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Winterthur vs Luzern - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Switzerland Switzerland

Swiss Cup Stadion Schützenwiese, Winterthur
lør. 17. okt. 2026
VS
04:00 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

A one-off knockout match in the Swiss Cup. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Luzern have shipped 1.68 goals a game lately, while Winterthur have conceded 1.57 and scored 1.87. Past meetings favor Winterthur slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 4. juli 2026, ending 3:2. Model xG sits at 2.06 vs 1.56, favoring Luzern. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

80%
Winterthur
11%
Uavgjort
9%
Luzern
Uavgjort-prognose: 11% Favoritt: Winterthur

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

93% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • Look at the last few games and Luzern come out ahead of Winterthur on wins alone.
  • Winterthur are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Luzern arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Luzern, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 99%
Over 1.5 Mål 88%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 50%
Over 4.5 Mål 23%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 78.2%
Winterthur Rent bur 15%
Luzern Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Winterthur Luzern
Kamper Spilt 30 28
Seire 12 14
Uavgjort 8 5
Tap 10 9
Mål Scoret 1.87 2.11
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.57 1.68
Forventede Mål (xG) 2.06 1.56
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

4. juli 2026 Club Friendly
Luzern vs Winterthur
3:2
16. mai 2026 Super League
Winterthur vs Luzern
0:3
15. mars 2026 Super League
Luzern vs Winterthur
1:2
29. nov. 2025 Super League
Luzern vs Winterthur
1:3
25. okt. 2025 Super League
Winterthur vs Luzern
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Winterthur 75 / 100
Luzern 10 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Winterthur Luzern

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Winterthur Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Attacking prowess: Winterthur scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Luzern's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

Winterthur has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Måltrender

Winterthur VS Luzern
2.38 Mål scoret 2.38
0.75 Mål sluppet inn 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Winterthur

(Home)
09 Oct
Xamax
3 : 0
Winterthur
03 Oct
Winterthur
7 : 3
Basel
30 Sept
Seuzach
1 : 4
Winterthur
18 Sept
Winterthur
2 : 1
Aarau
11 Sept
Etoile-Carouge
0 : 1
Winterthur
Page 1 of 6

Luzern

(Away)
03 Oct
Freiburg
4 : 2
Luzern
19 Sept
Luzern
5 : 1
Grasshoppers
13 Sept
Luzern
2 : 4
Basel
05 Sept
Young Boys
3 : 3
Luzern
02 Sept
Luzern
2 : 1
Vaduz
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
FC Aesch 1
Langenthal 5
Meyrin 0
Xamax 1
FC Interlaken 1
Bulle 4
Rebstein 2
Wil 6
Koniz 3
Munsingen 1
Wiesendangen 0
Bruhl SG 6
CS Italien 1
Lausanne Ouchy 8
Collex-Bossy 0
Etoile-Carouge 2
Kaufdorf 0
Old Boys 5
Terre Sainte 0
Yverdon 5
Amical Saint-Prex 1
Stade Nyonnais 3
Courtetelle 1
Basel 6
Rotkreuz 4
Bellinzona 1
Bavois 0
Servette 7
Rorschach 2
Schaffhausen 4
FC Saxon-Sports 0
Thun 6
Biel 3
Aarau 4
Tuggen 1
Zurich 2
Young Fellows Juventus 1
Rapperswil-Jona 6
Thalwil 0
St. Gallen 3
Zurich City SC 1
Winterthur 3
Buochs 0
Luzern 3
Mutschellen 3
FC Winkeln SG 4
Kosova Neuchatel 0
Lausanne 6
Courrendlin-Courroux 0
Grenchen 1
Regensdorf 0
Grasshoppers 5
Pully 2
Genolier-Begnins 0
Vedeggio 1
Lugano 10
Taverne 2
Brunnen 1
Liestal 0
Young Boys 4
Cham 2
Kriens 0
Kerzers 1
Sion 6
1/16-finals
Langenthal -
Xamax -
Bulle -
Wil -
Koniz -
Bruhl SG -
Lausanne Ouchy -
Etoile-Carouge -
Old Boys -
Yverdon -
Stade Nyonnais -
Basel -
Rotkreuz -
Servette -
Schaffhausen -
Thun -
Aarau -
Zurich -
Rapperswil-Jona -
St. Gallen -
Winterthur -
Luzern -
FC Winkeln SG -
Lausanne -
Grenchen -
Grasshoppers -
Pully -
Lugano -
Taverne -
Young Boys -
Cham -
Sion -
1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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