Sport Tipps
Caernarfon vs Holywell Town FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Wales
FAW Welsh Cup The Oval, Caernarfon 
Spielzusammenfassung
A one-off knockout match in the FAW Welsh Cup. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Caernarfon have averaged 2.17 scored and 1.59 conceded recently, against Holywell Town FC's 1.71 scored and 2.58 conceded. Head-to-head, Caernarfon have won 4 to Holywell Town FC's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on 28. Aug. 2026, ending 3:5. The numbers (3.13 xG vs 1.00) point toward Caernarfon. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.
Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter
Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form
90%
6%
4%
Unentschieden-Quote: 6% Favorit: Caernarfon
Modell-Vertrauen
Gesamter Indikatorwert
95%
/ Sehr Hoch Vertrauen
- Look at the last few games and Caernarfon come out ahead of Holywell Town FC on wins alone.
- Model gives Caernarfon a 90% chance of winning this.
- Caernarfon have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Caernarfon, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 78%).
- Caernarfon have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner
Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie
Über 0.5 Tore 99%
Über 1.5 Tore 88%
Über 2.5 Tore 78%
Über 3.5 Tore 56.5%
Über 4.5 Tore 25%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 77.4%
Caernarfon Ohne Gegentor 20%
Holywell Town FC Ohne Gegentor 10%
Formanalyse der Teams
Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel
| Metrik | Caernarfon | Holywell Town FC |
|---|---|---|
| Spiele | 29 | 31 |
| Siege | 16 | 8 |
| Unentschieden | 2 | 5 |
| Niederlagen | 11 | 18 |
| Erzielte Tore | 2.17 | 1.71 |
| Gegentore | 1.59 | 2.58 |
| Erwartete Tore (xG) | 3.13 | 1.00 |
| Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten
28. Aug. 2026 Cymru Premier
Holywell Town FC vs Caernarfon
3:5
10. Sept. 2025 League Cup
Caernarfon vs Holywell Town FC
3:2
24. März 2018 Cymru Alliance
Holywell Town FC vs Caernarfon
1:1
18. Nov. 2017 Cymru Alliance
Caernarfon vs Holywell Town FC
4:2
18. März 2017 Cymru Alliance
Caernarfon vs Holywell Town FC
6:2
SokaPicks Momentum-Index
Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)
Caernarfon 85 / 100
Holywell Town FC 10 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).
Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke
Caernarfon Holywell Town FC
Vorhersage-Engine
Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte
Haupttipp Caernarfon Win (1)
Nebentipp Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS-Prognose Yes (GG)
Über/Unter Tipp Over 2.5
Smart Insights
Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster
Caernarfon's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Defensive concern: Holywell Town FC conceded in 90% of 31 recent games.
H2H data points to 5.80 goals as a typical output.
Caernarfon has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Tor-Trends
Caernarfon VS Holywell Town FC
3.13 Erzielte Tore 1
1 Kassierte Tore 3.13
88% Über 1.5 88%
75% Über 2.5 75%
63% Über 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Caernarfon
(Home) 06 Nov
Penybont
2 : 0 Caernarfon
30 Oct
Airbus UK Broughton FC
3 : 2 Caernarfon
23 Oct
Caernarfon
3 : 1 Briton Ferry
17 Oct
Flint Town
1 : 3 Caernarfon
09 Oct
Haverfordwest
1 : 2 Caernarfon
Page 1 of 6
23 Oct
Caernarfon
3 : 1 Briton Ferry
03 Oct
Caernarfon
0 : 1 Barry Town
18 Sept
Caernarfon
9 : 1 Cambrian United
04 Sept
Caernarfon
3 : 0 Flint Town
31 Aug
Caernarfon
2 : 3 TNS
Page 1 of 3
Holywell Town FC
(Away) 06 Nov
Holywell Town FC
2 : 3 Airbus UK Broughton FC
30 Oct
Flint Town
5 : 0 Holywell Town FC
17 Oct
Llay Welfare
3 : 4 Holywell Town FC
09 Oct
Holywell Town FC
1 : 6 TNS
03 Oct
Ammanford Town
2 : 1 Holywell Town FC
Page 1 of 7
30 Oct
Flint Town
5 : 0 Holywell Town FC
17 Oct
Llay Welfare
3 : 4 Holywell Town FC
03 Oct
Ammanford Town
2 : 1 Holywell Town FC
18 Sept
Haverfordwest
1 : 0 Holywell Town FC
11 Sept
Cambrian United
2 : 1 Holywell Town FC
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Llannefydd 0
Llandudno FC 1
Cefn Albion 2
Felinheli 3
Trefelin 4
Llantwit Major 1
Coedpoeth 4
Guilsfield 3
Flint Town 1
Caernarfon 3
Llay Welfare 3
Holywell Town FC 4
Evans Williams 3
Rockspur 4
Pontarddulais 3
Goytre Utd 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 1
TNS 2
Briton Ferry 5
Afan United 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 4
Ynyshir Albions 0
Penycae FC 1
Dolgellau Athletic 4
Caerau Ely 6
Llanelli 0
Brickfield Rangers 2
Llangefni 0
Afan Lido 2
Penybont 3
Radnor Valley 1
Cardiff Draconians 3
Buckley 2
Colwyn Bay 3
Aberystwyth 5
Prestatyn 1
Llantwit Fardre 1
Baglan Dragons 3
Barry Town 2
Tredegar Town 0
Bala 3
Holyhead 4
Blaen-y-Maes 5
Ely Rangers 2
Llangennech 2
Pontardawe 1
Carmarthen Town 4
Newport City 5
Haverfordwest 4
Cardiff Corries 0
Cwmaman Institute 2
Ammanford Town 4
Newtown 7
Llanuwchllyn 0
Caerphilly 1
Chepstow Town 0
Cambrian United 5
Trethomas Bluebirds 0
Denbigh 0
Bangor 1876 2
Connahs Q. 4
Porthmadog 0
Llysfaen 0
Mochdre Sports 2
1/16-finals
Llandudno FC -
Felinheli -
Trefelin -
Coedpoeth -
Caernarfon -
Holywell Town FC -
Rockspur -
Pontarddulais -
TNS -
Briton Ferry -
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
Dolgellau Athletic -
Caerau Ely -
Brickfield Rangers -
Penybont -
Cardiff Draconians -
Colwyn Bay -
Aberystwyth -
Baglan Dragons -
Barry Town -
Holyhead -
Blaen-y-Maes -
Llangennech -
Newport City -
Haverfordwest -
Ammanford Town -
Newtown -
Caerphilly -
Cambrian United -
Bangor 1876 -
Connahs Q. -
Mochdre Sports -
1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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