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Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs FC Shefa-Amr - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

State Cup
Di., 13. Okt. 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Unser Tipp

Spielzusammenfassung

A one-off knockout match in the State Cup. Hapoel Umm al-Fahm are expected to control this from the start. FC Shefa-Amr have shipped 1.6 goals a game lately, while Hapoel Umm al-Fahm have conceded 1.47 and scored 1.53. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 1.20 vs 1.00, favoring Hapoel Umm al-Fahm. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter

Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form

30%
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
39%
Unentschieden
31%
FC Shefa-Amr
Unentschieden-Quote: 39% Favorit: Draw

Modell-Vertrauen

Gesamter Indikatorwert

65% / Mittel Vertrauen
  • Hapoel Umm al-Fahm carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Hapoel Umm al-Fahm have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 78%).

Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner

Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie

Über 0.5 Tore 92%
Über 1.5 Tore 82%
Über 2.5 Tore 78%
Über 3.5 Tore 6.5%
Über 4.5 Tore 3%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 74.2%
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm Ohne Gegentor 20%
FC Shefa-Amr Ohne Gegentor 12%

Formanalyse der Teams

Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel

Metrik Hapoel Umm al-Fahm FC Shefa-Amr
Spiele 19 10
Siege 6 3
Unentschieden 7 3
Niederlagen 6 5
Erzielte Tore 1.53 1.2
Gegentore 1.47 1.6
Erwartete Tore (xG) 1.20 1.00
Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten

SokaPicks Momentum-Index

Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 31 / 100
FC Shefa-Amr 30 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).

Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke

ANGRIFF ABWEHR BALLBESITZ DISZIPLIN
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm FC Shefa-Amr

Vorhersage-Engine

Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte

Haupttipp Hapoel Umm al-Fahm Win (1)
Nebentipp Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS-Prognose Yes (GG)
Über/Unter Tipp Over 2.5

Smart Insights

Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster

Recent resilience: Hapoel Umm al-Fahm stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm scored in 74% of their last 19 games.

Tor-Trends

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm VS FC Shefa-Amr
0.38 Erzielte Tore 0
0.63 Kassierte Tore 0
25% Über 1.5 0%
13% Über 2.5 0%
13% Über 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm

(Home)
09 Oct
Beitar Nahariya
1 : 1
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
01 Oct
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
0 : 0
Hapoel Karmiel
19 Sept
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
3 : 3
Ironi Baka
09 Sept
FC Tzeirey Tamra
1 : 2
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
05 Sept
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
2 : 2
Nof Hagalil
Page 1 of 4

FC Shefa-Amr

(Away)

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm -
FC Shefa-Amr -
Hapoel Karmiel -
Maccabi Ironi Kfar Yona -
Hapoel Yarka -
Beitar Nahariya -
Ironi Nesher -
Kiryat Haim -
Nof Hagalil -
Hapoel Bnei Musmus -
Hapoel Tayibe -
Hapoel Daliyat -
MS Tira -
Maccabi Maalot -
Hapoel Bnei Jisr az-Zarqa -
Tzeirey Um El Fahem -
Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi -
Beitar Mevaseret Zion -
Hapoel Arad -
Kfar Saba 1928 -
Hapoel Rahat FC -
Hapoel Sderot FC -
FC Dimona -
Yehuda -
Ramat Hasharon -
Bnei Eilat -
H. Herzliya -
Hapoel Azor -
Gissin Petah Tikva -
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