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Stadium Background

Carlisle vs Salford - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

FA Cup Brunton Park, Carlisle
Sa., 7. Nov. 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Unser Tipp

Spielzusammenfassung

A one-off knockout match in the FA Cup. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Carlisle at 1.85 goals for, 1.15 against; Salford at 1.61 for, 1.18 against. Head-to-head, Carlisle have won 2 to Salford's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on 28. Juli 2026, ending 0:2. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 1.44) point toward Carlisle. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter

Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form

36%
Carlisle
30%
Unentschieden
34%
Salford
Unentschieden-Quote: 30% Favorit: Carlisle

Modell-Vertrauen

Gesamter Indikatorwert

66% / Mittel Vertrauen
  • Salford carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Carlisle taking it.
  • Salford arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Salford, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 78%).

Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner

Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie

Über 0.5 Tore 92%
Über 1.5 Tore 82%
Über 2.5 Tore 78%
Über 3.5 Tore 70%
Über 4.5 Tore 32%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 74.2%
Carlisle Ohne Gegentor 16%
Salford Ohne Gegentor 10%

Formanalyse der Teams

Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel

Metrik Carlisle Salford
Spiele 27 28
Siege 14 15
Unentschieden 7 5
Niederlagen 6 8
Erzielte Tore 1.85 1.61
Gegentore 1.15 1.18
Erwartete Tore (xG) 1.31 1.44
Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten

28. Juli 2026 Club Friendly
Carlisle vs Salford
0:2
3. Mai 2025 League Two
Carlisle vs Salford
2:2
9. Nov. 2024 League Two
Salford vs Carlisle
0:1
29. Apr. 2023 League Two
Carlisle vs Salford
2:3
19. Nov. 2022 League Two
Salford vs Carlisle
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum-Index

Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)

Carlisle 36 / 100
Salford 33 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).

Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke

ANGRIFF ABWEHR BALLBESITZ DISZIPLIN
Carlisle Salford

Vorhersage-Engine

Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte

Haupttipp Draw (X)
Nebentipp Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS-Prognose Yes (GG)
Über/Unter Tipp Over 2.5

Smart Insights

Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster

Carlisle found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (27 games).

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Carlisle stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Salford conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Tor-Trends

Carlisle VS Salford
1.75 Erzielte Tore 1.75
1.13 Kassierte Tore 0.88
75% Über 1.5 75%
63% Über 2.5 63%
25% Über 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Carlisle

(Home)
28 Oct
Carlisle
3 : 0
Harrogate
24 Oct
Solihull Moors
1 : 2
Carlisle
17 Oct
Carlisle
2 : 1
Tamworth
10 Oct
Carlisle
0 : 0
Kidderminster
03 Oct
Aldershot
1 : 3
Carlisle
Page 1 of 6

Salford

(Away)
26 Oct
Walsall
2 : 4
Salford
20 Oct
Bristol Rovers
1 : 2
Salford
17 Oct
Salford
2 : 1
Crawley Town
10 Oct
Cheltenham
0 : 2
Salford
06 Oct
Accrington
2 : 1
Salford
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
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Exeter -
Luton -
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Oldham -
Sheffield Wed -
Kidderminster -
Doncaster -
Leyton Orient -
Harborough -
Accrington -
Wycombe -
Milton Keynes Dons -
Swindon -
Newport -
Walsall -
Bromley -
Rotherham -
Barnet -
Tranmere -
Fleetwood Town -
Rochdale -
Barnsley -
Aldershot -
Plymouth Parkway -
Berkhamsted Town -
Chesterfield -
Yeovil -
Gillingham -
Barrow -
Harrogate -
AFC Fylde -
Crewe -
AFC Wimbledon -
Oxford Utd -
Stevenage -
Burton -
AFC Rushden & Diamonds -
Cray Wanderers -
Stockport County -
Port Vale -
Scunthorpe -
Cheltenham -
Halifax -
Colchester -
Worcester -
Eastleigh -
Shrewsbury -
Peterborough -
Reading -
Wimborne -
Crawley Town -
Plymouth -
Alvechurch -
Hornchurch -
Blackpool -
Guiseley -
Sutton -
Stafford -
Grimsby -
Oxford City -
Leicester -
Bradford City -
Marine -
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Salford -
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