Sport Picks

World

World Championship 2026 Cardiff City Stadium

Liechtenstein

Vårt Tips

Sammendrag Seier Mål Form H2H Taktikk Spillere Indekser Tips Kampforløp Varmekart Risiko Presisjon Sammenlign

Kampsammendrag

Wales enters this World Championship 2026 fixture as the clear favorite, carrying a strong win probability of 72%. Wales averages 1.6 goals scored and 1.1 conceded in recent matches. Liechtenstein shows a form average of 0.3 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 5 wins for Wales, 0 wins for Liechtenstein, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 15.11.25 ended in a 0:1 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 2.75 for Wales and 1.13 for Liechtenstein, suggesting the primary value lies in the Wales double chance or over markets.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

72%

Wales

16%

Uavgjort

12%

Liechtenstein

Uavgjort-prognose: 16% Favoritt: Wales

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

95% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet

Wales har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Liechtenstein.
Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (2.75 vs 1.13 xG).
Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for hjemmelaget.
Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 89%

Over 1.5 Mål 74%

Over 2.5 Mål 51%

Over 3.5 Mål 31%

Over 4.5 Mål 15%

Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 34%

Wales Rent bur 21%

Liechtenstein Rent bur 10%

Mål 1. omgang 67%

Mål 2. omgang 70%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk	Wales	Liechtenstein
Kamper Spilt	30	30
Seire	12	2
Uavgjort	10	4
Tap	8	24
Mål Scoret	1.6	0.3
Mål Sluppet Inn	1.13	2.5
Forventede Mål (xG)	1.88	0.38
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA)	1.88	3.63

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

15.11.25 World Championship

Liechtenstein vs Wales

Ballbesittelse: 41% - 47% Kort: 3 - 1

0:1

06.06.25 World Championship

Wales vs Liechtenstein

Ballbesittelse: 56% - 53% Kort: 2 - 0

3:0

14.10.09 World Championship

Liechtenstein vs Wales

Ballbesittelse: 58% - 45% Kort: 4 - 1

0:2

11.10.08 World Championship

Wales vs Liechtenstein

Ballbesittelse: 45% - 49% Kort: 3 - 2

2:0

14.11.06 Friendly International

Wales vs Liechtenstein

Ballbesittelse: 48% - 46% Kort: 3 - 4

4:0

Taktisk Profil

Posisjonering og Kontrollstil

Wales

Pressintensitet Aggressivt press (PPDA < 9.5)

Angrepsstil Holde på ballen

Flügelspill-Frekvens Mye innlegg

Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Liechtenstein

Pressintensitet Medium blokk

Angrepsstil Hurtige kontringer

Flügelspill-Frekvens Spill gjennom midten

Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Wales Sammenlign

Toppscorer Rodon J.

1 Mål

Assister Wilson H.

1 Ast

Snitt xG / kamp 1.45

Snitt xA / kamp 0.94

Liechtenstein Sammenlign

Toppscorer N/A

0 Mål

Assister N/A

0 Ast

Snitt xG / kamp 0.35

Snitt xA / kamp 0.21

Skadesituasjon

No availability alerts or suspensions reported for this fixture.

Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Wales 69 / 100

Liechtenstein 13 / 100

Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

Wales Liechtenstein

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Wales Win (1)

Sekundærtips Wales & Over 2.5

Halvtidstips Home Win (HT)

BTTS Prognose No (NG)

Over/Under Tips Under 2.5

Value Bet Finder (+EV)

Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +12.3%

1.56

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +13.2%

2.22

*EV represents Erventet verdi. Positiv edge betyr at bookmakerne priser spillet for lavt.

Erventet Kampforløp

Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker

0' - 15' Dominansindeks

Wales is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.

Wales 79%

Liechtenstein 10%

15' - 30' Dominansindeks

Liechtenstein will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of Wales's attacks.

Wales 68%

Liechtenstein 13%

30' - 45' Dominansindeks

Expect Wales to create chances through sustained possession before the break.

