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Dunfermline vs Kelty Hearts - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Challenge Cup East End Park, Dunfermline
Di., 24. Nov. 2026
VS
07:45 PM
Unser Tipp

Spielzusammenfassung

The first leg ended 2-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Dunfermline have averaged 1.33 scored and 0.9 conceded recently, against Kelty Hearts's 1.44 scored and 2.15 conceded. Past meetings favor Dunfermline slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 4. Juli 2026, ending 0:3. Model xG sits at 1.88 vs 1.31, favoring Dunfermline. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter

Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form

90%
Dunfermline
6%
Unentschieden
4%
Kelty Hearts
Unentschieden-Quote: 6% Favorit: Dunfermline

Modell-Vertrauen

Gesamter Indikatorwert

95% / Sehr Hoch Vertrauen
  • Look at the last few games and Dunfermline come out ahead of Kelty Hearts on wins alone.
  • Model gives Dunfermline a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Dunfermline have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Dunfermline, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Dunfermline have taken 4 of them.

Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner

Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie

Über 0.5 Tore 92%
Über 1.5 Tore 82%
Über 2.5 Tore 78%
Über 3.5 Tore 31.5%
Über 4.5 Tore 14%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 71.8%
Dunfermline Ohne Gegentor 18%
Kelty Hearts Ohne Gegentor 10%

Formanalyse der Teams

Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel

Metrik Dunfermline Kelty Hearts
Spiele 30 27
Siege 13 11
Unentschieden 10 0
Niederlagen 7 16
Erzielte Tore 1.33 1.44
Gegentore 0.9 2.15
Erwartete Tore (xG) 1.88 1.31
Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten

4. Juli 2026 Club Friendly
Kelty Hearts vs Dunfermline
0:3
7. Feb. 2026 Scottish Cup
Dunfermline vs Kelty Hearts
2:0
5. Juli 2025 Club Friendly
Kelty Hearts vs Dunfermline
1:3
12. Okt. 2024 Challenge Cup
Dunfermline vs Kelty Hearts
2:1
1. Apr. 2023 League One
Dunfermline vs Kelty Hearts
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum-Index

Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)

Dunfermline 85 / 100
Kelty Hearts 10 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).

Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke

ANGRIFF ABWEHR BALLBESITZ DISZIPLIN
Dunfermline Kelty Hearts

Vorhersage-Engine

Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte

Haupttipp Dunfermline Win (1)
Nebentipp Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS-Prognose Yes (GG)
Über/Unter Tipp Over 2.5

Smart Insights

Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster

Defensive concern: Kelty Hearts conceded in 89% of 27 recent games.

Recent resilience: Dunfermline stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Dunfermline scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Tor-Trends

Dunfermline VS Kelty Hearts
1.75 Erzielte Tore 1.5
1.13 Kassierte Tore 2
63% Über 1.5 88%
38% Über 2.5 75%
38% Über 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dunfermline

(Home)
06 Nov
Raith
0 : 0
Dunfermline
03 Nov
Bonnyrigg Rose
2 : 4
Dunfermline
31 Oct
Dunfermline
5 : 1
Inverness
27 Oct
Stenhousemuir
0 : 1
Dunfermline
24 Oct
Queen's Park
0 : 1
Dunfermline
Page 1 of 6

Kelty Hearts

(Away)
03 Nov
Morton
0 : 1
Kelty Hearts
31 Oct
Kelty Hearts
0 : 1
Elgin City
24 Oct
Edinburgh City
4 : 1
Kelty Hearts
17 Oct
Kelty Hearts
2 : 1
Forfar Athletic
13 Oct
East Kilbride
2 : 1
Kelty Hearts
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Spartans 0
Livingston 2
St. Mirren B 1
Peterhead 2
Hamilton 2
Raith 1
Formartine Utd 0
Cove Rangers 2
East Kilbride 7
Stirling 3
Edinburgh City 0
Partick 3
Bonnyrigg Rose 2
Dunfermline 4
Morton 0
Kelty Hearts 1
Ross County 2
Celtic B 0
Stenhousemuir 4
Berwick 1
Arbroath 1
Queen of the South 0
Airdrieonians 5
Elgin City 0
Annan 0
Ayr 2
Inverness 1
Montrose 0
Clydebank FC 1
Alloa 0
Aberdeen B 1
Queen's Park 2
1/8-finals
Livingston -
Peterhead -
Hamilton -
Cove Rangers -
East Kilbride -
Partick -
Dunfermline -
Kelty Hearts -
Ross County -
Stenhousemuir -
Arbroath -
Airdrieonians -
Ayr -
Inverness -
Clydebank FC -
Queen's Park -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -