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Vihren vs Velbazhd Kyustendil

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West 2020/2021
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

The Third League - South-West 2020/2021 game between Vihren and Velbazhd Kyustendil finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vihren.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

90%
Vihren
6%
Uavgjort
4%
Velbazhd Kyustendil
Uavgjort-prognose: 6% Favoritt: Vihren

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

95% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • Look at the last few games and Vihren come out ahead of Velbazhd Kyustendil on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Vihren's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
  • History favors Vihren here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 19%
Over 4.5 Mål 9%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 64.6%
Vihren Rent bur 20%
Velbazhd Kyustendil Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Vihren Velbazhd Kyustendil
Kamper Spilt 29 30
Seire 16 4
Uavgjort 7 4
Tap 6 22
Mål Scoret 1.79 0.5
Mål Sluppet Inn 0.9 2.33
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.54 0.81
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

27. feb. 2021 Third League - South-West
Vihren vs Velbazhd Kyustendil
2:0
15. aug. 2020 Third League - South-West
Velbazhd Kyustendil vs Vihren
0:5
18. mai 2019 Third League - South-West
Velbazhd Kyustendil vs Vihren
0:4
10. nov. 2018 Third League - South-West
Vihren vs Velbazhd Kyustendil
1:0
22. apr. 2017 Third League - South-West
Velbazhd Kyustendil vs Vihren
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Vihren 85 / 100
Velbazhd Kyustendil 10 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Vihren Velbazhd Kyustendil

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Vihren Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Recent resilience: Vihren stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Velbazhd Kyustendil registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Vihren found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Velbazhd Kyustendil conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Måltrender

Vihren VS -
1.88 Mål scoret 0
0.63 Mål sluppet inn 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vihren

(Home)
03 Sept
Vihren
4 : 1
Etar
30 Aug
Spartak Pleven
0 : 2
Vihren
24 Aug
Vihren
2 : 2
Fratria
18 Aug
Ludogorets II
0 : 2
Vihren
09 Aug
Vihren
1 : 1
Chernomorets 1919
Page 1 of 6

Velbazhd Kyustendil

(Away)
29 May
Slivnishki Geroy
6 : 1
Velbazhd Kyustendil
22 May
Velbazhd Kyustendil
1 : 2
Pirin Razlog
15 May
Botev Ihtiman
5 : 0
Velbazhd Kyustendil
12 May
Velbazhd Kyustendil
0 : 5
Belasitsa Petrich
08 May
Oborishte Panagyurishte
4 : 0
Velbazhd Kyustendil
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marek 34 25 7 2 84:24 82
2 Kyustendil 34 26 4 4 63:14 79
3 Belasitsa Petrich 34 23 9 2 68:27 78
4 Vihren 34 23 6 5 63:25 75
5 Oborishte Panagyurishte 34 18 6 10 55:41 60
6 Balkan Botevgrad 34 16 10 8 62:34 58
7 Chavdar Etropole 34 15 6 13 62:46 51
8 Botev Ihtiman 34 13 7 14 53:41 46
9 Gotse Delchev 34 13 6 15 37:32 45
10 Pirin Razlog 34 11 8 15 40:59 41
11 Nadezhda Dobroslavci 34 10 6 18 40:56 36
12 Slivnishki Geroy 34 9 9 16 38:44 36
13 Rilski Sportist 34 9 7 18 30:45 34
14 Bansko 34 10 4 20 28:47 34
15 Levski Chepintsi 34 10 4 20 34:72 34
16 Granit Vladaya 34 9 5 20 34:65 32
17 Perun 34 6 4 24 25:77 22
18 Velbazhd Kyustendil 34 4 4 26 16:83 16
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