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Welwalo Adigrat vs Al Ahly Tripoli - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

CAF Confederation Cup
fre. 16. okt. 2026
VS
01:00 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

A one-off knockout match in the CAF Confederation Cup. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Welwalo Adigrat have averaged 1.14 scored and 0.79 conceded recently, against Al Ahly Tripoli's 2.18 scored and 0.46 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (0.45 - 0.96) back Al Ahly Tripoli to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

27%
Welwalo Adigrat
33%
Uavgjort
40%
Al Ahly Tripoli
Uavgjort-prognose: 33% Favoritt: Al Ahly Tripoli

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

70% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Al Ahly Tripoli carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Al Ahly Tripoli a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Al Ahly Tripoli arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 7%
Over 4.5 Mål 3%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 68.2%
Welwalo Adigrat Rent bur 20%
Al Ahly Tripoli Rent bur 20%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Welwalo Adigrat Al Ahly Tripoli
Kamper Spilt 28 28
Seire 12 21
Uavgjort 10 5
Tap 6 2
Mål Scoret 1.14 2.18
Mål Sluppet Inn 0.79 0.46
Forventede Mål (xG) 0.45 0.96
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Welwalo Adigrat 28 / 100
Al Ahly Tripoli 40 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Welwalo Adigrat Al Ahly Tripoli

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Al Ahly Tripoli Win (2)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Welwalo Adigrat found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Solid form: Welwalo Adigrat remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Al Ahly Tripoli let in goals in 36% of their last 28 matches.

Måltrender

Welwalo Adigrat VS Al Ahly Tripoli
0.75 Mål scoret 1.43
0.5 Mål sluppet inn 0.14
38% Over 1.5 43%
13% Over 2.5 43%
0% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Welwalo Adigrat

(Home)
09 Oct
Halaba Ketema FC
1 : 1
Welwalo Adigrat
12 Sept
Welwalo Adigrat
3 : 1
Hilal Alsahil
04 Sept
Hilal Alsahil
2 : 1
Welwalo Adigrat
09 Jul
Sidama Bunna
0 : 2
Welwalo Adigrat
02 Jul
Welwalo Adigrat
1 : 1
St. Georges
Page 1 of 6

Al Ahly Tripoli

(Away)
12 Sept
Al Ahly Tripoli
4 : 0
KMKM
05 Sept
KMKM
0 : 3
Al Ahly Tripoli
24 May
Al Ahly Tripoli
0 : 0
Asswehly
20 May
Al Ahly Tripoli
2 : 1
Olympic Azzaweya
14 May
Al Madina
0 : 1
Al Ahly Tripoli
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Mogadishu City 1
Kitara 4
TBD -
Al Ahly -
ZED FC 5
ASAS 1
TBD -
Azam -
Hilal Alsahil 3
Welwalo Adigrat 4
KMKM 0
Al Ahly Tripoli 7
Madani 2
Tusker 3
Al-Ghazala 1
Singida Black Stars 10
Panthers 5
ASPAC 5
TBD -
USM Alger -
AS Psi 2
Korhogo 4
TBD -
FAR Rabat -
Douane 3
Hafia 2
TBD -
CR Belouizdad -
El Kanemi Warriors 3
UDIB 1
TBD -
Raja Casablanca -
Academie de FAD 3
East End Lions 3
Shooting 1
CS Sfaxien 2
Zarzis 3
Diambars de Saly 2
Vitesse 1
Real Bamako 2
Diarra 2
Nations FC 1
AS ZAM 0
ASKO Kara 6
UNAM 1
Kabuscorp 5
TBD -
AS Maniema -
Red Arrows 4
Inate FC Rouge Vakinakaratra 0
TBD -
Kaizer Chiefs -
Durban City 3
Rukinzo 1
Port Louis 2
Jwaneng Galaxy 1
Panthere 1
Rayon Sport 1
Atomic Ngome 0
Associacao Black Bulls 1
Virunga 1
Bazar Brothers 0
Green Mamba 0
Primeiro de Agosto 4
Final
Kitara -
Al Ahly -
ZED FC -
Azam -
Welwalo Adigrat -
Al Ahly Tripoli -
Tusker -
Singida Black Stars -
Panthers -
USM Alger -
Korhogo -
FAR Rabat -
Douane -
CR Belouizdad -
El Kanemi Warriors -
Raja Casablanca -
Academie de FAD -
CS Sfaxien -
Zarzis -
Real Bamako -
Diarra -
ASKO Kara -
Kabuscorp -
AS Maniema -
Red Arrows -
Kaizer Chiefs -
Durban City -
Port Louis -
Rayon Sport -
Associacao Black Bulls -
Virunga -
Primeiro de Agosto -