Sport Picks
Kampsammendrag
Valencia W enters this Primera Division Women 2011/2012 fixture as the clear favorite, carrying a strong win probability of 64%. Valencia W averages 1.4 goals scored and 0.7 conceded in recent matches. Reocin W shows a form average of 0.7 goals scored and 3.8 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 2 wins for Valencia W, 1 wins for Reocin W, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 19.02.12 ended in a 4:1 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.35 for Valencia W and 0.75 for Reocin W, suggesting the primary value lies in the Valencia W double chance or over markets.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
- Valencia W har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Reocin W.
- Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (1.35 vs 0.75 xG).
- Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for hjemmelaget.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 65%).
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Valencia W | Reocin W |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 31 | 30 |
| Seire | 13 | 1 |
| Uavgjort | 13 | 2 |
| Tap | 5 | 27 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.35 | 0.73 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 0.74 | 3.8 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
Taktisk Profil
Posisjonering og Kontrollstil
Valencia W
Reocin W
Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Value Bet Finder (+EV)
Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne
Erventet Kampforløp
Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker
Valencia W is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.
Reocin W will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of Valencia W's attacks.
Expect Valencia W to create chances through sustained possession before the break.
Tactical adjustments at half-time will see Valencia W vary their attacking width.
Fatigue may set in for Reocin W, allowing Valencia W's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.
Expect a final offensive push from Valencia W, while Reocin W takes risks to salvage a result.
Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd
Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Valencia W have found the net in 68% of their last 31 matches.
Reocin W have conceded at least one goal in 100% of their last 30 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 5.00 goals per match.
Valencia W remained undefeated in 5 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Reocin W suffered defeat in 4 of their last 5 overall games.
Risikoanalyse
Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Teamvergleich
Statistikk-sammenligning
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona W | 34 | 31 | 1 | 2 | 119:19 | 94 |
| 2 | Athletic Bilbao W | 34 | 29 | 4 | 1 | 118:25 | 91 |
| 3 | Espanyol W | 34 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 117:38 | 76 |
| 4 | Rayo Vallecano W | 34 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 90:44 | 70 |
| 5 | Levante W | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 63:27 | 68 |
| 6 | Atl. Madrid W | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 83:41 | 65 |
| 7 | Real Sociedad W | 34 | 19 | 5 | 10 | 58:35 | 62 |
| 8 | Huelva W | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 51:48 | 56 |
| 9 | Zaragoza CFF W | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 72:75 | 47 |
| 10 | San Gabriel W | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 55:66 | 37 |
| 11 | Llanos Olivenza W | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 39:66 | 35 |
| 12 | Collerense W | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 54:91 | 33 |
| 13 | Lagunak W | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 33:70 | 31 |
| 14 | Valencia W | 34 | 10 | 1 | 23 | 37:83 | 31 |
| 15 | Estartit W | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 35:74 | 29 |
| 16 | Malaga W | 34 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 35:91 | 23 |
| 17 | FVPR El Olivo W | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 42:112 | 19 |
| 18 | Reocin W | 34 | 2 | 3 | 29 | 30:126 | 9 |