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Blackpool vs Aston Villa U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

EFL Trophy Bloomfield Road, Blackpool
Di., 27. Okt. 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Unser Tipp

Spielzusammenfassung

The first leg ended 1-2. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Aston Villa U21 have shipped 2.07 goals a game lately, while Blackpool have conceded 1.61 and scored 1.39. Head-to-head, Blackpool have won 0 to Aston Villa U21's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on 17. Dez. 2024, ending 1:2. The numbers (2.13 xG vs 2.00) point toward Aston Villa U21. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter

Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form

50%
Blackpool
28%
Unentschieden
22%
Aston Villa U21
Unentschieden-Quote: 28% Favorit: Blackpool

Modell-Vertrauen

Gesamter Indikatorwert

76% / Hoch Vertrauen
  • Blackpool carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Blackpool's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Blackpool have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Aston Villa U21, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 81%).

Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner

Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie

Über 0.5 Tore 99%
Über 1.5 Tore 100%
Über 2.5 Tore 81%
Über 3.5 Tore 69%
Über 4.5 Tore 31%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 75.4%
Blackpool Ohne Gegentor 10%
Aston Villa U21 Ohne Gegentor 10%

Formanalyse der Teams

Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel

Metrik Blackpool Aston Villa U21
Spiele 28 30
Siege 12 11
Unentschieden 4 6
Niederlagen 12 13
Erzielte Tore 1.39 1.73
Gegentore 1.61 2.07
Erwartete Tore (xG) 2.13 2.00
Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten

17. Dez. 2024 EFL Trophy
Blackpool vs Aston Villa U21
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum-Index

Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)

Blackpool 47 / 100
Aston Villa U21 22 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).

Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke

ANGRIFF ABWEHR BALLBESITZ DISZIPLIN
Blackpool Aston Villa U21

Vorhersage-Engine

Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte

Haupttipp Blackpool Win (1)
Nebentipp Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS-Prognose Yes (GG)
Über/Unter Tipp Over 2.5

Smart Insights

Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster

Aston Villa U21 let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Blackpool's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Blackpool has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Tor-Trends

Blackpool VS Aston Villa U21
1.75 Erzielte Tore 1.88
2.13 Kassierte Tore 2.5
100% Über 1.5 100%
88% Über 2.5 88%
63% Über 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Blackpool

(Home)
06 Oct
Blackpool
3 : 2
Crewe
22 Sept
Wigan
3 : 2
Blackpool
19 Sept
Blackpool
2 : 4
Plymouth
12 Sept
Blackpool
2 : 2
Bromley
05 Sept
Reading
3 : 1
Blackpool
Page 1 of 6

Aston Villa U21

(Away)
22 Sept
Crewe
4 : 1
Aston Villa U21
18 Sept
Aston Villa U21
2 : 2
Middlesbrough U21
15 Sept
Aston Villa U21
5 : 1
Real Sociedad B
11 Sept
Fulham U21
3 : 3
Aston Villa U21
02 Sept
Aston Villa U21
0 : 4
Brondby U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sheffield Wed 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
2 Accrington 2 2 0 0 4:4 4
3 Salford 2 0 0 2 2:3 1
4 Sunderland U21 2 0 0 2 3:5 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wigan 2 2 0 0 6:4 6
2 Crewe 2 1 0 1 6:3 4
3 Blackpool 2 1 0 1 4:5 2
4 Aston Villa U21 2 0 0 2 3:7 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bradford City 2 2 0 0 6:1 6
2 Newcastle Utd U21 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
3 Rotherham 2 1 0 1 1:5 2
4 York City 2 0 0 2 2:4 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chesterfield 2 2 0 0 6:4 5
2 Port Vale 2 1 0 1 3:1 4
3 Manchester City U21 2 1 0 1 7:6 3
4 Mansfield 2 0 0 2 1:6 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stockport County 2 2 0 0 8:3 6
2 Tranmere 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
3 Everton U21 1 0 0 1 3:6 0
4 Shrewsbury 2 0 0 2 0:3 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Notts County 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
2 Burton 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
3 Nottingham U21 1 1 0 0 1:1 2
4 Grimsby 2 0 0 2 1:2 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fleetwood Town 2 1 0 1 4:2 3
2 Leeds U21 1 1 0 0 4:3 3
3 Oldham 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
4 Barnsley 2 0 0 2 4:8 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Huddersfield 2 2 0 0 8:1 6
2 Doncaster 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
3 Liverpool U21 2 1 0 1 3:4 2
4 Rochdale 2 0 0 2 3:8 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Exeter 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
2 Cheltenham 1 1 0 0 2:2 2
3 Oxford Utd 1 0 0 1 2:2 1
4 Tottenham U21 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stevenage 2 2 0 0 8:2 6
2 Leicester 2 1 0 1 7:3 3
3 Walsall 1 0 0 1 1:6 0
4 Fulham U21 1 0 0 1 1:6 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wycombe 3 2 0 1 7:3 7
2 Reading 1 1 0 0 1:1 2
3 Chelsea U21 2 1 0 1 3:4 2
4 Bristol Rovers 2 0 0 2 3:6 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Peterborough 2 2 0 0 7:2 6
2 Luton 2 2 0 0 7:1 5
3 Colchester 2 0 0 2 2:4 1
4 Ipswich U21 2 0 0 2 1:10 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 13)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Plymouth 2 2 0 0 7:3 5
2 Newport 2 1 0 1 4:2 4
3 Crystal Palace U21 2 1 0 1 3:6 3
4 Swindon 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 14)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barnet 2 2 0 0 5:1 5
2 Arsenal U21 2 1 0 1 3:6 3
3 AFC Wimbledon 2 0 0 2 1:1 2
4 Leyton Orient 2 1 0 1 2:3 2
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 15)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cambridge Utd 2 2 0 0 6:2 6
2 Brighton U21 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
3 Gillingham 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
4 Northampton 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 16)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Milton Keynes Dons 2 2 0 0 11:2 6
2 Crawley Town 2 1 0 1 5:4 3
3 Brentford U21 2 1 0 1 2:7 3
4 Bromley 2 0 0 2 0:5 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)