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Wolverhampton W vs Rugby Borough W

England England

Women’s FA Cup New Bucks Head
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

This Women’s FA Cup encounter between Wolverhampton W and Rugby Borough W promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Wolverhampton W averages 3.1 goals scored and 0.5 conceded in recent matches. Rugby Borough W shows a form average of 2.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. Both teams have demonstrated potent attacking threats recently, hinting at a potentially open and high-scoring contest. Historical head-to-head records show 4 wins for Wolverhampton W, 0 wins for Rugby Borough W, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 02.04.26 ended in a 4:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 2.56 for Wolverhampton W and 0.69 for Rugby Borough W, suggesting the primary value lies in the Wolverhampton W double chance or over markets.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

52%
Wolverhampton W
15%
Uavgjort
33%
Rugby Borough W
Uavgjort-prognose: 15% Favoritt: Wolverhampton W

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

78% / Høy Sikkerhet
  • Wolverhampton W har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Rugby Borough W.
  • Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (2.56 vs 0.69 xG).
  • Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for hjemmelaget.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 68%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 88%
Over 1.5 Mål 85%
Over 2.5 Mål 68%
Over 3.5 Mål 41%
Over 4.5 Mål 20%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 47%
Wolverhampton W Rent bur 28%
Rugby Borough W Rent bur 10%
Mål 1. omgang 77%
Mål 2. omgang 81%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Wolverhampton W Rugby Borough W
Kamper Spilt 31 30
Seire 28 16
Uavgjort 1 7
Tap 2 7
Mål Scoret 3.06 2.03
Mål Sluppet Inn 0.52 1.27
Forventede Mål (xG) 3.38 1.25
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 0.13 1.75

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

02.04.26 Women's National League North
Wolverhampton W vs Rugby Borough W
4:0
26.10.25 Women’s FA Cup
Wolverhampton W vs Rugby Borough W
2:1
31.08.25 Women's National League North
Rugby Borough W vs Wolverhampton W
2:3
02.02.25 Women's National League North
Rugby Borough W vs Wolverhampton W
1:1
06.10.24 Women's National League North
Wolverhampton W vs Rugby Borough W
2:0

Taktisk Profil

Posisjonering og Kontrollstil

Wolverhampton W

Pressintensitet Aggressivt press (PPDA < 9.5)
Angrepsstil Holde på ballen
Flügelspill-Frekvens Mye innlegg
Forsvarsoppstilling Ligge dypt
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Rugby Borough W

Pressintensitet Medium blokk
Angrepsstil Hurtige kontringer
Flügelspill-Frekvens Mye innlegg
Forsvarsoppstilling Ligge dypt
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Wolverhampton W 52 / 100
Rugby Borough W 32 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Wolverhampton W Rugby Borough W

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Double Chance: Wolverhampton W or Draw (1X)
Sekundærtips Under 3.5 Goals
Halvtidstips Home Win (HT)
BTTS Prognose No (NG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Value Bet Finder (+EV)

Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +18%
2.27
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.5%
1.61
*EV represents Erventet verdi. Positiv edge betyr at bookmakerne priser spillet for lavt.

Erventet Kampforløp

Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker

0' - 15' Dominansindeks

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Wolverhampton W 57%
Rugby Borough W 26%
15' - 30' Dominansindeks

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Wolverhampton W 49%
Rugby Borough W 35%
30' - 45' Dominansindeks

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Wolverhampton W 52%
Rugby Borough W 33%
45' - 60' Dominansindeks

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Wolverhampton W 55%
Rugby Borough W 31%
60' - 75' Dominansindeks

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Wolverhampton W 47%
Rugby Borough W 36%
75' - 90' Dominansindeks

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Wolverhampton W 60%
Rugby Borough W 38%

Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd

Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk

Wolverhampton W angriper → ← angriper Rugby Borough W

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Wolverhampton W have found the net in 94% of their last 31 matches.

Rugby Borough W have conceded at least one goal in 67% of their last 30 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 3.20 goals per match.

Wolverhampton W remained undefeated in 5 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Rugby Borough W suffered defeat in 1 of their last 5 overall games.

Risikoanalyse

Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter

Risikonivå: Moderat
Risikofaktor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risikofaktor

Knockout cup fixture where progress is the sole objective; expect high motivation and potential extra time drama.

Risikofaktor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Teamvergleich

Statistikk-sammenligning

85 Poeng siste 5 55
3.38 Forventede mål (xG) 1.25
0.13 Forventede mål sluppet inn (xGA) 1.75