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Marek vs Cherno More - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Bulgarian Cup
Sa., 17. Okt. 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Unser Tipp

Spielzusammenfassung

The first leg ended 2-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Marek have averaged 1.04 scored and 0.81 conceded recently, against Cherno More's 0.96 scored and 1.61 conceded. Past meetings favor Cherno More slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 2. Mai 2015, ending 0:2. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 1.13) point toward Marek. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter

Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form

90%
Marek
6%
Unentschieden
4%
Cherno More
Unentschieden-Quote: 6% Favorit: Marek

Modell-Vertrauen

Gesamter Indikatorwert

95% / Sehr Hoch Vertrauen
  • Marek have won more games recently than Cherno More.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Marek taking it.
  • Marek have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Cherno More, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 78%).
  • History favors Cherno More here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner

Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie

Über 0.5 Tore 92%
Über 1.5 Tore 82%
Über 2.5 Tore 78%
Über 3.5 Tore 44%
Über 4.5 Tore 20%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 63.4%
Marek Ohne Gegentor 20%
Cherno More Ohne Gegentor 10%

Formanalyse der Teams

Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel

Metrik Marek Cherno More
Spiele 26 28
Siege 12 8
Unentschieden 6 8
Niederlagen 8 12
Erzielte Tore 1.04 0.96
Gegentore 0.81 1.61
Erwartete Tore (xG) 1.63 1.13
Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten

2. Mai 2015 efbet League
Marek vs Cherno More
0:2
20. März 2015 efbet League
Cherno More vs Marek
1:0
8. Nov. 2014 efbet League
Marek vs Cherno More
1:3
9. Aug. 2014 efbet League
Cherno More vs Marek
0:1
12. Okt. 2013 Bulgarian Cup
Cherno More vs Marek
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum-Index

Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)

Marek 85 / 100
Cherno More 10 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).

Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke

ANGRIFF ABWEHR BALLBESITZ DISZIPLIN
Marek Cherno More

Vorhersage-Engine

Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte

Haupttipp Marek Win (1)
Nebentipp Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS-Prognose Yes (GG)
Über/Unter Tipp Over 2.5

Smart Insights

Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster

Cherno More's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Marek stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Marek scored in 58% of their last 26 outings.

Tor-Trends

Marek VS Cherno More
1.13 Erzielte Tore 1.13
1.13 Kassierte Tore 2.13
50% Über 1.5 75%
50% Über 2.5 63%
25% Über 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Marek

(Home)
04 Oct
Chavdar Troyan
0 : 4
Marek
26 Sept
Gorna
0 : 0
Marek
20 Sept
Marek
1 : 3
Rilski Sportist
13 Sept
Marek
3 : 0
Pirin Blagoevgrad
06 Sept
Yantra Gabrovo
3 : 0
Marek
Page 1 of 6

Cherno More

(Away)
04 Oct
Ludogorets
5 : 0
Cherno More
26 Sept
Cherno More
1 : 0
Dunav Ruse
19 Sept
Arda
1 : 1
Cherno More
11 Sept
Cherno More
2 : 2
Lok. Sofia
06 Sept
Lok. Plovdiv
1 : 0
Cherno More
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Chernomorets Balchik 2
Etar 3
TBD -
Spartak Varna -
Natsional Sofia 1
Gorna 3
TBD -
Septemvri Sofia -
Spartak Plovdiv 1
Botev Ihtiman 0
TBD -
Arda -
Balkan Botevgrad 0
Fratria 3
TBD -
Botev Vratsa -
Neftochimic Burgas 2
Svoge 1
TBD -
CSKA 1948 Sofia -
Botev Novi Pazar 1
Vihren 4
TBD -
Lok. Sofia -
Benkovski 0
Akademik Svishtov 3
TBD -
Slavia Sofia -
Oborishte Panagyurishte 1
Yantra Gabrovo 3
TBD -
Lok. Plovdiv -
Zagorets 0
Rilski Sportist 4
TBD -
Dunav Ruse -
Minyor Pernik 1
Beroe 2
TBD -
Ludogorets -
Volov Shumen 0
Chernomorets 1919 2
TBD -
Botev Plovdiv -
Krumovgrad 1
Spartak Pleven 2
TBD -
Levski Sofia -
Chavdar Troyan 0
Marek 4
TBD -
Cherno More -
Rodopa Smolyan 1
Nesebar 3
TBD -
CSKA Sofia -
Lokomotiv Mezdra 2
Pirin Blagoevgrad 3
Yambol 1915 0
Hebar 5
Belasitsa Petrich 1
Dobrudzha 2
Bdin Vidin 0
Montana 2
1/16-finals
Etar -
Spartak Varna -
Gorna -
Septemvri Sofia -
Spartak Plovdiv -
Arda -
Fratria -
Botev Vratsa -
Neftochimic Burgas -
CSKA 1948 Sofia -
Vihren -
Lok. Sofia -
Akademik Svishtov -
Slavia Sofia -
Yantra Gabrovo -
Lok. Plovdiv -
Rilski Sportist -
Dunav Ruse -
Beroe -
Ludogorets -
Chernomorets 1919 -
Botev Plovdiv -
Spartak Pleven -
Levski Sofia -
Marek -
Cherno More -
Nesebar -
CSKA Sofia -
Pirin Blagoevgrad -
Hebar -
Dobrudzha -
Montana -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -