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Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia Australia

A-League Sky Stadium, Wellington
søn. 18. okt. 2026
VS
02:00 a.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Wellington Phoenix host Melbourne Victory in the A-League. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Melbourne Victory have shipped 1.04 goals a game lately, while Wellington Phoenix have conceded 1.77 and scored 1.33. Head-to-head, Wellington Phoenix have won 1 to Melbourne Victory's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on 5. apr. 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.21 - 1.67) back Melbourne Victory to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

27%
Wellington Phoenix
33%
Uavgjort
40%
Melbourne Victory
Uavgjort-prognose: 33% Favoritt: Melbourne Victory

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

70% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Form's been kind to Melbourne Victory lately — more wins on the board than Wellington Phoenix.
  • Win probability leans Melbourne Victory's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular A-League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
  • History favors Melbourne Victory here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 70%
Over 4.5 Mål 32%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 73.8%
Wellington Phoenix Rent bur 13%
Melbourne Victory Rent bur 12%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Wellington Phoenix Melbourne Victory
Kamper Spilt 30 28
Seire 12 14
Uavgjort 6 7
Tap 12 7
Mål Scoret 1.33 1.79
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.77 1.04
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.21 1.67
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

5. apr. 2026 A-League
Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix
0:1
6. feb. 2026 A-League
Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory
2:3
29. des. 2025 A-League
Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix
5:1
12. apr. 2025 A-League
Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory
2:3
14. feb. 2025 A-League
Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Wellington Phoenix 27 / 100
Melbourne Victory 38 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Wellington Phoenix Melbourne Victory

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Melbourne Victory Win (2)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:6
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Wellington Phoenix scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Melbourne Victory let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Solid form: Wellington Phoenix remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Måltrender

Wellington Phoenix VS Melbourne Victory
1.17 Mål scoret 2
1.33 Mål sluppet inn 1.25
83% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
17% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Wellington Phoenix

(Home)
24 Apr
Macarthur FC
4 : 0
Wellington Phoenix
18 Apr
Wellington Phoenix
2 : 1
Western Sydney Wanderers
12 Apr
Melbourne City
2 : 0
Wellington Phoenix
05 Apr
Melbourne Victory
0 : 1
Wellington Phoenix
21 Mar
Brisbane Roar
1 : 2
Wellington Phoenix
Page 1 of 6

Melbourne Victory

(Away)
16 Sept
Viettel
1 : 1
Melbourne Victory
09 Sept
Sydney FC
0 : 2
Melbourne Victory
19 Aug
APIA Leichhardt
0 : 1
Melbourne Victory
08 Aug
Western Sydney Wanderers
1 : 2
Melbourne Victory
26 Jul
Kingborough Lions
0 : 4
Melbourne Victory
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Adelaide Utd 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Central Coast 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Newcastle Jets 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Perth Glory 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Brisbane Roar 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Sydney FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Wellington Phoenix 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Melbourne Victory 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Melbourne City 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Western Sydney Wanderers 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Macarthur FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Auckland FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - A-League (Play Offs)
Promotion - A-League (Play Offs)