Sport Picks
Vineta Wolin vs Nowe Skalmierzyce
Poland
III Liga - Group II 2024/2025 
Kampsammendrag
Nowe Skalmierzyce is highly favored to claim all three points on their visit to Vineta Wolin, backed by a win probability of 68%. Vineta Wolin averages 1.4 goals scored and 3.1 conceded in recent matches. Nowe Skalmierzyce shows a form average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 0 wins for Vineta Wolin, 5 wins for Nowe Skalmierzyce, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 11.04.25 ended in a 2:4 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.54 for Vineta Wolin and 1.18 for Nowe Skalmierzyce, suggesting the primary value lies in the Nowe Skalmierzyce double chance or over markets.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
- Vineta Wolin har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Nowe Skalmierzyce.
- Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (1.54 vs 1.18 xG).
- Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for bortelaget.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 69%).
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Vineta Wolin | Nowe Skalmierzyce |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 27 | 32 |
| Seire | 3 | 11 |
| Uavgjort | 4 | 8 |
| Tap | 20 | 13 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.37 | 1.22 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 3.07 | 1.31 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
Taktisk Profil
Posisjonering og Kontrollstil
Vineta Wolin
Nowe Skalmierzyce
Nøkkelspiller-Analyse
Toppspillere og forventet involvering
Vineta Wolin Sammenlign
Nowe Skalmierzyce Sammenlign
Skadesituasjon
Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Value Bet Finder (+EV)
Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne
Erventet Kampforløp
Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker
Nowe Skalmierzyce will likely look to assert dominance early, testing the hosts' defensive structure.
Vineta Wolin will look to tighten their defensive lines to neutralize Nowe Skalmierzyce's early runs.
Expect Nowe Skalmierzyce to mount counter-attacks, exploiting gaps as Vineta Wolin tries to push forward.
Tactical adjustments will see Nowe Skalmierzyce increase their pressing intensity in the opposition half.
Fatigue may set in for Vineta Wolin's defense, opening up opportunities for Nowe Skalmierzyce's forward line.
Expect Nowe Skalmierzyce to manage the closing stages, while Vineta Wolin searches for late drama.
Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd
Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Vineta Wolin have found the net in 70% of their last 27 matches.
Nowe Skalmierzyce have conceded at least one goal in 69% of their last 32 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 3.60 goals per match.
Vineta Wolin remained undefeated in 0 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Nowe Skalmierzyce suffered defeat in 1 of their last 5 overall games.
Risikoanalyse
Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Teamvergleich
Statistikk-sammenligning
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kleczew | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 60:35 | 72 |
| 2 | Blekitni Stargard | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 78:45 | 63 |
| 3 | Zawisza | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 65:41 | 59 |
| 4 | Pogon Szczecin II | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 72:45 | 58 |
| 5 | Lech Poznan II | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 65:47 | 57 |
| 6 | Unia Swarzedz | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 58:47 | 55 |
| 7 | Polonia Sroda Wielkopol | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 67:58 | 51 |
| 8 | Nowe Skalmierzyce | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 47:47 | 48 |
| 9 | Elana Torun | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 44:42 | 47 |
| 10 | Wda Swiecie | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 47:41 | 46 |
| 11 | Notec Czarnkow | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 61:64 | 45 |
| 12 | Swinoujscie | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 48:56 | 44 |
| 13 | Cartusia Kartuzy | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 43:51 | 43 |
| 14 | Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 32:54 | 37 |
| 15 | Kotwica Kornik | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 49:60 | 36 |
| 16 | Gedania Gdansk | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 43:80 | 34 |
| 17 | Gryf Slupsk | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 38:55 | 30 |
| 18 | Vineta Wolin | 34 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 48:97 | 17 |