Sport Tipps
Hartlepool vs Newcastle Utd U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
National League Cup Victoria Park, Hartlepool 
Spielzusammenfassung
A one-off knockout match in the National League Cup. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Hartlepool at 1.03 goals for, 1.9 against; Newcastle Utd U21 at 1.14 for, 1.97 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 1.31) point toward Hartlepool. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter
Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form
27%
33%
40%
Unentschieden-Quote: 33% Favorit: Newcastle Utd U21
Modell-Vertrauen
Gesamter Indikatorwert
70%
/ Mittel Vertrauen
- Hartlepool have won more games recently than Newcastle Utd U21.
- Newcastle Utd U21 are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Hartlepool have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
- Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 78%).
Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner
Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie
Über 0.5 Tore 92%
Über 1.5 Tore 82%
Über 2.5 Tore 78%
Über 3.5 Tore 31.5%
Über 4.5 Tore 14%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 69%
Hartlepool Ohne Gegentor 18%
Newcastle Utd U21 Ohne Gegentor 11%
Formanalyse der Teams
Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel
| Metrik | Hartlepool | Newcastle Utd U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Spiele | 29 | 29 |
| Siege | 12 | 6 |
| Unentschieden | 2 | 6 |
| Niederlagen | 15 | 17 |
| Erzielte Tore | 1.03 | 1.14 |
| Gegentore | 1.9 | 1.97 |
| Erwartete Tore (xG) | 1.25 | 1.31 |
| Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten
SokaPicks Momentum-Index
Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)
Hartlepool 28 / 100
Newcastle Utd U21 38 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).
Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke
Hartlepool Newcastle Utd U21
Vorhersage-Engine
Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte
Haupttipp Newcastle Utd U21 Win (2)
Nebentipp Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS-Prognose Yes (GG)
Über/Unter Tipp Over 2.5
Smart Insights
Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster
Newcastle Utd U21 has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.
Newcastle Utd U21's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
Hartlepool's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Tor-Trends
Hartlepool VS Newcastle Utd U21
0.5 Erzielte Tore 0.88
1.75 Kassierte Tore 2
50% Über 1.5 88%
38% Über 2.5 75%
25% Über 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Hartlepool
(Home) 03 Oct
Hartlepool
0 : 1 Tamworth
29 Sept
Hartlepool
0 : 1 Harrogate
26 Sept
Scunthorpe
4 : 1 Hartlepool
19 Sept
Hartlepool
1 : 3 Worthing FC
16 Sept
Altrincham
2 : 1 Hartlepool
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Hartlepool
0 : 1 Tamworth
29 Sept
Hartlepool
0 : 1 Harrogate
19 Sept
Hartlepool
1 : 3 Worthing FC
08 Sept
Hartlepool
0 : 1 Everton U21
05 Sept
Hartlepool
1 : 0 Woking
Page 1 of 3
Newcastle Utd U21
(Away) 06 Oct
Solihull Moors
2 : 1 Newcastle Utd U21
22 Sept
Bradford City
2 : 1 Newcastle Utd U21
19 Sept
Leeds U21
2 : 0 Newcastle Utd U21
15 Sept
York City
1 : 3 Newcastle Utd U21
08 Sept
Boreham Wood
2 : 1 Newcastle Utd U21
Page 1 of 6
06 Oct
Solihull Moors
2 : 1 Newcastle Utd U21
22 Sept
Bradford City
2 : 1 Newcastle Utd U21
19 Sept
Leeds U21
2 : 0 Newcastle Utd U21
15 Sept
York City
1 : 3 Newcastle Utd U21
08 Sept
Boreham Wood
2 : 1 Newcastle Utd U21
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Halifax | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9:2 | 6 |
| 2 | Scunthorpe | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 6 |
| 3 | Wealdstone | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 3 |
| 4 | Wolves U21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 5 | Derby U21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:7 | 3 |
| 6 | Nottingham U21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 2 |
| 7 | Gateshead | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | 1 |
| 8 | Stoke City U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:10 | 0 |
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | West Ham U21 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 2 | Norwich U21 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 5 |
| 3 | Hornchurch | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:3 | 4 |
| 4 | Braintree | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 4 |
| 5 | Fulham U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:5 | 4 |
| 6 | Ipswich U21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | 2 |
| 7 | Worthing FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 8 | Aldershot | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | 1 |
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough U21 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Boreham Wood | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 7 |
| 3 | Tamworth | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:6 | 6 |
| 4 | Everton U21 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 5 |
| 5 | Solihull Moors | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:7 | 3 |
| 6 | Leeds U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:8 | 3 |
| 7 | Newcastle Utd U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5:9 | 0 |
| 8 | Hartlepool | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:11 | 0 |
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Truro | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 2 | Birmingham U21 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:3 | 5 |
| 3 | West Brom U21 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 5 |
| 4 | Woking | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:1 | 4 |
| 5 | Sutton | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 3 |
| 6 | Leicester U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | 1 |
| 7 | Boston United | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | 0 |
| 8 | Southampton U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | 0 |
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
