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Connahs Q. vs Porthmadog - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

FAW Welsh Cup Essity Stadium, Flint
Fr., 16. Okt. 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Unser Tipp

Spielzusammenfassung

The first leg ended 3-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This one's hard to separate. Connahs Q. have averaged 1.77 scored and 1 conceded recently, against Porthmadog's 1.64 scored and 1.89 conceded. Head-to-head, Connahs Q. have won 2 to Porthmadog's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on 27. Jan. 2018, ending 3:1. xG projections (1.69 - 1.13) back Connahs Q. to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter

Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form

60%
Connahs Q.
22%
Unentschieden
18%
Porthmadog
Unentschieden-Quote: 22% Favorit: Connahs Q.

Modell-Vertrauen

Gesamter Indikatorwert

82% / Sehr Hoch Vertrauen
  • Connahs Q. have won more games recently than Porthmadog.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Connahs Q. taking it.
  • Connahs Q. have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Porthmadog, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 78%).

Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner

Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie

Über 0.5 Tore 92%
Über 1.5 Tore 82%
Über 2.5 Tore 78%
Über 3.5 Tore 25.5%
Über 4.5 Tore 11%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 77%
Connahs Q. Ohne Gegentor 20%
Porthmadog Ohne Gegentor 10%

Formanalyse der Teams

Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel

Metrik Connahs Q. Porthmadog
Spiele 30 28
Siege 15 13
Unentschieden 8 4
Niederlagen 7 11
Erzielte Tore 1.77 1.64
Gegentore 1 1.89
Erwartete Tore (xG) 1.69 1.13
Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten

27. Jan. 2018 FAW Welsh Cup
Connahs Q. vs Porthmadog
3:1
18. Feb. 2012 Cymru Alliance
Connahs Q. vs Porthmadog
1:1
22. Okt. 2011 Cymru Alliance
Porthmadog vs Connahs Q.
2:0
12. Feb. 2011 Cymru Alliance
Connahs Q. vs Porthmadog
1:2
8. Jan. 2011 Cymru Alliance
Porthmadog vs Connahs Q.
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum-Index

Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)

Connahs Q. 58 / 100
Porthmadog 18 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).

Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke

ANGRIFF ABWEHR BALLBESITZ DISZIPLIN
Connahs Q. Porthmadog

Vorhersage-Engine

Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte

Haupttipp Connahs Q. Win (1)
Nebentipp Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS-Prognose Yes (GG)
Über/Unter Tipp Over 2.5

Smart Insights

Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster

Connahs Q. found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Porthmadog has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Connahs Q. has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Tor-Trends

Connahs Q. VS Porthmadog
2.13 Erzielte Tore 1.63
0.63 Kassierte Tore 1.25
88% Über 1.5 75%
63% Über 2.5 63%
13% Über 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Connahs Q.

(Home)
09 Oct
Briton Ferry
1 : 2
Connahs Q.
03 Oct
Connahs Q.
1 : 0
Penybont
26 Sept
Barry Town
1 : 4
Connahs Q.
18 Sept
Connahs Q.
1 : 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University
15 Sept
Connahs Q.
3 : 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC
Page 1 of 6

Porthmadog

(Away)
03 Oct
Porthmadog
1 : 0
Bangor 1876
26 Sept
Newtown
0 : 1
Porthmadog
12 Sept
Porthmadog
3 : 0
Ruthin Town
05 Sept
Porthmadog
1 : 2
Bala
31 Aug
Holyhead
2 : 2
Porthmadog
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
TNS -
Coedpoeth -
Guilsfield -
Llannefydd -
Llandudno FC -
Newtown -
Llanuwchllyn -
Bala -
Holyhead -
Connahs Q. -
Porthmadog -
Penycae FC -
Dolgellau Athletic -
Aberystwyth -
Prestatyn -
Flint Town -
Caernarfon -
Llay Welfare -
Holywell Town FC -
Buckley -
Colwyn Bay -
Brickfield Rangers -
Llangefni -
Denbigh -
Bangor 1876 -
Cefn Albion -
Felinheli -
Llysfaen -
Mochdre Sports -
Pontarddulais -
Goytre Utd -
Trefelin -
Llantwit Major -
Afan Lido -
Penybont -
Caerau Ely -
Llanelli -
Blaen-y-Maes -
Ely Rangers -
Radnor Valley -
Cardiff Draconians -
Barry Town -
Tredegar Town -
Cwmaman Institute -
Ammanford Town -
Llangennech -
Pontardawe -
Caerphilly -
Chepstow Town -
Evans Williams -
Rockspur -
Briton Ferry -
Afan United -
Llantwit Fardre -
Baglan Dragons -
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
Ynyshir Albions -
Cambrian United -
Trethomas Bluebirds -
Carmarthen Town -
Newport City -
Haverfordwest -
Cardiff Corries -
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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