Sport Picks
Velez Sarsfield vs River Plate
Argentina
Liga Profesional Estadio José Amalfitani, Buenos Aires 
Kamphendelser
6'
6'
Lanzini M.
Assist: Pellegrini M.
18'
18'
Diaz P.
27'
27'
Bytte
Quintero J. Inn: Freitas J.
Ut: Quintero J.
Kampsammendrag
The Liga Profesional game between Velez Sarsfield and River Plate finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Velez Sarsfield.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
90%
6%
4%
Uavgjort-prognose: 6% Favoritt: Velez Sarsfield
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
95%
/ Svært Høy Sikkerhet
- Look at the last few games and River Plate come out ahead of Velez Sarsfield on wins alone.
- Model gives Velez Sarsfield a 90% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Over 0.5 Mål 85%
Over 1.5 Mål 60.5%
Over 2.5 Mål 25%
Over 3.5 Mål 22%
Over 4.5 Mål 10%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 28%
Velez Sarsfield Rent bur 68%
River Plate Rent bur 14%
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Velez Sarsfield | River Plate |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 29 | 29 |
| Seire | 13 | 15 |
| Uavgjort | 9 | 5 |
| Tap | 7 | 9 |
| Mål Scoret | 1 | 2 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 0.5 | 1.13 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 0.50 | 1.13 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
22. feb. 2026 Liga Profesional
Velez Sarsfield vs River Plate
1:0
16. nov. 2025 Liga Profesional
Velez Sarsfield vs River Plate
0:0
4. mai 2025 Liga Profesional
River Plate vs Velez Sarsfield
4:1
19. okt. 2024 Liga Profesional
River Plate vs Velez Sarsfield
1:1
4. feb. 2024 Copa de la Liga Profesional
River Plate vs Velez Sarsfield
5:0
Nøkkelspiller-Analyse
Toppspillere og forventet involvering
Velez Sarsfield Sammenlign
Toppscorer Lanzini M.
1 Mål Snitt xG / kamp 0.77
Snitt xA / kamp 0.5
River Plate Sammenlign
Snitt xG / kamp 1.82
Snitt xA / kamp 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Velez Sarsfield 95 / 100
River Plate 10 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Velez Sarsfield River Plate
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Hovedtips VEL Win (1)
Sekundærtips Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Prognose No (NG)
Over/Under Tips Under 2.5
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Attacking prowess: Velez Sarsfield scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.
River Plate's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Velez Sarsfield went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Måltrender
Velez Sarsfield VS River Plate
1 Mål scoret 2
0.5 Mål sluppet inn 1.13
33% Over 1.5 88%
17% Over 2.5 63%
17% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Velez Sarsfield
(Home) 03 Aug
Velez Sarsfield
1 : 0 Independiente
30 Jul
Talleres Cordoba
1 : 3 Velez Sarsfield
24 Jul
Velez Sarsfield
1 : 0 Instituto
11 May
Velez Sarsfield
0 : 1 Gimnasia L.P.
04 May
Velez Sarsfield
1 : 1 Newells Old Boys
Page 1 of 6
03 Aug
Velez Sarsfield
1 : 0 Independiente
24 Jul
Velez Sarsfield
1 : 0 Instituto
11 May
Velez Sarsfield
0 : 1 Gimnasia L.P.
04 May
Velez Sarsfield
1 : 1 Newells Old Boys
01 May
Velez Sarsfield
2 : 0 Gimnasia y Tiro
Page 1 of 4
River Plate
(Away) 02 Aug
River Plate
0 : 1 Rosario Central
29 Jul
Gimnasia L.P.
1 : 0 River Plate
25 Jul
River Plate
0 : 1 Barracas Central
18 Jul
River Plate
1 : 3 Aldosivi
03 Jul
Flamengo RJ
2 : 2 River Plate
Page 1 of 6
29 Jul
Gimnasia L.P.
1 : 0 River Plate
03 Jul
Flamengo RJ
2 : 2 River Plate
08 May
Carabobo
1 : 2 River Plate
01 May
Bragantino
0 : 1 River Plate
12 Apr
Racing Club
0 : 2 River Plate
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19:7 | 31 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22:9 | 30 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18:12 | 28 |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | 26 |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24:20 | 24 |
| 6 | Lanus | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18:15 | 24 |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14:14 | 22 |
| 8 | Union de Santa Fe | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | 21 |
| 9 | Instituto | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17:17 | 21 |
| 10 | Defensa y Justicia | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 18:21 | 19 |
| 11 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14:22 | 19 |
| 12 | Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10:15 | 16 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11:21 | 16 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15:27 | 15 |
| 15 | Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5:12 | 11 |
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Apertura - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29:15 | 34 |
| 2 | River Plate | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22:12 | 29 |
| 3 | Argentinos Jrs | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17:13 | 29 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | 28 |
| 5 | CA Belgrano de Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | 26 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P. | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19:19 | 26 |
| 7 | Huracan | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 17:13 | 22 |
| 8 | Racing Club | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:15 | 21 |
| 9 | Barracas Central | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15:15 | 21 |
| 10 | Tigre | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 18:15 | 20 |
| 11 | Sarmiento Junin | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 13:20 | 19 |
| 12 | Banfield | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17:19 | 18 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15:20 | 14 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 6:19 | 8 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5:24 | 5 |
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Apertura - Play Offs)
