Sport Picks
Varzim W vs Ouriense W
Portugal
Liga BPI Women 2021/2022 Estádio do Varzim SC 
Kampsammendrag
Ouriense W is highly favored to claim all three points on their visit to Varzim W, backed by a win probability of 56%. Varzim W averages 0.9 goals scored and 2.4 conceded in recent matches. Ouriense W shows a form average of 1.0 goals scored and 2.2 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 0 wins for Varzim W, 2 wins for Ouriense W, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 20.03.22 ended in a 0:2 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 2.42 for Varzim W and 0.80 for Ouriense W, suggesting the primary value lies in the Ouriense W double chance or over markets.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
- Varzim W har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Ouriense W.
- Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (2.42 vs 0.80 xG).
- Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for bortelaget.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 62%).
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Varzim W | Ouriense W |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 23 | 38 |
| Seire | 4 | 11 |
| Uavgjort | 4 | 5 |
| Tap | 15 | 22 |
| Mål Scoret | 0.91 | 1 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 2.39 | 2.16 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
Taktisk Profil
Posisjonering og Kontrollstil
Varzim W
Ouriense W
Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Value Bet Finder (+EV)
Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne
Erventet Kampforløp
Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker
Ouriense W will likely look to assert dominance early, testing the hosts' defensive structure.
Varzim W will look to tighten their defensive lines to neutralize Ouriense W's early runs.
Expect Ouriense W to mount counter-attacks, exploiting gaps as Varzim W tries to push forward.
Tactical adjustments will see Ouriense W increase their pressing intensity in the opposition half.
Fatigue may set in for Varzim W's defense, opening up opportunities for Ouriense W's forward line.
Expect Ouriense W to manage the closing stages, while Varzim W searches for late drama.
Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd
Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Varzim W have found the net in 48% of their last 23 matches.
Ouriense W have conceded at least one goal in 79% of their last 38 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 2.50 goals per match.
Varzim W remained undefeated in 3 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Ouriense W suffered defeat in 4 of their last 5 overall games.
Risikoanalyse
Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Teamvergleich
Statistikk-sammenligning
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amora W | 14 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 53:22 | 37 |
| 2 | Valadares Gaia W | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 33:10 | 34 |
| 3 | Ouriense W | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 26:17 | 28 |
| 4 | Condeixa W | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 28:21 | 20 |
| 5 | Gil Vicente W | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 15:36 | 16 |
| 6 | Estoril Praia W | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 10:17 | 10 |
| 7 | Varzim W | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 15:29 | 9 |
| 8 | Atletico CP W | 14 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 17:45 | 7 |