Sport Tipps
Buxton vs Merthyr Town - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
National League North 
Spielereignisse
17'
17'
Weston T.
45'
45'
Foulston J.
74'
74'
Williams J.
Own Goal
Spielzusammenfassung
The National League North game between Buxton and Merthyr Town finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Buxton.
Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter
Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form
60%
22%
18%
Unentschieden-Quote: 22% Favorit: Buxton
Modell-Vertrauen
Gesamter Indikatorwert
82%
/ Sehr Hoch Vertrauen
- Look at the last few games and Buxton come out ahead of Merthyr Town on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Buxton's way, sitting at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 78%).
- Buxton have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner
Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie
Über 0.5 Tore 92%
Über 1.5 Tore 82%
Über 2.5 Tore 78%
Über 3.5 Tore 38%
Über 4.5 Tore 17%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 77%
Buxton Ohne Gegentor 16%
Merthyr Town Ohne Gegentor 10%
Formanalyse der Teams
Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel
| Metrik | Buxton | Merthyr Town |
|---|---|---|
| Spiele | 29 | 29 |
| Siege | 19 | 8 |
| Unentschieden | 2 | 7 |
| Niederlagen | 8 | 14 |
| Erzielte Tore | 1.93 | 1.45 |
| Gegentore | 1.28 | 1.62 |
| Erwartete Tore (xG) | 1.44 | 1.44 |
| Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten
31. Aug. 2026 National League North
Buxton vs Merthyr Town
2:1
28. Feb. 2026 National League North
Merthyr Town vs Buxton
1:3
29. Nov. 2025 National League North
Buxton vs Merthyr Town
1:2
5. Nov. 2022 FA Cup
Buxton vs Merthyr Town
2:0
Schlüsselspieler-Analyse
Top-Akteure und erwartete Torbeteiligungen
Buxton Vergleich
Top-Torschütze Weston T.
1 Tore Durchschnitt xG / Spiel 1.11
Durchschnitt xA / Spiel 0.72
Merthyr Town Vergleich
Top-Torschütze Foulston J.
1 Tore Durchschnitt xG / Spiel 1.31
Durchschnitt xA / Spiel 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum-Index
Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)
Buxton 57 / 100
Merthyr Town 18 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).
Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke
Buxton Merthyr Town
Vorhersage-Engine
Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte
Haupttipp Buxton Win (1)
Nebentipp Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS-Prognose Yes (GG)
Über/Unter Tipp Over 2.5
Smart Insights
Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster
Buxton scored in 86% of their last 29 games.
Defensive concern: Merthyr Town conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Buxton has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Tor-Trends
Buxton VS Merthyr Town
1.88 Erzielte Tore 1.13
1.75 Kassierte Tore 1
88% Über 1.5 75%
88% Über 2.5 38%
63% Über 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Buxton
(Home) 03 Oct
Buxton
0 : 2 South Shields
26 Sept
South Shields
4 : 0 Buxton
19 Sept
Buxton
1 : 0 Ashton United
12 Sept
Buxton
3 : 1 Chester
08 Sept
Buxton
5 : 0 Brackley
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Buxton
0 : 2 South Shields
19 Sept
Buxton
1 : 0 Ashton United
12 Sept
Buxton
3 : 1 Chester
08 Sept
Buxton
5 : 0 Brackley
31 Aug
Buxton
2 : 1 Merthyr Town
Page 1 of 3
Merthyr Town
(Away) 26 Sept
Merthyr Town
1 : 2 Marine
22 Sept
Truro
2 : 0 Merthyr Town
19 Sept
Merthyr Town
1 : 1 Truro
12 Sept
Scarborough Athletic
0 : 0 Merthyr Town
08 Sept
Chester
0 : 1 Merthyr Town
Page 1 of 6
22 Sept
Truro
2 : 0 Merthyr Town
12 Sept
Scarborough Athletic
0 : 0 Merthyr Town
08 Sept
Chester
0 : 1 Merthyr Town
31 Aug
Buxton
2 : 1 Merthyr Town
22 Aug
South Shields
1 : 1 Merthyr Town
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hereford | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 22:5 | 23 |
| 2 | Macclesfield | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 13:6 | 21 |
| 3 | Oxford City | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18:7 | 20 |
| 4 | South Shields | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:13 | 20 |
| 5 | Hebburn Town | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:16 | 18 |
| 6 | Spalding United | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14:8 | 17 |
| 7 | Chester | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13:9 | 17 |
| 8 | King’s Lynn | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20:15 | 16 |
| 9 | Buxton | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 18:18 | 16 |
| 10 | Bedford | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:14 | 16 |
| 11 | Morecambe | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14:9 | 14 |
| 12 | Chorley | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16:17 | 14 |
| 13 | Merthyr Town | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12:11 | 13 |
| 14 | Scarborough Athletic | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:12 | 12 |
| 15 | Hednesford | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 17:17 | 12 |
| 16 | Marine | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 12:12 | 12 |
| 17 | Harborough | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:12 | 12 |
| 18 | Worksop | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 10:16 | 12 |
| 19 | Brackley | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11:19 | 12 |
| 20 | Southport | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13:20 | 9 |
| 21 | Telford | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8:15 | 9 |
| 22 | Darlington FC | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12:21 | 7 |
| 23 | Spennymoor | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11:21 | 7 |
| 24 | Radcliffe | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 9:20 | 6 |
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
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Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
