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Albania vs Finland - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League
Do., 12. Nov. 2026
VS
07:45 PM
Unser Tipp

Spielzusammenfassung

Albania host Finland in the UEFA Nations League. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Finland have shipped 1.67 goals a game lately, while Albania have conceded 0.94 and scored 1.13. Head-to-head, Albania have won 0 to Finland's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on 3. Okt. 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.06 - 1.50) back Albania to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter

Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form

30%
Albania
39%
Unentschieden
31%
Finland
Unentschieden-Quote: 39% Favorit: Draw

Modell-Vertrauen

Gesamter Indikatorwert

65% / Mittel Vertrauen
  • Look at the last few games and Albania come out ahead of Finland on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Nations League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 78%).
  • History favors Finland here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner

Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie

Über 0.5 Tore 92%
Über 1.5 Tore 82%
Über 2.5 Tore 78%
Über 3.5 Tore 25.5%
Über 4.5 Tore 11%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 68.6%
Albania Ohne Gegentor 16%
Finland Ohne Gegentor 14%

Formanalyse der Teams

Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel

Metrik Albania Finland
Spiele 31 30
Siege 13 10
Unentschieden 5 3
Niederlagen 13 17
Erzielte Tore 1.13 1.33
Gegentore 0.94 1.67
Erwartete Tore (xG) 1.06 1.50
Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten

3. Okt. 2026 UEFA Nations League
Finland vs Albania
2:1
7. Jan. 2002 Friendly International
Albania vs Finland
1:1
1. Sept. 2001 World Championship
Albania vs Finland
0:2
2. Sept. 2000 World Championship
Finland vs Albania
2:1
1. Sept. 1981 World Championship
Finland vs Albania
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum-Index

Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)

Albania 30 / 100
Finland 31 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).

Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke

ANGRIFF ABWEHR BALLBESITZ DISZIPLIN
Albania Finland

Vorhersage-Engine

Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte

Haupttipp Albania Win (1)
Nebentipp Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS-Prognose Yes (GG)
Über/Unter Tipp Over 2.5

Smart Insights

Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster

Finland let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Albania found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (31 games).

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Albania went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Tor-Trends

Albania VS Finland
1 Erzielte Tore 1.88
1.13 Kassierte Tore 1.13
50% Über 1.5 75%
25% Über 2.5 63%
13% Über 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Albania

(Home)
06 Oct
Albania
2 : 1
San Marino
03 Oct
Finland
2 : 1
Albania
29 Sept
San Marino
0 : 3
Albania
26 Sept
Albania
2 : 0
Belarus
06 Jun
Albania
0 : 1
Luxembourg
Page 1 of 7

Finland

(Away)
06 Oct
Belarus
1 : 0
Finland
03 Oct
Finland
2 : 1
Albania
29 Sept
Finland
0 : 0
Belarus
26 Sept
San Marino
0 : 7
Finland
05 Jun
Hungary
2 : 1
Finland
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Albania 4 3 0 1 8:3 9
2 Belarus 4 2 1 1 5:2 7
3 Finland 4 2 1 1 9:2 7
4 San Marino 4 0 0 4 1:16 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Montenegro 4 3 1 0 7:4 10
2 Cyprus 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
3 Armenia 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
4 Latvia 4 0 1 3 2:6 1
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slovakia 4 3 1 0 9:2 10
2 Faroe Islands 4 0 4 0 5:5 4
3 Moldova 4 1 1 2 3:8 4
4 Kazakhstan 4 0 2 2 5:7 2
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iceland 4 2 2 0 7:1 8
2 Estonia 4 1 3 0 2:1 6
3 Bulgaria 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
4 Luxembourg 4 1 0 3 2:7 3
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)