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Stadium Background

Atletico-MG vs Gremio - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brasilien Brasilien

Copa do Brasil MRV Arena, Belo Horizonte
Sa., 7. Nov. 2026
VS
09:00 PM
Unser Tipp

Spielzusammenfassung

The first leg ended 2-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Atletico-MG have averaged 1.39 scored and 1 conceded recently, against Gremio's 1.36 scored and 1.36 conceded. Head-to-head, Atletico-MG have won 1 to Gremio's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on 1. Nov. 2026, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.20 vs 1.00, favoring Gremio. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.

Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter

Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form

9%
Atletico-MG
11%
Unentschieden
80%
Gremio
Unentschieden-Quote: 11% Favorit: Gremio

Modell-Vertrauen

Gesamter Indikatorwert

93% / Sehr Hoch Vertrauen
  • Atletico-MG carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Gremio taking it.
  • Atletico-MG have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Gremio, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Starke Defensiven sprechen für ein kontrolliertes, torarmes Spiel.
  • Gremio have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner

Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie

Über 0.5 Tore 85%
Über 1.5 Tore 75%
Über 2.5 Tore 25%
Über 3.5 Tore 22%
Über 4.5 Tore 10%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Atletico-MG Ohne Gegentor 23%
Gremio Ohne Gegentor 68%

Formanalyse der Teams

Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel

Metrik Atletico-MG Gremio
Spiele 28 28
Siege 14 10
Unentschieden 8 7
Niederlagen 6 11
Erzielte Tore 1.39 1.36
Gegentore 1 1.36
Erwartete Tore (xG) 1.20 1.00
Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten

1. Nov. 2026 Copa do Brasil
Gremio vs Atletico-MG
2:0
16. Aug. 2026 Serie A
Atletico-MG vs Gremio
3:0
26. Feb. 2026 Serie A
Gremio vs Atletico-MG
2:1
17. Aug. 2025 Serie A
Atletico-MG vs Gremio
1:3
29. März 2025 Serie A
Gremio vs Atletico-MG
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum-Index

Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)

Atletico-MG 13 / 100
Gremio 86 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).

Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke

ANGRIFF ABWEHR BALLBESITZ DISZIPLIN
Atletico-MG Gremio

Vorhersage-Engine

Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte

Haupttipp Gremio Win (2)
Nebentipp Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS-Prognose No (NG)
Über/Unter Tipp Under 2.5

Smart Insights

Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster

Atletico-MG found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (28 games).

Gremio's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Atletico-MG stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Tor-Trends

Atletico-MG VS Gremio
1.5 Erzielte Tore 1.38
1.13 Kassierte Tore 1.13
75% Über 1.5 75%
50% Über 2.5 25%
25% Über 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico-MG

(Home)
01 Nov
Gremio
2 : 0
Atletico-MG
29 Oct
Atletico-MG
0 : 1
Cruzeiro
26 Oct
Flamengo RJ
3 : 2
Atletico-MG
21 Oct
Montevideo City
2 : 0
Atletico-MG
17 Oct
Atletico-MG
1 : 0
Coritiba
Page 1 of 6

