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Barry Town vs Tredegar Town - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

FAW Welsh Cup Jenner Park, Barry
Sa., 17. Okt. 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Unser Tipp

Spielzusammenfassung

A one-off knockout match in the FAW Welsh Cup. Barry Town are expected to control this from the start. Barry Town have averaged 2.13 scored and 1.29 conceded recently, against Tredegar Town's 0.67 scored and 2 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 1.79 vs 1.06, favoring Barry Town. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter

Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form

36%
Barry Town
44%
Unentschieden
20%
Tredegar Town
Unentschieden-Quote: 44% Favorit: Draw

Modell-Vertrauen

Gesamter Indikatorwert

71% / Mittel Vertrauen
  • Barry Town carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Barry Town have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 78%).

Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner

Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie

Über 0.5 Tore 92%
Über 1.5 Tore 82%
Über 2.5 Tore 78%
Über 3.5 Tore 25%
Über 4.5 Tore 11%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 77.4%
Barry Town Ohne Gegentor 20%
Tredegar Town Ohne Gegentor 10%

Formanalyse der Teams

Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel

Metrik Barry Town Tredegar Town
Spiele 38 3
Siege 24 0
Unentschieden 4 0
Niederlagen 10 3
Erzielte Tore 2.13 0.67
Gegentore 1.29 2
Erwartete Tore (xG) 1.79 1.06
Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten

SokaPicks Momentum-Index

Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)

Barry Town 36 / 100
Tredegar Town 20 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).

Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke

ANGRIFF ABWEHR BALLBESITZ DISZIPLIN
Barry Town Tredegar Town

Vorhersage-Engine

Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte

Haupttipp Tredegar Town Win (2)
Nebentipp Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS-Prognose Yes (GG)
Über/Unter Tipp Over 2.5

Smart Insights

Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster

Barry Town's goal record stands at 92% scoring rate across 38 recent games.

Tredegar Town let in goals in 100% of their last 3 matches.

Tredegar Town's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Recent resilience: Barry Town stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Tor-Trends

Barry Town VS Tredegar Town
2.38 Erzielte Tore 0
1.13 Kassierte Tore 0
75% Über 1.5 0%
75% Über 2.5 0%
50% Über 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Barry Town

(Home)
09 Oct
Penybont
3 : 1
Barry Town
03 Oct
Caernarfon
0 : 1
Barry Town
26 Sept
Barry Town
1 : 4
Connahs Q.
18 Sept
Colwyn Bay
5 : 2
Barry Town
15 Sept
Barry Town
2 : 2
Ammanford Town
Page 1 of 8

Tredegar Town

(Away)
20 Sept
Tredegar Town
1 : 3
Glynneath Town
19 Oct
Cefn Cribwr
2 : 1
Tredegar Town
13 Sept
Tredegar Town
0 : 1
Gresford

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
TNS -
Coedpoeth -
Guilsfield -
Llannefydd -
Llandudno FC -
Newtown -
Llanuwchllyn -
Bala -
Holyhead -
Connahs Q. -
Porthmadog -
Penycae FC -
Dolgellau Athletic -
Aberystwyth -
Prestatyn -
Flint Town -
Caernarfon -
Llay Welfare -
Holywell Town FC -
Buckley -
Colwyn Bay -
Brickfield Rangers -
Llangefni -
Denbigh -
Bangor 1876 -
Cefn Albion -
Felinheli -
Llysfaen -
Mochdre Sports -
Pontarddulais -
Goytre Utd -
Trefelin -
Llantwit Major -
Afan Lido -
Penybont -
Caerau Ely -
Llanelli -
Blaen-y-Maes -
Ely Rangers -
Radnor Valley -
Cardiff Draconians -
Barry Town -
Tredegar Town -
Cwmaman Institute -
Ammanford Town -
Llangennech -
Pontardawe -
Caerphilly -
Chepstow Town -
Evans Williams -
Rockspur -
Briton Ferry -
Afan United -
Llantwit Fardre -
Baglan Dragons -
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
Ynyshir Albions -
Cambrian United -
Trethomas Bluebirds -
Carmarthen Town -
Newport City -
Haverfordwest -
Cardiff Corries -
1/16-finals
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1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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