valencia U19 averages 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded in recent matches. Juventus U19 shows a form average of 1.3 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 0 wins for Valencia U19, 2 wins for Juventus U19, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 27.11.18 ended in a 3:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.23 for Valencia U19 and 1.11 for Juventus U19, suggesting the primary value lies in the Juventus U19 double chance or over markets.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

30%
Valencia U19
24%
Uavgjort
46%
Juventus U19
Uavgjort-prognose: 24% Favoritt: Juventus U19

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

76% / Høy Sikkerhet
  • Valencia U19 har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Juventus U19.
  • Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (1.23 vs 1.11 xG).
  • Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for bortelaget.
  • Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 66%
Over 2.5 Mål 50%
Over 3.5 Mål 30%
Over 4.5 Mål 15%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 46%
Valencia U19 Rent bur 21%
Juventus U19 Rent bur 12%
Mål 1. omgang 59%
Mål 2. omgang 63%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Valencia U19 Juventus U19
Kamper Spilt 22 32
Seire 6 10
Uavgjort 4 9
Tap 12 13
Mål Scoret 1.45 1.25
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.77 1.19

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

27.11.18 UEFA Youth League
Juventus U19 vs Valencia U19
3:0
19.09.18 UEFA Youth League
Valencia U19 vs Juventus U19
0:1

Taktisk Profil

Posisjonering og Kontrollstil

Valencia U19

Pressintensitet Medium blokk
Angrepsstil Hurtige kontringer
Flügelspill-Frekvens Mye innlegg
Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Juventus U19

Pressintensitet Medium blokk
Angrepsstil Hurtige kontringer
Flügelspill-Frekvens Mye innlegg
Forsvarsoppstilling Ligge dypt
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Valencia U19 Sammenlign

Toppscorer N/A
0 Mål
Assister N/A
0 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 0
Snitt xA / kamp 0

Juventus U19 Sammenlign

Toppscorer Petrelli E.
1 Mål
Assister N/A
0 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 1.03
Snitt xA / kamp 0.63

Skadesituasjon

No availability alerts or suspensions reported for this fixture.

Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Valencia U19 31 / 100
Juventus U19 44 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Valencia U19 Juventus U19

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Double Chance: Juventus U19 or Draw (X2)
Sekundærtips Under 3.5 Goals
Halvtidstips Draw (HT)
BTTS Prognose No (NG)
Over/Under Tips Under 2.5

Value Bet Finder (+EV)

Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.5%
2.27
*EV represents Erventet verdi. Positiv edge betyr at bookmakerne priser spillet for lavt.

Erventet Kampforløp

Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker

0' - 15' Dominansindeks

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Valencia U19 33%
Juventus U19 37%
15' - 30' Dominansindeks

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Valencia U19 29%
Juventus U19 48%
30' - 45' Dominansindeks

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Valencia U19 30%
Juventus U19 46%
45' - 60' Dominansindeks

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Valencia U19 32%
Juventus U19 44%
60' - 75' Dominansindeks

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Valencia U19 27%
Juventus U19 51%
75' - 90' Dominansindeks

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Valencia U19 35%
Juventus U19 53%

Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd

Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk

Valencia U19 angriper → ← angriper Juventus U19

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Valencia U19 have found the net in 73% of their last 22 matches.

Juventus U19 have conceded at least one goal in 69% of their last 32 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 2.00 goals per match.

Valencia U19 remained undefeated in 2 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Juventus U19 suffered defeat in 2 of their last 5 overall games.

Risikoanalyse

Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter

Risikonivå: Moderat
Risikofaktor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risikofaktor

Continental tournament fixture. Elite European competition dynamics apply, with massive stakes for both clubs.

Risikofaktor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Teamvergleich

Statistikk-sammenligning

22 Poeng siste 5 39
0.00 Forventede mål (xG) 1.13
0.00 Forventede mål sluppet inn (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Atl. Madrid U19640215:812
2Monaco U1963129:910
3Club Brugge U19621310:117
4Dortmund U1961237:135
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1Barcelona U1963218:611
2Tottenham U19623110:89
3Inter U19621310:97
4PSV U1961236:115
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1Liverpool U19641117:713
2PSG U19641113:1013
3Napoli U1961329:156
4Crvena zvezda U1960156:131
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1FC Porto U19641113:513
2Lokomotiv Moscow U1963128:510
3Galatasaray U1963128:610
4Schalke U1960152:151
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Ajax U19632123:811
2Benfica U19632114:911
3Bayern U19632112:811
4AEK U1960062:260
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Hoffenheim U19632115:1011
2Lyon U19632113:811
3Manchester City U19621310:147
4Shakhtar U1960335:113
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Real Madrid U19660020:718
2AS Roma U19630314:179
3Plzen U19612311:145
4CSKA Moscow U1960246:132
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Manchester United U19651020:716
2Juventus U19631211:1110
3Young Boys U19621312:157
4Valencia U1960154:141