Gremio

(Away)
01 Nov
Gremio
2 : 0
Atletico-MG
30 Oct
Gremio
2 : 0
Athletico-PR
26 Oct
Coritiba
0 : 1
Gremio
18 Oct
Gremio
2 : 4
Cruzeiro
11 Oct
Gremio
1 : 1
Internacional
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/256-finals
Sampaio Correa FE 1
Desportiva Ferroviaria 2
TBD -
Sport Recife -
Anapolis -
TBD -
TBD -
Cianorte -
Rio Branco ES -
TBD -
TBD -
Athletic Club -
Ypiranga FC -
TBD -
Ji-Parana 2
Pantanal 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Internacional -
Ivinhema 1
Independente AP 0
TBD -
Volta Redonda -
America RN -
TBD -
TBD -
Gremio Atletico Sampaio -
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
America MG -
TBD -
America de Propria 1
Tirol 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Corinthians -
Bragantino -
TBD -
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Mirassol -
Gremio -
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TBD -
Vasco da Gama AC 1
Velo Clube 2
TBD -
Vila Nova FC -
ASA -
TBD -
TBD -
Operario MS -
Confianca -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tombense -
TBD -
TBD -
Oratorio -
Botafogo RJ -
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Chapecoense-SC -
Boavista -
TBD -
TBD -
Maringa FC -
Retro -
TBD -
TBD -
Uberlandia -
Gama 2
Monte Roraima 0
TBD -
Goias -
Trem -
TBD -
TBD -
Fluminense-PI -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Cruzeiro -
Atletico-MG -
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Joinville -
TBD -
TBD -
CSA -
Sao Bernardo -
TBD -
TBD -
Alagoinhas -
Sao Luiz -
TBD -
TBD -
Maranhao -
Ceara -
TBD -
Araguaina 0
Primavera EC 3
Sao Paulo -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tuna Luso -
TBD -
TBD -
Tocantinopolis -
EC Juventude -
TBD -
Galvez 1
Guapore 2
Bare 0
Madureira 3
TBD -
ABC -
Aguia De Maraba -
TBD -
TBD -
Independencia Futebol Clube -
Portuguesa -
TBD -
TBD -
AE Altos -
Avai -
TBD -
TBD -
Porto Vitoria -
Paysandu PA -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Portuguesa RJ -
TBD -
TBD -
Maracana -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
Vasco -
Capital FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Manaus FC -
Londrina -
TBD -
TBD -
SC Penedense -
Betim FC 1
Piaui 0
TBD -
Operario-PR -
Juazeirense -
TBD -
TBD -
Capital -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Fluminense -
Athletico-PR -
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Operario VG -
TBD -
TBD -
Porto Velho -
Atletico GO -
TBD -
Primavera AC 2
Bragantino PA 1
Ponte Preta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
SER Caxias do Sul -
TBD -
TBD -
Guarany de Bage -
Flamengo RJ -
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Vitoria -
Palmeiras -
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Santa Catarina 2
IAPE 0
TBD -
Cuiaba -
Ceilandia -
TBD -
TBD -
Jacuipense -
Mixto -
TBD -
TBD -
Botafogo PB -
Novorizontino -
TBD -
TBD -
Nacional-AM (Manaus) -
Castanhal -
TBD -
TBD -
Guarani -
Nova Iguacu -
TBD -
TBD -
Lagarto -
Manauara -
TBD -
TBD -
Itabaiana -
Fortaleza -
TBD -
Maguary 1
Laguna RN 0
Santa Cruz -
TBD -
TBD -
Sousa -
CRB -
TBD -
Porto-BA 2
Serra Branca 1
Imperatriz -
TBD -
TBD -
Amazonas -
Figueirense -
TBD -
TBD -
Azuriz -
Santos -
TBD -
TBD -
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Coritiba -
Bahia -
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Remo -
1/128-finals
Desportiva Ferroviaria 0
Sport Recife 1
Anapolis 3
Cianorte 1
Rio Branco ES 1
Athletic Club 2
Ypiranga FC 2
Ji-Parana 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Internacional -
Ivinhema 2
Volta Redonda 4
America RN 3
Gremio Atletico Sampaio 0
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) -
TBD -
America MG 2
Tirol 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Corinthians -
Bragantino -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mirassol -
Gremio -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Velo Clube 0
Vila Nova FC 1
ASA 1
Operario MS 2
Confianca -
TBD -
Tombense 2
Oratorio 1
Botafogo RJ -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chapecoense-SC -
Boavista 2
Maringa FC 3
Retro 1
Uberlandia 2
Gama 2
Goias 3
Trem 0
Fluminense-PI 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cruzeiro -
Atletico-MG -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Joinville 1
CSA 0
Sao Bernardo 2
Alagoinhas 0
Sao Luiz 0
Maranhao 1
Ceara 2
Primavera EC 1
Sao Paulo -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tuna Luso 4
Tocantinopolis 1
