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VIFK Vaasa W vs Hertta W

Finland Finland

Ykkonen Women 2018
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

This Ykkonen Women 2018 encounter between VIFK Vaasa W and Hertta W promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. VIFK Vaasa W averages 1.3 goals scored and 2.6 conceded in recent matches. Hertta W shows a form average of 1.4 goals scored and 2.6 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 5 wins for VIFK Vaasa W, 0 wins for Hertta W, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 05.09.20 ended in a 2:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.56 for VIFK Vaasa W and 2.56 for Hertta W, suggesting the primary value lies in the VIFK Vaasa W double chance or over markets.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

52%
VIFK Vaasa W
15%
Uavgjort
33%
Hertta W
Uavgjort-prognose: 15% Favoritt: VIFK Vaasa W

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

78% / Høy Sikkerhet
  • VIFK Vaasa W har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Hertta W.
  • Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (1.56 vs 2.56 xG).
  • Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for hjemmelaget.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 72%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 90%
Over 1.5 Mål 88%
Over 2.5 Mål 72%
Over 3.5 Mål 43%
Over 4.5 Mål 22%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 49%
VIFK Vaasa W Rent bur 10%
Hertta W Rent bur 10%
Mål 1. omgang 79%
Mål 2. omgang 84%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk VIFK Vaasa W Hertta W
Kamper Spilt 42 36
Seire 12 9
Uavgjort 2 7
Tap 28 20
Mål Scoret 1.33 1.36
Mål Sluppet Inn 2.62 2.58
Forventede Mål (xG) 0.13 2.00
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 3.13 3.00

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

05.09.20 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
VIFK Vaasa W vs Hertta W
2:0
21.09.19 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
VIFK Vaasa W vs Hertta W
3:1
30.05.19 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
Hertta W vs VIFK Vaasa W
0:3
09.09.18 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
Hertta W vs VIFK Vaasa W
1:4
10.05.18 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
VIFK Vaasa W vs Hertta W
2:1

Taktisk Profil

Posisjonering og Kontrollstil

VIFK Vaasa W

Pressintensitet Medium blokk
Angrepsstil Hurtige kontringer
Flügelspill-Frekvens Spill gjennom midten
Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Hertta W

Pressintensitet Aggressivt press (PPDA < 9.5)
Angrepsstil Holde på ballen
Flügelspill-Frekvens Mye innlegg
Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

VIFK Vaasa W 49 / 100
Hertta W 32 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
VIFK Vaasa W Hertta W

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Double Chance: VIFK Vaasa W or Draw (1X)
Sekundærtips Under 3.5 Goals
Halvtidstips Home Win (HT)
BTTS Prognose No (NG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Value Bet Finder (+EV)

Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +18%
2.27
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.4%
1.52
*EV represents Erventet verdi. Positiv edge betyr at bookmakerne priser spillet for lavt.

Erventet Kampforløp

Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker

0' - 15' Dominansindeks

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

VIFK Vaasa W 57%
Hertta W 26%
15' - 30' Dominansindeks

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

VIFK Vaasa W 49%
Hertta W 35%
30' - 45' Dominansindeks

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

VIFK Vaasa W 52%
Hertta W 33%
45' - 60' Dominansindeks

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

VIFK Vaasa W 55%
Hertta W 31%
60' - 75' Dominansindeks

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

VIFK Vaasa W 47%
Hertta W 36%
75' - 90' Dominansindeks

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

VIFK Vaasa W 60%
Hertta W 38%

Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd

Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk

VIFK Vaasa W angriper → ← angriper Hertta W

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

VIFK Vaasa W have found the net in 52% of their last 42 matches.

Hertta W have conceded at least one goal in 86% of their last 36 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 3.40 goals per match.

VIFK Vaasa W remained undefeated in 0 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Hertta W suffered defeat in 3 of their last 5 overall games.

Risikoanalyse

Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter

Risikonivå: Moderat
Risikofaktor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risikofaktor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risikofaktor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Teamvergleich

Statistikk-sammenligning

38 Poeng siste 5 34
0.13 Forventede mål (xG) 2.00
3.13 Forventede mål sluppet inn (xGA) 3.00