Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Wda Swiecie vs Nielba Wagrowiec

World World

Club Friendly 2024
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Wda Swiecie enters this Club Friendly 2024 fixture as the clear favorite, carrying a strong win probability of 56%. Wda Swiecie averages 1.4 goals scored and 1.9 conceded in recent matches. Nielba Wagrowiec shows a form average of 1.8 goals scored and 1.9 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 3 wins for Wda Swiecie, 0 wins for Nielba Wagrowiec, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 27.07.24 ended in a 2:1 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.23 for Wda Swiecie and 0.94 for Nielba Wagrowiec, suggesting the primary value lies in the Wda Swiecie double chance or over markets.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

56%
Wda Swiecie
15%
Uavgjort
29%
Nielba Wagrowiec
Uavgjort-prognose: 15% Favoritt: Wda Swiecie

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

82% / Høy Sikkerhet
  • Wda Swiecie har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Nielba Wagrowiec.
  • Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (1.23 vs 0.94 xG).
  • Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for hjemmelaget.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 63%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 91%
Over 1.5 Mål 86%
Over 2.5 Mål 63%
Over 3.5 Mål 38%
Over 4.5 Mål 19%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 65%
Wda Swiecie Rent bur 24%
Nielba Wagrowiec Rent bur 12%
Mål 1. omgang 77%
Mål 2. omgang 82%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Wda Swiecie Nielba Wagrowiec
Kamper Spilt 31 31
Seire 14 8
Uavgjort 5 8
Tap 12 15
Mål Scoret 1.35 1.77
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.94 1.87

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

27.07.24 Club Friendly
Wda Swiecie vs Nielba Wagrowiec
2:1
21.05.16 III Liga - Group II
Wda Swiecie vs Nielba Wagrowiec
3:1
31.10.15 III Liga - Group II
Nielba Wagrowiec vs Wda Swiecie
1:2

Taktisk Profil

Posisjonering og Kontrollstil

Wda Swiecie

Pressintensitet Medium blokk
Angrepsstil Hurtige kontringer
Flügelspill-Frekvens Spill gjennom midten
Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Nielba Wagrowiec

Pressintensitet Medium blokk
Angrepsstil Hurtige kontringer
Flügelspill-Frekvens Mye innlegg
Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Wda Swiecie 55 / 100
Nielba Wagrowiec 29 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Wda Swiecie Nielba Wagrowiec

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Wda Swiecie Win (1)
Sekundærtips Wda Swiecie & Over 2.5
Halvtidstips Home Win (HT)
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Value Bet Finder (+EV)

Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16.5%
2.08
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Erventet verdi. Positiv edge betyr at bookmakerne priser spillet for lavt.

Erventet Kampforløp

Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker

0' - 15' Dominansindeks

Wda Swiecie is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.

Wda Swiecie 62%
Nielba Wagrowiec 23%
15' - 30' Dominansindeks

Nielba Wagrowiec will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of Wda Swiecie's attacks.

Wda Swiecie 53%
Nielba Wagrowiec 30%
30' - 45' Dominansindeks

Expect Wda Swiecie to create chances through sustained possession before the break.

Wda Swiecie 56%
Nielba Wagrowiec 29%
45' - 60' Dominansindeks

Tactical adjustments at half-time will see Wda Swiecie vary their attacking width.

Wda Swiecie 59%
Nielba Wagrowiec 28%
60' - 75' Dominansindeks

Fatigue may set in for Nielba Wagrowiec, allowing Wda Swiecie's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.

Wda Swiecie 50%
Nielba Wagrowiec 32%
75' - 90' Dominansindeks

Expect a final offensive push from Wda Swiecie, while Nielba Wagrowiec takes risks to salvage a result.

Wda Swiecie 64%
Nielba Wagrowiec 33%

Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd

Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk

Wda Swiecie angriper → ← angriper Nielba Wagrowiec

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Wda Swiecie have found the net in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Nielba Wagrowiec have conceded at least one goal in 90% of their last 31 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 3.33 goals per match.

Wda Swiecie remained undefeated in 1 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Nielba Wagrowiec suffered defeat in 3 of their last 5 overall games.

Risikoanalyse

Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter

Risikonivå: Lav
Risikofaktor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risikofaktor

Friendly match context where both Wda Swiecie and Nielba Wagrowiec will focus on tactical prep rather than league table pressure.

Risikofaktor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Teamvergleich

Statistikk-sammenligning

47 Poeng siste 5 32
1.25 Forventede mål (xG) 0.00
0.88 Forventede mål sluppet inn (xGA) 0.00