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Barnsley vs Leeds U21

England England

EFL Trophy Oakwell, Barnsley
Di., 22. Sept. 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Unser Tipp

Spielzusammenfassung

A one-off knockout match in the EFL Trophy. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Leeds U21 have shipped 2.17 goals a game lately, while Barnsley have conceded 1.36 and scored 1.32. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (1.50 - 1.13) back Barnsley to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter

Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form

90%
Barnsley
6%
Unentschieden
4%
Leeds U21
Unentschieden-Quote: 6% Favorit: Barnsley

Modell-Vertrauen

Gesamter Indikatorwert

95% / Sehr Hoch Vertrauen
  • Form's been kind to Barnsley lately — more wins on the board than Leeds U21.
  • Win probability leans Barnsley's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Barnsley have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 78%).

Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner

Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie

Über 0.5 Tore 92%
Über 1.5 Tore 82%
Über 2.5 Tore 78%
Über 3.5 Tore 37.5%
Über 4.5 Tore 17%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 74.2%
Barnsley Ohne Gegentor 20%
Leeds U21 Ohne Gegentor 10%

Formanalyse der Teams

Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel

Metrik Barnsley Leeds U21
Spiele 28 29
Siege 9 7
Unentschieden 8 4
Niederlagen 11 18
Erzielte Tore 1.32 1.24
Gegentore 1.36 2.17
Erwartete Tore (xG) 1.50 1.13
Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten

SokaPicks Momentum-Index

Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)

Barnsley 85 / 100
Leeds U21 10 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).

Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke

ANGRIFF ABWEHR BALLBESITZ DISZIPLIN
Barnsley Leeds U21

Vorhersage-Engine

Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte

Haupttipp Barnsley Win (1)
Nebentipp Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS-Prognose Yes (GG)
Über/Unter Tipp Over 2.5

Smart Insights

Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster

Barnsley found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Leeds U21 conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Barnsley remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Leeds U21 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Tor-Trends

Barnsley VS Leeds U21
1 Erzielte Tore 1
1.25 Kassierte Tore 2
63% Über 1.5 50%
50% Über 2.5 50%
25% Über 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Barnsley

(Home)
15 Aug
Barnsley
0 : 1
Bromley
08 Aug
Barnsley
2 : 1
Wigan
02 Aug
Guiseley
1 : 1
Barnsley
01 Aug
Barnsley
3 : 0
Lincoln City
25 Jul
Scarborough Athletic
0 : 2
Barnsley
Page 1 of 6

Leeds U21

(Away)
18 Aug
Boreham Wood
5 : 2
Leeds U21
14 Aug
Stoke City U21
0 : 0
Leeds U21
13 Apr
Leeds U21
2 : 3
Leicester U21
03 Apr
Leeds U21
1 : 2
Manchester United U21
20 Mar
Southampton U21
2 : 1
Leeds U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sheffield Wed 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Accrington 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Salford 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Sunderland U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wigan 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
2 Blackpool 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Crewe 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Aston Villa U21 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bradford City 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Rotherham 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 York City 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Newcastle Utd U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City U21 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
2 Port Vale 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Chesterfield 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Mansfield 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stockport County 1 1 0 0 6:3 3
2 Tranmere 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Shrewsbury 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Everton U21 1 0 0 1 3:6 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Grimsby 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Notts County 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Burton 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Nottingham U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barnsley 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Oldham 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Fleetwood Town 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Leeds U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rochdale 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Doncaster 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Huddersfield 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Liverpool U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cheltenham 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Exeter 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Oxford Utd 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Tottenham U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leicester 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Walsall 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Stevenage 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Fulham U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Reading 1 1 0 0 1:1 2
2 Wycombe 1 0 0 1 1:1 1
3 Bristol Rovers 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Chelsea U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colchester 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Luton 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Peterborough 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Ipswich U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 13)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Plymouth 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Swindon 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Newport 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Crystal Palace U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 14)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barnet 1 1 0 0 5:1 3
2 Leyton Orient 1 1 0 0 1:1 2
3 AFC Wimbledon 1 0 0 1 1:1 1
4 Arsenal U21 1 0 0 1 1:5 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 15)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brighton U21 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
2 Gillingham 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Cambridge Utd 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Northampton 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 16)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Milton Keynes Dons 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Crawley Town 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Bromley 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Brentford U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)