Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Wales vs Montenegro

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 Cardiff City Stadium, Cardiff
Vårt Tips

Kamphendelser

36' Event
Wilson H.
(Straffe)
46'
Bytte
Mugosa S. Inn: Jovetic S.
Ut: Mugosa S.
46'
Bytte
Camaj D. Inn: Radulovic A.
Ut: Camaj D.

Kampsammendrag

The UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 game between Wales and Montenegro finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Wales.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

50%
Wales
28%
Uavgjort
22%
Montenegro
Uavgjort-prognose: 28% Favoritt: Wales

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

76% / Høy Sikkerhet
  • Wales's 1.6 goals per match outpaces what Montenegro have produced (1.27).
  • Win probability leans Wales's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 37.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 17%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 71.8%
Wales Rent bur 17%
Montenegro Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Wales Montenegro
Kamper Spilt 30 30
Seire 12 12
Uavgjort 10 3
Tap 8 15
Mål Scoret 1.6 1.27
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.13 1.67
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.94 1.38
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

14. okt. 2024 UEFA Nations League
Wales vs Montenegro
1:0
9. sep. 2024 UEFA Nations League
Montenegro vs Wales
1:2
2. sep. 2011 Euro
Wales vs Montenegro
2:1
3. sep. 2010 Euro
Montenegro vs Wales
1:0
12. aug. 2009 Friendly International
Montenegro vs Wales
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Wales 48 / 100
Montenegro 22 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Wales Montenegro

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Wales Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Montenegro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Wales scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Wales went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Måltrender

Wales VS Montenegro
1.63 Mål scoret 1.25
1.5 Mål sluppet inn 2.25
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Wales

(Home)
06 Jun
Romania
2 : 1
Wales
02 Jun
Wales
1 : 1
Ghana
31 Mar
Wales
1 : 1
Northern Ireland
26 Mar
Wales
1 : 2
Bosnia & Herzegovina
18 Nov
Wales
7 : 1
North Macedonia
Page 1 of 6

Montenegro

(Away)
05 Jun
Slovakia
2 : 2
Montenegro
01 Jun
Bulgaria
0 : 1
Montenegro
31 Mar
Montenegro
2 : 3
Slovenia
27 Mar
Montenegro
2 : 0
Andorra
17 Nov
Montenegro
2 : 3
Croatia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Czech Republic 6 3 2 1 9:8 11
2 Ukraine 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
3 Georgia 6 2 1 3 7:6 7
4 Albania 6 2 1 3 4:6 7
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League A/B - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League B/C - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League C)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England 6 5 0 1 16:3 15
2 Greece 6 5 0 1 11:4 15
3 Ireland 6 2 0 4 3:12 6
4 Finland 6 0 0 6 2:13 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League A/B - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League B/C - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League C)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norway 6 4 1 1 15:7 13
2 Austria 6 3 2 1 14:5 11
3 Slovenia 6 2 2 2 7:9 8
4 Kazakhstan 6 0 1 5 0:15 1
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League A/B - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League B/C - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League C)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wales 6 3 3 0 9:4 12
2 Turkey 6 3 2 1 9:6 11
3 Iceland 6 2 1 3 10:13 7
4 Montenegro 6 1 0 5 4:9 3
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League A/B - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League B/C - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League C)