Sport Picks
Kampsammendrag
A one-off knockout match in the EFL Cup. This one's hard to separate. Peterborough have shipped 1.52 goals a game lately, while Watford have conceded 1.68 and scored 0.93. Head-to-head, Watford have won 2 to Peterborough's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on 24. juli 2013, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.13 - 1.06) back Peterborough to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
- Form's been kind to Peterborough lately — more wins on the board than Watford.
- Win probability leans Watford's way, sitting at 80%.
- Peterborough arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Watford, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Watford | Peterborough |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 28 | 29 |
| Seire | 6 | 9 |
| Uavgjort | 8 | 7 |
| Tap | 14 | 13 |
| Mål Scoret | 0.93 | 1.41 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.68 | 1.52 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 1.13 | 1.06 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Defensive concern: Peterborough conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.
Watford's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Recent resilience: Watford stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.