Wales 72%

Liechtenstein 12%

45' - 60' Dominansindeks

Tactical adjustments at half-time will see Wales vary their attacking width.

Wales 76%

Liechtenstein 11%

60' - 75' Dominansindeks

Fatigue may set in for Liechtenstein, allowing Wales's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.

Wales 65%

Liechtenstein 13%

75' - 90' Dominansindeks

Expect a final offensive push from Wales, while Liechtenstein takes risks to salvage a result.

Wales 83%

Liechtenstein 14%

Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd

Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk

Wales angriper → ← angriper Liechtenstein

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Wales have found the net in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Liechtenstein have conceded at least one goal in 87% of their last 30 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 2.40 goals per match.

Wales remained undefeated in 3 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Liechtenstein suffered defeat in 4 of their last 5 overall games.

Risikoanalyse

Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter

Risikonivå: Lav

Risikofaktor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risikofaktor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risikofaktor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Teamvergleich

Statistikk-sammenligning

46 Poeng siste 5 10

1.88 Forventede mål (xG) 0.38

1.88 Forventede mål sluppet inn (xGA) 3.63

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Germany	6	5	1	16:3	15
2	Slovakia	6	4	2	6:8	12
3	Northern Ireland	6	3	3	7:6	9
4	Luxembourg	6	0	6	1:13	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Switzerland	6	4	2	0	14:2	14
2	Kosovo	6	3	2	1	6:5	11
3	Slovenia	6	0	4	2	3:8	4
4	Sweden	6	0	2	4	4:12	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Scotland	6	4	1	1	13:7	13
2	Denmark	6	3	2	1	16:7	11
3	Greece	6	2	1	3	10:12	7
4	Belarus	6	0	2	4	4:17	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	France	6	5	1	0	16:4	16
2	Ukraine	6	3	1	2	10:11	10
3	Iceland	6	2	1	3	13:11	7
4	Azerbaijan	6	0	1	5	3:16	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Spain	6	5	1	0	21:2	16
2	Turkey	6	4	1	1	17:12	13
3	Georgia	6	1	0	5	7:15	3
4	Bulgaria	6	1	0	5	3:19	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Portugal	6	4	1	1	20:7	13
2	Ireland	6	3	1	2	9:7	10
3	Hungary	6	2	2	2	11:10	8
4	Armenia	6	1	0	5	3:19	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Netherlands	8	6	2	0	27:4	20
2	Poland	8	5	2	1	14:7	17
3	Finland	8	3	1	4	8:14	10
4	Malta	8	1	2	5	4:19	5
5	Lithuania	8	0	3	5	6:15	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Austria	8	6	1	1	22:4	19
2	Bosnia & Herzegovina	8	5	2	1	17:7	17
3	Romania	8	4	1	3	19:10	13
4	Cyprus	8	2	2	4	11:11	8
5	San Marino	8	0	0	8	2:39	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Norway	8	8	0	0	37:5	24
2	Italy	8	6	0	2	21:12	18
3	Israel	8	4	0	4	19:20	12
4	Estonia	8	1	1	6	8:21	4
5	Moldova	8	0	1	7	5:32	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Belgium	8	5	3	0	29:7	18
2	Wales	8	5	1	2	21:11	16
3	North Macedonia	8	3	4	1	13:10	13
4	Kazakhstan	8	2	2	4	9:13	8
5	Liechtenstein	8	0	0	8	0:31	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	England	8	8	0	0	22:0	24
2	Albania	8	4	2	2	7:5	14
3	Serbia	8	4	1	3	9:10	13
4	Latvia	8	1	2	5	5:15	5
5	Andorra	8	0	1	7	3:16	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Croatia	8	7	1	0	26:4	22
2	Czech Republic	8	5	1	2	18:8	16
3	Faroe Islands	8	4	0	4	11:9	12
4	Montenegro	8	3	0	5	8:17	9
5	Gibraltar	8	0	0	8	3:28	0