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Gabon vs Lesotho - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations
Gabon Logo

Gabon

Mi., 11. Nov. 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Lesotho Logo

Lesotho

Unser Tipp
Zusammenfassung Siegchance Tore Form H2H Taktik Spieler Indizes Vorhersagen Spielverlauf Genauigkeit Vergleich

Spielzusammenfassung

The first leg ended 0-2. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Lesotho have shipped 1.67 goals a game lately, while Gabon have conceded 1.54 and scored 1.5. Past meetings favor Gabon slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 15. Okt. 2024, ending 0:2. xG projections (1.25 - 1.31) back Gabon to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter

Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form

50%
Gabon
28%
Unentschieden
22%
Lesotho
Unentschieden-Quote: 28% Favorit: Gabon

Modell-Vertrauen

Gesamter Indikatorwert

76% / Hoch Vertrauen
  • Look at the last few games and Gabon come out ahead of Lesotho on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Gabon's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Gabon have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Gabon, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 78%).

Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner

Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie

Über 0.5 Tore 92%
Über 1.5 Tore 82%
Über 2.5 Tore 78%
Über 3.5 Tore 38%
Über 4.5 Tore 17%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 66.2%
Gabon Ohne Gegentor 18%
Lesotho Ohne Gegentor 11%

Formanalyse der Teams

Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel

Metrik Gabon Lesotho
Spiele 28 30
Siege 12 7
Unentschieden 4 7
Niederlagen 12 16
Erzielte Tore 1.5 0.63
Gegentore 1.54 1.67
Erwartete Tore (xG) 1.25 1.31
Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten

15. Okt. 2024 Africa Cup of Nations
Lesotho vs Gabon
0:2
11. Okt. 2024 Africa Cup of Nations
Gabon vs Lesotho
0:0
19. Nov. 2014 Africa Cup of Nations
Gabon vs Lesotho
4:2
10. Sept. 2014 Africa Cup of Nations
Lesotho vs Gabon
1:1
7. Sept. 2008 World Championship
Lesotho vs Gabon
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum-Index

Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)

Gabon 49 / 100
Lesotho 22 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).

Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke

ANGRIFF ABWEHR BALLBESITZ DISZIPLIN
Gabon Lesotho

Vorhersage-Engine

Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte

Haupttipp Gabon Win (1)
Nebentipp Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS-Prognose Yes (GG)
Über/Unter Tipp Over 2.5

Smart Insights

Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster

Gabon's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Lesotho conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Difficult form: Lesotho registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Tor-Trends

Gabon VS Lesotho
1.38 Erzielte Tore 0.63
2 Kassierte Tore 1.13
75% Über 1.5 50%
63% Über 2.5 38%
63% Über 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gabon

(Home)
29 Sept
Gabon
2 : 0
Niger
25 Sept
Morocco
2 : 0
Gabon
30 Mar
Trinidad & Tobago
2 : 3
Gabon
27 Mar
Uzbekistan
3 : 1
Gabon
31 Dec
Gabon
2 : 3
Ivory Coast
Page 1 of 6

Lesotho

(Away)
29 Sept
Lesotho
0 : 2
Morocco
25 Sept
Niger
2 : 1
Lesotho
07 Jun
Kenya
4 : 0
Lesotho
04 Jun
Lesotho
1 : 1
Kenya
29 Mar
Lesotho
2 : 1
Seychelles
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
2 Gabon 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Niger 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
4 Lesotho 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Egypt 2 1 1 0 5:0 4
2 Angola 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
3 Malawi 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
4 South Sudan 2 0 0 2 1:7 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ivory Coast 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
2 Gambia 2 2 0 0 6:3 6
3 Somalia 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
4 Ghana 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Africa 2 2 0 0 7:1 6
2 Guinea 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Eritrea 2 0 1 1 1:6 1
4 Kenya 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 D.R. Congo 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
2 Zimbabwe 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
3 Equatorial Guinea 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
4 Sierra Leone 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benin 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
2 Burkina Faso 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
3 Mauritania 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
4 Central Africa 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cameroon 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
2 Comoros 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
3 Namibia 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
4 Congo 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uganda 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
2 Botswana 2 0 2 0 4:4 2
3 Tunisia 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
4 Libya 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Algeria 2 1 1 0 5:3 4
2 Zambia 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
3 Togo 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
4 Burundi 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Senegal 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
2 Mozambique 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
3 Sudan 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
4 Ethiopia 2 0 0 2 0:2 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rwanda 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
2 Mali 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
3 Cape Verde 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
4 Liberia 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guinea Bissau 2 2 0 0 5:0 6
2 Nigeria 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
3 Tanzania 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
4 Madagascar 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)