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England vs Croatia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League
Do., 12. Nov. 2026
VS
07:45 PM
Unser Tipp

Spielzusammenfassung

England host Croatia in the UEFA Nations League. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. England have averaged 2.48 scored and 0.74 conceded recently, against Croatia's 1.8 scored and 1.53 conceded. Head-to-head, England have won 4 to Croatia's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on 3. Okt. 2026, ending 0:7. Model xG sits at 2.31 vs 1.19, favoring England. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter

Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form

90%
England
6%
Unentschieden
4%
Croatia
Unentschieden-Quote: 6% Favorit: England

Modell-Vertrauen

Gesamter Indikatorwert

95% / Sehr Hoch Vertrauen
  • Croatia haven't matched England's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on England taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Nations League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 78%).
  • England have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner

Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie

Über 0.5 Tore 99%
Über 1.5 Tore 88%
Über 2.5 Tore 78%
Über 3.5 Tore 31.5%
Über 4.5 Tore 14%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 69.8%
England Ohne Gegentor 20%
Croatia Ohne Gegentor 10%

Formanalyse der Teams

Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel

Metrik England Croatia
Spiele 31 30
Siege 23 15
Unentschieden 3 5
Niederlagen 5 10
Erzielte Tore 2.48 1.8
Gegentore 0.74 1.53
Erwartete Tore (xG) 2.31 1.19
Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten

3. Okt. 2026 UEFA Nations League
Croatia vs England
0:7
17. Juni 2026 World Championship
England vs Croatia
4:2
13. Juni 2021 Euro
England vs Croatia
1:0
18. Nov. 2018 UEFA Nations League
England vs Croatia
2:1
12. Okt. 2018 UEFA Nations League
Croatia vs England
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum-Index

Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)

England 85 / 100
Croatia 10 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).

Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke

ANGRIFF ABWEHR BALLBESITZ DISZIPLIN
England Croatia

Vorhersage-Engine

Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte

Haupttipp England Win (1)
Nebentipp Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS-Prognose Yes (GG)
Über/Unter Tipp Over 2.5

Smart Insights

Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster

England's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Croatia conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: England stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Tor-Trends

England VS Croatia
2.13 Erzielte Tore 1.38
1 Kassierte Tore 2.5
88% Über 1.5 88%
75% Über 2.5 88%
25% Über 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

England

(Home)
06 Oct
England
3 : 0
Czech Republic
03 Oct
Croatia
0 : 7
England
29 Sept
Czech Republic
0 : 2
England
26 Sept
England
2 : 3
Spain
18 Jul
France
4 : 6
England
Page 1 of 7

Croatia

(Away)
06 Oct
Croatia
1 : 2
Spain
03 Oct
Croatia
0 : 7
England
29 Sept
Spain
4 : 1
Croatia
26 Sept
Czech Republic
1 : 2
Croatia
02 Jul
Portugal
2 : 1
Croatia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France 4 3 1 0 7:2 10
2 Italy 4 2 1 1 8:5 7
3 Belgium 4 2 0 2 6:5 6
4 Turkey 4 0 0 4 2:11 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Netherlands 4 2 2 0 7:5 8
2 Greece 4 2 2 0 5:3 8
3 Germany 4 1 2 1 3:2 5
4 Serbia 4 0 0 4 3:8 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain 4 4 0 0 12:5 12
2 England 4 3 0 1 14:3 9
3 Croatia 4 1 0 3 4:14 3
4 Czech Republic 4 0 0 4 2:10 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal 4 4 0 0 9:4 12
2 Denmark 4 2 0 2 7:7 6
3 Wales 4 1 0 3 2:5 3
4 Norway 4 1 0 3 6:8 3
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)