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Malawi vs South Sudan

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations
Malawi Logo

Malawi

Mi., 23. Sept. 2026
VS
04:00 PM
South Sudan Logo

South Sudan

Unser Tipp
Zusammenfassung Siegchance Tore Form H2H Taktik Spieler Indizes Vorhersagen Spielverlauf Genauigkeit Vergleich

Spielzusammenfassung

The first leg ended 0-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. South Sudan have shipped 1.63 goals a game lately, while Malawi have conceded 1.2 and scored 0.83. Head-to-head, Malawi have won 2 to South Sudan's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on 24. März 2021, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 0.76, favoring Malawi. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter

Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form

40%
Malawi
33%
Unentschieden
27%
South Sudan
Unentschieden-Quote: 33% Favorit: Malawi

Modell-Vertrauen

Gesamter Indikatorwert

70% / Mittel Vertrauen
  • South Sudan haven't matched Malawi's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Malawi's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Malawi have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Malawi, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 78%).
  • History favors Malawi here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner

Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie

Über 0.5 Tore 92%
Über 1.5 Tore 82%
Über 2.5 Tore 78%
Über 3.5 Tore 25.5%
Über 4.5 Tore 11%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 63%
Malawi Ohne Gegentor 20%
South Sudan Ohne Gegentor 10%

Formanalyse der Teams

Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel

Metrik Malawi South Sudan
Spiele 30 30
Siege 8 6
Unentschieden 5 8
Niederlagen 17 16
Erzielte Tore 0.83 0.8
Gegentore 1.2 1.63
Erwartete Tore (xG) 1.31 0.76
Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten

24. März 2021 Africa Cup of Nations
South Sudan vs Malawi
0:1
13. Nov. 2019 Africa Cup of Nations
Malawi vs South Sudan
1:0
27. Nov. 2015 CECAFA Championship
South Sudan vs Malawi
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum-Index

Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)

Malawi 40 / 100
South Sudan 26 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).

Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke

ANGRIFF ABWEHR BALLBESITZ DISZIPLIN
Malawi South Sudan

Vorhersage-Engine

Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte

Haupttipp MAL Win (1)
Nebentipp Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS-Prognose Yes (GG)
Über/Unter Tipp Over 2.5

Smart Insights

Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster

South Sudan let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

South Sudan's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Malawi scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 1.33 goals per match.

Tor-Trends

Malawi VS South Sudan
1.13 Erzielte Tore 0.63
0.88 Kassierte Tore 1.5
50% Über 1.5 50%
50% Über 2.5 38%
13% Über 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Malawi

(Home)
09 Jun
Ethiopia
1 : 1
Malawi
06 Jun
Ethiopia
1 : 0
Malawi
31 Mar
Botswana
1 : 0
Malawi
28 Mar
Zambia U23
1 : 0
Malawi
18 Nov
Lesotho
0 : 1
Malawi
Page 1 of 6

South Sudan

(Away)
29 Mar
South Sudan
0 : 1
Djibouti
26 Mar
Djibouti
0 : 4
South Sudan
25 Nov
Syria
2 : 0
South Sudan
13 Oct
South Sudan
0 : 0
Togo
10 Oct
South Sudan
0 : 5
Senegal
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Lesotho 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Gabon 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Niger 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malawi 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Egypt 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Angola 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 South Sudan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ghana 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Gambia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Ivory Coast 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Somalia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kenya 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 South Africa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Guinea 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Eritrea 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sierra Leone 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Equatorial Guinea 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Zimbabwe 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 D.R. Congo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mauritania 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Burkina Faso 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Benin 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Central Africa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Namibia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Cameroon 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Congo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Comoros 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Libya 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Tunisia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Botswana 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Uganda 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Algeria 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Burundi 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Zambia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Togo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ethiopia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Senegal 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Mozambique 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Sudan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cape Verde 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Liberia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Rwanda 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Mali 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tanzania 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Nigeria 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Madagascar 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Guinea Bissau 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)