Sport Tipps
Llay Welfare vs Holywell Town FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Wales
FAW Welsh Cup 
Spielzusammenfassung
A one-off knockout match in the FAW Welsh Cup. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Llay Welfare at 1.27 goals for, 2.54 against; Holywell Town FC at 2.24 for, 1.93 against. Head-to-head, Llay Welfare have won 0 to Holywell Town FC's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on 26. Dez. 2024, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.67 vs 1.30, favoring Holywell Town FC. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter
Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form
90%
6%
4%
Unentschieden-Quote: 6% Favorit: Llay Welfare
Modell-Vertrauen
Gesamter Indikatorwert
95%
/ Sehr Hoch Vertrauen
- Llay Welfare haven't matched Holywell Town FC's recent run of results.
- Llay Welfare are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Holywell Town FC arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Holywell Town FC, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
- Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 78%).
- Holywell Town FC have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner
Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie
Über 0.5 Tore 92%
Über 1.5 Tore 82%
Über 2.5 Tore 78%
Über 3.5 Tore 25%
Über 4.5 Tore 11%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 78.6%
Llay Welfare Ohne Gegentor 19%
Holywell Town FC Ohne Gegentor 10%
Formanalyse der Teams
Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel
| Metrik | Llay Welfare | Holywell Town FC |
|---|---|---|
| Spiele | 26 | 41 |
| Siege | 4 | 17 |
| Unentschieden | 3 | 8 |
| Niederlagen | 19 | 16 |
| Erzielte Tore | 1.27 | 2.24 |
| Gegentore | 2.54 | 1.93 |
| Erwartete Tore (xG) | 1.67 | 1.30 |
| Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten
26. Dez. 2024 Cymru North
Holywell Town FC vs Llay Welfare
2:0
23. Aug. 2024 Cymru North
Llay Welfare vs Holywell Town FC
2:5
3. Aug. 2024 League Cup
Holywell Town FC vs Llay Welfare
3:1
SokaPicks Momentum-Index
Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)
Llay Welfare 85 / 100
Holywell Town FC 10 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).
Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke
Llay Welfare Holywell Town FC
Vorhersage-Engine
Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte
Haupttipp Llay Welfare Win (1)
Nebentipp Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS-Prognose Yes (GG)
Über/Unter Tipp Over 2.5
Smart Insights
Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster
Llay Welfare scored in 81% of their last 26 games.
Games between these two average 4.33 goals.
Holywell Town FC let in goals in 76% of their last 41 matches.
Difficult form: Holywell Town FC registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Tor-Trends
Llay Welfare VS Holywell Town FC
0 Erzielte Tore 1.5
0 Kassierte Tore 2.13
0% Über 1.5 88%
0% Über 2.5 63%
0% Über 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Llay Welfare
(Home) 22 Jul
Llay Welfare
4 : 0 Ellesmere Port
05 Jul
Llay Welfare
2 : 0 Llansantffraid Village
01 Jul
Llay Welfare
1 : 2 Denbigh
12 Apr
Llay Welfare
1 : 2 Guilsfield
04 Apr
Denbigh
5 : 0 Llay Welfare
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22 Jul
Llay Welfare
4 : 0 Ellesmere Port
05 Jul
Llay Welfare
2 : 0 Llansantffraid Village
01 Jul
Llay Welfare
1 : 2 Denbigh
12 Apr
Llay Welfare
1 : 2 Guilsfield
29 Mar
Llay Welfare
3 : 2 Prestatyn
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Holywell Town FC
(Away) 09 Oct
Holywell Town FC
1 : 6 TNS
03 Oct
Ammanford Town
2 : 1 Holywell Town FC
26 Sept
Holywell Town FC
1 : 1 Briton Ferry
18 Sept
Haverfordwest
1 : 0 Holywell Town FC
15 Sept
Holywell Town FC
0 : 5 Colwyn Bay
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03 Oct
Ammanford Town
2 : 1 Holywell Town FC
18 Sept
Haverfordwest
1 : 0 Holywell Town FC
11 Sept
Cambrian United
2 : 1 Holywell Town FC
31 Aug
Airbus UK Broughton FC
6 : 2 Holywell Town FC
14 Aug
Llandudno FC
3 : 1 Holywell Town FC
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
TNS -
Coedpoeth -
Guilsfield -
Llannefydd -
Llandudno FC -
Newtown -
Llanuwchllyn -
Bala -
Holyhead -
Connahs Q. -
Porthmadog -
Penycae FC -
Dolgellau Athletic -
Aberystwyth -
Prestatyn -
Flint Town -
Caernarfon -
Llay Welfare -
Holywell Town FC -
Buckley -
Colwyn Bay -
Brickfield Rangers -
Llangefni -
Denbigh -
Bangor 1876 -
Cefn Albion -
Felinheli -
Llysfaen -
Mochdre Sports -
Pontarddulais -
Goytre Utd -
Trefelin -
Llantwit Major -
Afan Lido -
Penybont -
Caerau Ely -
Llanelli -
Blaen-y-Maes -
Ely Rangers -
Radnor Valley -
Cardiff Draconians -
Barry Town -
Tredegar Town -
Cwmaman Institute -
Ammanford Town -
Llangennech -
Pontardawe -
Caerphilly -
Chepstow Town -
Evans Williams -
Rockspur -
Briton Ferry -
Afan United -
Llantwit Fardre -
Baglan Dragons -
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
Ynyshir Albions -
Cambrian United -
Trethomas Bluebirds -
Carmarthen Town -
Newport City -
Haverfordwest -
Cardiff Corries -
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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