Sport Picks

Stadium Background

West Auckland Town vs Runcorn Linnets

England England

FA Cup 2020/2021
tir. 22. sep. 2020
0 - 1
06:45 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

This FA Cup 2020/2021 encounter between West Auckland Town and Runcorn Linnets promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. West Auckland Town averages 1.6 goals scored and 2.0 conceded in recent matches. Runcorn Linnets shows a form average of 1.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 0 wins for West Auckland Town, 1 wins for Runcorn Linnets, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 22.09.20 ended in a 0:1 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.55 for West Auckland Town and 1.46 for Runcorn Linnets, suggesting the primary value lies in the Runcorn Linnets double chance or over markets.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

32%
West Auckland Town
17%
Uavgjort
51%
Runcorn Linnets
Uavgjort-prognose: 17% Favoritt: Runcorn Linnets

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

78% / Høy Sikkerhet
  • West Auckland Town har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Runcorn Linnets.
  • Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (1.55 vs 1.46 xG).
  • Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for bortelaget.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 69%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 84%
Over 2.5 Mål 69%
Over 3.5 Mål 41%
Over 4.5 Mål 21%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 65%
West Auckland Town Rent bur 16%
Runcorn Linnets Rent bur 10%
Mål 1. omgang 76%
Mål 2. omgang 80%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk West Auckland Town Runcorn Linnets
Kamper Spilt 23 31
Seire 6 13
Uavgjort 6 3
Tap 11 15
Mål Scoret 1.61 1.55
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.96 1.55
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.60 1.13
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.80 1.50

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

22.09.20 FA Cup
West Auckland Town vs Runcorn Linnets
0:1

Taktisk Profil

Posisjonering og Kontrollstil

West Auckland Town

Pressintensitet Medium blokk
Angrepsstil Hurtige kontringer
Flügelspill-Frekvens Mye innlegg
Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Runcorn Linnets

Pressintensitet Medium blokk
Angrepsstil Hurtige kontringer
Flügelspill-Frekvens Mye innlegg
Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

West Auckland Town 32 / 100
Runcorn Linnets 48 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
West Auckland Town Runcorn Linnets

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Double Chance: Runcorn Linnets or Draw (X2)
Sekundærtips Under 3.5 Goals
Halvtidstips Draw (HT)
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Value Bet Finder (+EV)

Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +33.4%
4.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.7%
1.59
*EV represents Erventet verdi. Positiv edge betyr at bookmakerne priser spillet for lavt.

Erventet Kampforløp

Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker

0' - 15' Dominansindeks

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

West Auckland Town 35%
Runcorn Linnets 41%
15' - 30' Dominansindeks

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

West Auckland Town 30%
Runcorn Linnets 54%
30' - 45' Dominansindeks

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

West Auckland Town 32%
Runcorn Linnets 51%
45' - 60' Dominansindeks

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

West Auckland Town 34%
Runcorn Linnets 48%
60' - 75' Dominansindeks

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

West Auckland Town 29%
Runcorn Linnets 56%
75' - 90' Dominansindeks

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

West Auckland Town 37%
Runcorn Linnets 59%

Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd

Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk

West Auckland Town angriper → ← angriper Runcorn Linnets

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

West Auckland Town have found the net in 78% of their last 23 matches.

Runcorn Linnets have conceded at least one goal in 84% of their last 31 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 1.00 goals per match.

West Auckland Town remained undefeated in 2 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Runcorn Linnets suffered defeat in 2 of their last 5 overall games.

Risikoanalyse

Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter

Risikonivå: Moderat
Risikofaktor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risikofaktor

Knockout cup fixture where progress is the sole objective; expect high motivation and potential extra time drama.

Risikofaktor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Teamvergleich

Statistikk-sammenligning

24 Poeng siste 5 42
1.60 Forventede mål (xG) 1.13
1.80 Forventede mål sluppet inn (xGA) 1.50