Sport Picks
Kampsammendrag
This Optibet Virsliga 2021 encounter between Ventspils and FK Metta promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Ventspils averages 1.1 goals scored and 1.6 conceded in recent matches. FK Metta shows a form average of 2.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 2 wins for Ventspils, 0 wins for FK Metta, and 3 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 06.11.21 ended in a 0:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.04 for Ventspils and 1.93 for FK Metta, suggesting the primary value lies in the FK Metta double chance or over markets.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
- Ventspils har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med FK Metta.
- Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (1.04 vs 1.93 xG).
- Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for bortelaget.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 70%).
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Ventspils | FK Metta |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 12 | 36 |
| Seire | 2 | 21 |
| Uavgjort | 2 | 3 |
| Tap | 8 | 12 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.08 | 2.75 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.58 | 1.31 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
Taktisk Profil
Posisjonering og Kontrollstil
Ventspils
FK Metta
Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Value Bet Finder (+EV)
Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne
Erventet Kampforløp
Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker
FK Metta will likely look to assert dominance early, testing the hosts' defensive structure.
Ventspils will look to tighten their defensive lines to neutralize FK Metta's early runs.
Expect FK Metta to mount counter-attacks, exploiting gaps as Ventspils tries to push forward.
Tactical adjustments will see FK Metta increase their pressing intensity in the opposition half.
Fatigue may set in for Ventspils's defense, opening up opportunities for FK Metta's forward line.
Expect FK Metta to manage the closing stages, while Ventspils searches for late drama.
Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd
Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Ventspils have found the net in 42% of their last 12 matches.
FK Metta have conceded at least one goal in 61% of their last 36 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 1.60 goals per match.
Ventspils remained undefeated in 3 of their last 5 overall matchups.
FK Metta suffered defeat in 0 of their last 5 overall games.
Risikoanalyse
Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Teamvergleich
Statistikk-sammenligning
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RFS | 28 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 65:22 | 66 |
| 2 | Valmiera | 28 | 19 | 5 | 4 | 54:19 | 62 |
| 3 | FK Liepaja | 28 | 16 | 3 | 9 | 47:26 | 51 |
| 4 | Riga FC | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 54:26 | 50 |
| 5 | Spartaks Jurmala | 28 | 11 | 2 | 15 | 40:41 | 35 |
| 6 | BFC Daugavpils | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 37:53 | 32 |
| 7 | FK Metta | 28 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 33:55 | 20 |
| 8 | Noah Jurmala | 28 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 8:96 | 3 |
| 9 | Ventspils | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |