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Stadium Background

Flint Town vs Caernarfon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

FAW Welsh Cup Essity Stadium, Flint
Sa., 17. Okt. 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Unser Tipp

Spielzusammenfassung

The first leg ended 3-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Flint Town at 1.74 goals for, 1.55 against; Caernarfon at 1.94 for, 1.38 against. Past meetings favor Caernarfon slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 4. Sept. 2026, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 2.88, favoring Caernarfon. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter

Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form

4%
Flint Town
6%
Unentschieden
90%
Caernarfon
Unentschieden-Quote: 6% Favorit: Caernarfon

Modell-Vertrauen

Gesamter Indikatorwert

95% / Sehr Hoch Vertrauen
  • Flint Town haven't matched Caernarfon's recent run of results.
  • Caernarfon are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Caernarfon arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Caernarfon, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 78%).
  • History favors Caernarfon here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner

Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie

Über 0.5 Tore 99%
Über 1.5 Tore 94%
Über 2.5 Tore 78%
Über 3.5 Tore 44%
Über 4.5 Tore 20%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 72.2%
Flint Town Ohne Gegentor 10%
Caernarfon Ohne Gegentor 14%

Formanalyse der Teams

Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel

Metrik Flint Town Caernarfon
Spiele 31 34
Siege 12 17
Unentschieden 7 7
Niederlagen 12 10
Erzielte Tore 1.74 1.94
Gegentore 1.55 1.38
Erwartete Tore (xG) 1.06 2.88
Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten

4. Sept. 2026 Cymru Premier
Caernarfon vs Flint Town
3:0
12. Apr. 2026 FAW Welsh Cup
Caernarfon vs Flint Town
3:0
5. Dez. 2025 Cymru Premier
Caernarfon vs Flint Town
1:1
22. Aug. 2025 Cymru Premier
Flint Town vs Caernarfon
2:5
14. Jan. 2025 Cymru Premier
Caernarfon vs Flint Town
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum-Index

Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)

Flint Town 10 / 100
Caernarfon 84 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).

Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke

ANGRIFF ABWEHR BALLBESITZ DISZIPLIN
Flint Town Caernarfon

Vorhersage-Engine

Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte

Haupttipp Caernarfon Win (2)
Nebentipp Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS-Prognose Yes (GG)
Über/Unter Tipp Over 2.5

Smart Insights

Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Flint Town found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Caernarfon conceded in 68% of 34 recent games.

Recent resilience: Flint Town stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Tor-Trends

Flint Town VS Caernarfon
0.88 Erzielte Tore 3.63
2.13 Kassierte Tore 1.25
88% Über 1.5 100%
63% Über 2.5 75%
25% Über 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Flint Town

(Home)
03 Oct
Haverfordwest
0 : 1
Flint Town
26 Sept
Flint Town
3 : 0
Ammanford Town
18 Sept
Airbus UK Broughton FC
4 : 1
Flint Town
15 Sept
TNS
5 : 0
Flint Town
11 Sept
Flint Town
1 : 1
Cardiff Metropolitan University
Page 1 of 7

Caernarfon

(Away)
09 Oct
Haverfordwest
1 : 2
Caernarfon
03 Oct
Caernarfon
0 : 1
Barry Town
26 Sept
Cardiff Metropolitan University
2 : 2
Caernarfon
18 Sept
Caernarfon
9 : 1
Cambrian United
15 Sept
Llandudno FC
1 : 1
Caernarfon
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
TNS -
Coedpoeth -
Guilsfield -
Llannefydd -
Llandudno FC -
Newtown -
Llanuwchllyn -
Bala -
Holyhead -
Connahs Q. -
Porthmadog -
Penycae FC -
Dolgellau Athletic -
Aberystwyth -
Prestatyn -
Flint Town -
Caernarfon -
Llay Welfare -
Holywell Town FC -
Buckley -
Colwyn Bay -
Brickfield Rangers -
Llangefni -
Denbigh -
Bangor 1876 -
Cefn Albion -
Felinheli -
Llysfaen -
Mochdre Sports -
Pontarddulais -
Goytre Utd -
Trefelin -
Llantwit Major -
Afan Lido -
Penybont -
Caerau Ely -
Llanelli -
Blaen-y-Maes -
Ely Rangers -
Radnor Valley -
Cardiff Draconians -
Barry Town -
Tredegar Town -
Cwmaman Institute -
Ammanford Town -
Llangennech -
Pontardawe -
Caerphilly -
Chepstow Town -
Evans Williams -
Rockspur -
Briton Ferry -
Afan United -
Llantwit Fardre -
Baglan Dragons -
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
Ynyshir Albions -
Cambrian United -
Trethomas Bluebirds -
Carmarthen Town -
Newport City -
Haverfordwest -
Cardiff Corries -
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