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AS Roma vs Real Madrid - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

UEFA Champions League Stadio Olimpico, Rome
Mi., 14. Okt. 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Unser Tipp

Spielzusammenfassung

AS Roma host Real Madrid in the Champions League. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. AS Roma have averaged 2.1 scored and 1.38 conceded recently, against Real Madrid's 2.21 scored and 1.14 conceded. Head-to-head, AS Roma have won 1 to Real Madrid's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on 11. Aug. 2019, ending 3:2. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 1.50) point toward Real Madrid. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter

Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form

60%
AS Roma
22%
Unentschieden
18%
Real Madrid
Unentschieden-Quote: 22% Favorit: AS Roma

Modell-Vertrauen

Gesamter Indikatorwert

82% / Sehr Hoch Vertrauen
  • Look at the last few games and Real Madrid come out ahead of AS Roma on wins alone.
  • Model gives AS Roma a 60% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Champions League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Real Madrid have taken 4 of them.

Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner

Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie

Über 0.5 Tore 92%
Über 1.5 Tore 82%
Über 2.5 Tore 78%
Über 3.5 Tore 37.5%
Über 4.5 Tore 17%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 75%
AS Roma Ohne Gegentor 16%
Real Madrid Ohne Gegentor 10%

Formanalyse der Teams

Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel

Metrik AS Roma Real Madrid
Spiele 29 29
Siege 14 20
Unentschieden 8 3
Niederlagen 7 6
Erzielte Tore 2.1 2.21
Gegentore 1.38 1.14
Erwartete Tore (xG) 1.38 1.50
Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten

11. Aug. 2019 Club Friendly
AS Roma vs Real Madrid
3:2
27. Nov. 2018 Champions League
AS Roma vs Real Madrid
0:2
19. Sept. 2018 Champions League
Real Madrid vs AS Roma
3:0
8. Aug. 2018 International Champions Cup
Real Madrid vs AS Roma
2:1
8. März 2016 Champions League
Real Madrid vs AS Roma
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum-Index

Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)

AS Roma 57 / 100
Real Madrid 18 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).

Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke

ANGRIFF ABWEHR BALLBESITZ DISZIPLIN
AS Roma Real Madrid

Vorhersage-Engine

Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte

Haupttipp AS Roma Win (1)
Nebentipp Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS-Prognose Yes (GG)
Über/Unter Tipp Over 2.5

Smart Insights

Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster

AS Roma scored in 93% of their last 29 games.

Solid form: AS Roma remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Real Madrid has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Tor-Trends

AS Roma VS Real Madrid
2.13 Erzielte Tore 2.25
0.75 Kassierte Tore 0.63
88% Über 1.5 75%
63% Über 2.5 75%
50% Über 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

AS Roma

(Home)
19 Sept
AS Roma
2 : 2
Inter
14 Sept
Torino
0 : 2
AS Roma
10 Sept
Fenerbahce
1 : 1
AS Roma
05 Sept
AS Roma
2 : 1
Atalanta
31 Aug
Lecce
0 : 4
AS Roma
Page 1 of 6

Real Madrid

(Away)
20 Sept
Atl. Madrid
2 : 1
Real Madrid
15 Sept
Elche
2 : 3
Real Madrid
12 Sept
Real Madrid
4 : 1
Rayo Vallecano
08 Sept
Real Madrid
2 : 1
Inter
04 Sept
Betis
1 : 0
Real Madrid
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSG 1 1 0 0 6:1 3
2 Bayern Munich 1 1 0 0 5:0 3
3 Barcelona 1 1 0 0 5:1 3
4 Manchester United 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
5 Como 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
6 VfB Stuttgart 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
7 Sporting CP 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
8 Manchester City 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
9 Aston Villa 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
10 Lens 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
11 Betis 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
12 Dortmund 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
13 Liverpool 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
14 Real Madrid 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
15 Arsenal 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
16 AEK 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
17 AS Roma 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
18 Shakhtar 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
19 PSV 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
20 Fenerbahce 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
21 Villarreal 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
22 Lille 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
23 Slavia Prague 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
24 Club Brugge 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
25 Inter 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
26 Atl. Madrid 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
27 Napoli 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
28 LASK Linz 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
29 Viking 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
30 Galatasaray 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
31 FC Porto 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
32 RB Leipzig 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
33 Feyenoord 1 0 0 1 1:5 0
34 Sabah Baku 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
35 Slovan Bratislava 1 0 0 1 1:6 0
36 Bodo/Glimt 1 0 0 1 0:5 0
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)