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Burkina Faso vs Mauritania - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations
Burkina Faso Logo

Burkina Faso

Mi., 11. Nov. 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Mauritania Logo

Mauritania

Unser Tipp
Zusammenfassung Siegchance Tore Form H2H Taktik Spieler Indizes Vorhersagen Spielverlauf Genauigkeit Vergleich

Spielzusammenfassung

The first leg ended 1-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Burkina Faso have averaged 1.79 scored and 1.29 conceded recently, against Mauritania's 0.75 scored and 0.89 conceded. Head-to-head, Burkina Faso have won 3 to Mauritania's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on 13. Aug. 2025, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 1.06, favoring Burkina Faso. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter

Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form

4%
Burkina Faso
6%
Unentschieden
90%
Mauritania
Unentschieden-Quote: 6% Favorit: Mauritania

Modell-Vertrauen

Gesamter Indikatorwert

95% / Sehr Hoch Vertrauen
  • Look at the last few games and Burkina Faso come out ahead of Mauritania on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Mauritania taking it.
  • Burkina Faso have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Burkina Faso, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 78%).

Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner

Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie

Über 0.5 Tore 92%
Über 1.5 Tore 82%
Über 2.5 Tore 78%
Über 3.5 Tore 19%
Über 4.5 Tore 9%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 66.6%
Burkina Faso Ohne Gegentor 20%
Mauritania Ohne Gegentor 13%

Formanalyse der Teams

Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel

Metrik Burkina Faso Mauritania
Spiele 38 28
Siege 20 8
Unentschieden 5 11
Niederlagen 13 9
Erzielte Tore 1.79 0.75
Gegentore 1.29 0.89
Erwartete Tore (xG) 1.13 1.06
Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten

13. Aug. 2025 African Nations Championship
Mauritania vs Burkina Faso
1:0
16. Jan. 2024 Africa Cup of Nations
Burkina Faso vs Mauritania
1:0
17. Okt. 2023 Friendly International
Mauritania vs Burkina Faso
1:2
30. Dez. 2021 Friendly International
Mauritania vs Burkina Faso
0:0
28. Sept. 2019 WAFU Cup of Nations
Burkina Faso vs Mauritania
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum-Index

Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)

Burkina Faso 10 / 100
Mauritania 84 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).

Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke

ANGRIFF ABWEHR BALLBESITZ DISZIPLIN
Burkina Faso Mauritania

Vorhersage-Engine

Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte

Haupttipp Mauritania Win (2)
Nebentipp Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS-Prognose Yes (GG)
Über/Unter Tipp Over 2.5

Smart Insights

Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster

Burkina Faso found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (38 games).

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Burkina Faso has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Mauritania let in goals in 54% of their last 28 matches.

Tor-Trends

Burkina Faso VS Mauritania
1.5 Erzielte Tore 0.75
1.38 Kassierte Tore 0.75
88% Über 1.5 50%
63% Über 2.5 25%
25% Über 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Burkina Faso

(Home)
04 Oct
Argentina
7 : 0
Burkina Faso
28 Sept
Central Africa
0 : 1
Burkina Faso
25 Sept
Burkina Faso
1 : 1
Benin
09 Jun
Belarus
2 : 2
Burkina Faso
05 Jun
Russia
3 : 0
Burkina Faso
Page 1 of 8

Mauritania

(Away)
29 Sept
Benin
2 : 1
Mauritania
24 Sept
Mauritania
3 : 1
Central Africa
08 Jun
Niger
0 : 1
Mauritania
05 Jun
Angola
1 : 1
Mauritania
27 Mar
Argentina
2 : 1
Mauritania
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
2 Gabon 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Niger 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
4 Lesotho 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Egypt 2 1 1 0 5:0 4
2 Angola 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
3 Malawi 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
4 South Sudan 2 0 0 2 1:7 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ivory Coast 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
2 Gambia 2 2 0 0 6:3 6
3 Somalia 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
4 Ghana 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Africa 2 2 0 0 7:1 6
2 Guinea 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Eritrea 2 0 1 1 1:6 1
4 Kenya 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 D.R. Congo 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
2 Zimbabwe 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
3 Equatorial Guinea 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
4 Sierra Leone 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benin 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
2 Burkina Faso 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
3 Mauritania 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
4 Central Africa 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cameroon 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
2 Comoros 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
3 Namibia 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
4 Congo 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uganda 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
2 Botswana 2 0 2 0 4:4 2
3 Tunisia 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
4 Libya 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Algeria 2 1 1 0 5:3 4
2 Zambia 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
3 Togo 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
4 Burundi 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Senegal 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
2 Mozambique 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
3 Sudan 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
4 Ethiopia 2 0 0 2 0:2 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rwanda 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
2 Mali 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
3 Cape Verde 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
4 Liberia 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guinea Bissau 2 2 0 0 5:0 6
2 Nigeria 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
3 Tanzania 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
4 Madagascar 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)