EC Juventude 5
Guapore 0
Madureira 1
ABC 0
Aguia De Maraba 2
Independencia Futebol Clube 0
Portuguesa 5
AE Altos 1
Avai 3
Porto Vitoria 0
Paysandu PA -
TBD -
Portuguesa RJ 1
Maracana 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vasco -
Capital FC 1
Manaus FC 2
Londrina 1
SC Penedense 0
Betim FC 0
Operario-PR 2
Juazeirense 1
Capital 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fluminense -
Athletico-PR -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Operario VG 1
Porto Velho 2
Atletico GO 1
Primavera AC 0
Ponte Preta -
TBD -
SER Caxias do Sul 0
Guarany de Bage 1
Flamengo RJ -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitoria -
Palmeiras -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Santa Catarina 2
Cuiaba 1
Ceilandia 1
Jacuipense 2
Mixto 2
Botafogo PB 1
Novorizontino 4
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 0
Castanhal 2
Guarani 1
Nova Iguacu 2
Lagarto 1
Manauara 3
Itabaiana 1
Fortaleza 4
Maguary 3
Santa Cruz 0
Sousa 1
CRB 6
Porto-BA 0
Imperatriz 0
Amazonas 3
Figueirense 1
Azuriz 0
Santos -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coritiba -
Bahia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Remo -
1/64-finals
Sport Recife 2
Anapolis 1
Athletic Club 2
Ypiranga FC 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Internacional -
Volta Redonda 1
America RN 0
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 1
America MG 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Corinthians -
Bragantino -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mirassol -
Gremio -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vila Nova FC 2
Operario MS 1
Confianca 2
Tombense 0
Botafogo RJ -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chapecoense-SC -
Maringa FC 3
Uberlandia 2
Goias 3
Fluminense-PI 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cruzeiro -
Atletico-MG -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Joinville 0
Sao Bernardo 1
Maranhao 0
Ceara 1
Sao Paulo -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tuna Luso 1
EC Juventude 2
Madureira 0
Aguia De Maraba 1
Portuguesa 2
Avai 1
Paysandu PA 3
Portuguesa RJ 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vasco -
Manaus FC 0
Londrina 1
Operario-PR 2
Capital 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fluminense -
Athletico-PR -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Porto Velho 0
Atletico GO 1
Ponte Preta 1
Guarany de Bage 0
Flamengo RJ -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitoria -
Palmeiras -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Santa Catarina 0
Jacuipense 1
Mixto 0
Novorizontino 3
Castanhal 0
Nova Iguacu 4
Manauara 0
Fortaleza 1
Sousa 0
CRB 2
Amazonas 0
Figueirense 1
Santos -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coritiba -
Bahia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Remo -
1/32-finals
Sport Recife 1
Athletic Club 3
TBD -
Internacional -
Volta Redonda 0
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 1
TBD -
Corinthians -
Bragantino -
TBD -
TBD -
Mirassol -
Gremio -
TBD -
Vila Nova FC 0
Confianca 1
Botafogo RJ -
TBD -
TBD -
Chapecoense-SC -
Maringa FC 0
Goias 1
TBD -
Cruzeiro -
Atletico-MG -
TBD -
Sao Bernardo 0
Ceara 1
Sao Paulo -
TBD -
EC Juventude 3
Aguia De Maraba 0
Portuguesa 2
Paysandu PA 3
TBD -
Vasco -
Londrina 0
Operario-PR 1
TBD -
Fluminense -
Athletico-PR -
TBD -
Atletico GO 1
Ponte Preta 0
Flamengo RJ -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitoria -
Palmeiras -
TBD -
Jacuipense 1
Novorizontino 0
Nova Iguacu 0
Fortaleza 1
CRB 1
Figueirense 0
Santos -
TBD -
TBD -
Coritiba -
Bahia -
TBD -
TBD -
Remo -
1/16-finals
Athletic Club 3
Internacional 5
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 0
Corinthians 2
Bragantino 2
Mirassol 3
Gremio 5
Confianca 0
Botafogo RJ 1
Chapecoense-SC 2
Goias 2
Cruzeiro 3
Atletico-MG 4
Ceara 3
Sao Paulo 2
EC Juventude 3
Paysandu PA 2
Vasco 4
Operario-PR 1
Fluminense 2
Athletico-PR 1
Atletico GO 0
Flamengo RJ 2
Vitoria 3
Palmeiras 7
Jacuipense 1
Fortaleza 2
CRB 1
Santos 2
Coritiba 0
Bahia 2
Remo 5
1/8-finals
Internacional 3
Corinthians 2
Mirassol 1
Gremio 2
Chapecoense-SC 0
Cruzeiro 2
Atletico-MG 1
EC Juventude 0
Vasco 3
Fluminense 1
Athletico-PR 2
Vitoria 4
Palmeiras 5
Fortaleza 3
Santos 1
Remo 0
Quarter-finals
Internacional 1
Gremio 3
Cruzeiro 2
Atletico-MG 3
Vasco 3
Vitoria 0
Palmeiras 3
Santos 0
Semi-finals
Gremio 2
Atletico-MG 0
Vasco 0
Palmeiras 1
Final
TBD -
TBD -