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Stadium Background

Vancouver Whitecaps vs Cleveland

USA USA

USL First Division 2009
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

This USL First Division 2009 encounter between Vancouver Whitecaps and Cleveland promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Vancouver Whitecaps averages 1.9 goals scored and 1.1 conceded in recent matches. Cleveland shows a form average of 1.0 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 1 wins for Vancouver Whitecaps, 0 wins for Cleveland, and 2 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 19.09.09 ended in a 2:1 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.67 for Vancouver Whitecaps and 0.88 for Cleveland, suggesting the primary value lies in the Vancouver Whitecaps double chance or over markets.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

47%
Vancouver Whitecaps
33%
Uavgjort
20%
Cleveland
Uavgjort-prognose: 33% Favoritt: Vancouver Whitecaps

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

82% / Høy Sikkerhet
  • Vancouver Whitecaps har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Cleveland.
  • Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (1.67 vs 0.88 xG).
  • Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for hjemmelaget.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 64%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 90%
Over 1.5 Mål 77%
Over 2.5 Mål 64%
Over 3.5 Mål 38%
Over 4.5 Mål 19%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 55%
Vancouver Whitecaps Rent bur 25%
Cleveland Rent bur 10%
Mål 1. omgang 69%
Mål 2. omgang 73%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Vancouver Whitecaps Cleveland
Kamper Spilt 33 30
Seire 19 7
Uavgjort 6 6
Tap 8 17
Mål Scoret 1.85 1.03
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.06 1.63

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

19.09.09 USL First Division
Vancouver Whitecaps vs Cleveland
2:1
01.08.09 USL First Division
Cleveland vs Vancouver Whitecaps
0:0
23.06.09 USL First Division
Cleveland vs Vancouver Whitecaps
2:2

Taktisk Profil

Posisjonering og Kontrollstil

Vancouver Whitecaps

Pressintensitet Aggressivt press (PPDA < 9.5)
Angrepsstil Holde på ballen
Flügelspill-Frekvens Mye innlegg
Forsvarsoppstilling Ligge dypt
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Cleveland

Pressintensitet Medium blokk
Angrepsstil Hurtige kontringer
Flügelspill-Frekvens Spill gjennom midten
Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Vancouver Whitecaps 47 / 100
Cleveland 20 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Vancouver Whitecaps Cleveland

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Double Chance: Vancouver Whitecaps or Draw (1X)
Sekundærtips Under 3.5 Goals
Halvtidstips Home Win (HT)
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Value Bet Finder (+EV)

Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20.3%
2.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.1%
1.72
*EV represents Erventet verdi. Positiv edge betyr at bookmakerne priser spillet for lavt.

Erventet Kampforløp

Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker

0' - 15' Dominansindeks

Vancouver Whitecaps is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.

Vancouver Whitecaps 52%
Cleveland 16%
15' - 30' Dominansindeks

Cleveland will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of Vancouver Whitecaps's attacks.

Vancouver Whitecaps 45%
Cleveland 21%
30' - 45' Dominansindeks

Expect Vancouver Whitecaps to create chances through sustained possession before the break.

Vancouver Whitecaps 47%
Cleveland 20%
45' - 60' Dominansindeks

Tactical adjustments at half-time will see Vancouver Whitecaps vary their attacking width.

Vancouver Whitecaps 49%
Cleveland 19%
60' - 75' Dominansindeks

Fatigue may set in for Cleveland, allowing Vancouver Whitecaps's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.

Vancouver Whitecaps 42%
Cleveland 22%
75' - 90' Dominansindeks

Expect a final offensive push from Vancouver Whitecaps, while Cleveland takes risks to salvage a result.

Vancouver Whitecaps 54%
Cleveland 23%

Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd

Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk

Vancouver Whitecaps angriper → ← angriper Cleveland

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Vancouver Whitecaps have found the net in 82% of their last 33 matches.

Cleveland have conceded at least one goal in 73% of their last 30 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 2.33 goals per match.

Vancouver Whitecaps remained undefeated in 4 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Cleveland suffered defeat in 3 of their last 5 overall games.

Risikoanalyse

Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter

Risikonivå: Lav
Risikofaktor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risikofaktor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risikofaktor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Teamvergleich

Statistikk-sammenligning

63 Poeng siste 5 27
2.13 Forventede mål (xG) 0.00
0.75 Forventede mål sluppet inn (xGA) 0.00