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Stadium Background

Merthyr Town vs Harborough - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

FA Trophy
Sa., 14. Nov. 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Unser Tipp

Spielzusammenfassung

A one-off knockout match in the FA Trophy. This one's hard to separate. Merthyr Town have averaged 1.47 scored and 1.5 conceded recently, against Harborough's 1.61 scored and 1.25 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (1.00 - 1.56) back Harborough to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter

Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form

31%
Merthyr Town
39%
Unentschieden
30%
Harborough
Unentschieden-Quote: 39% Favorit: Draw

Modell-Vertrauen

Gesamter Indikatorwert

65% / Mittel Vertrauen
  • Form's been kind to Harborough lately — more wins on the board than Merthyr Town.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Harborough arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 78%).

Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner

Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie

Über 0.5 Tore 92%
Über 1.5 Tore 82%
Über 2.5 Tore 78%
Über 3.5 Tore 25%
Über 4.5 Tore 11%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 77.4%
Merthyr Town Ohne Gegentor 15%
Harborough Ohne Gegentor 15%

Formanalyse der Teams

Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel

Metrik Merthyr Town Harborough
Spiele 30 28
Siege 8 12
Unentschieden 10 11
Niederlagen 12 5
Erzielte Tore 1.47 1.61
Gegentore 1.5 1.25
Erwartete Tore (xG) 1.00 1.56
Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten

SokaPicks Momentum-Index

Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)

Merthyr Town 31 / 100
Harborough 30 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).

Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke

ANGRIFF ABWEHR BALLBESITZ DISZIPLIN
Merthyr Town Harborough

Vorhersage-Engine

Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte

Haupttipp Harborough Win (2)
Nebentipp Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS-Prognose Yes (GG)
Über/Unter Tipp Over 2.5

Smart Insights

Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster

Attacking prowess: Merthyr Town scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Harborough conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

Merthyr Town has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Harborough's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Tor-Trends

Merthyr Town VS Harborough
1 Erzielte Tore 1.13
2 Kassierte Tore 1
100% Über 1.5 50%
50% Über 2.5 38%
25% Über 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Merthyr Town

(Home)
31 Oct
Radcliffe
3 : 3
Merthyr Town
27 Oct
Oxford City
3 : 0
Merthyr Town
24 Oct
Merthyr Town
1 : 3
Morecambe
17 Oct
Merthyr Town
1 : 1
King’s Lynn
10 Oct
Darlington FC
1 : 1
Merthyr Town
Page 1 of 6

Harborough

(Away)
31 Oct
Hebburn Town
1 : 1
Harborough
27 Oct
Buxton
3 : 0
Harborough
24 Oct
Harborough
1 : 1
Worksop
17 Oct
Harborough
3 : 1
Spennymoor
10 Oct
Harborough
1 : 0
Southport
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Hebburn Town -
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Warrington Rylands 1
Guiseley 3
Ashton United 1
Redcar Athletic 0
Workington 3
Cleethorpes 2
Bridlington Town 3
Curzon Ashton 2
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Spennymoor -
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Scarborough Athletic -
Radcliffe -
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Marine -
Avro 2
Hyde 1
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Chester -
Darlington FC -
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Bury FC 3
Prescot Cables 0
Mickleover 1
Alfreton 2
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Southport -
Chorley -
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Buxton -
Worksop -
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South Shields -
Leek Town 4
Bootle 1
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Morecambe -
Bourne 1
Banbury 0
Anstey Nomads 0
Bromsgrove 1
Bedford -
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Chesham -
Needham Market 0
Wingate & Finchley 2
Deal Town 1
Hashtag 3
Braintree -
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Kettering 6
Quorn 2
King’s Lynn -
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Loughborough Students 0
Stourbridge 2
Evesham 0
Halesowen 4
Redditch 3
Gloucester City 2
Telford -
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Chelmsford -
Hednesford -
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Hemel Hempstead -
Hereford -
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Brackley -
Faversham 0
Newmarket 1
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Oxford City -
Merthyr Town -
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Harborough -
Billericay -
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Hastings 2
Waltham Abbey 3
Enfield Town 5
Hanworth Villa 1
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Spalding United -
Dagenham & Red. -
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Dorking Wanderers -
Walton & Hersham -
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Aveley 2
Carshalton 1
Farnham -
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Ebbsfleet -
Folkestone -
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Berkhamsted Town 1
Cray Wanderers 2
Weymouth 3
Sholing 2
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Hampton & Richmond -
Dartford 3
Three Bridges 2
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Horsham FC -
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Torquay -
Didcot 2
Poole Town 1
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Slough Town -
Maidstone -
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Maidenhead -
Whitehawk 4
St. Albans 3
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Tonbridge -
Taunton Town 1
Wimborne 4
Egham Town 0
Uxbridge 3
Bath City 1
Frome Town 0
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Truro -
Leatherhead 2
Eastbourne Borough 3
Takeley 0
Chertsey Town 4
Dover Ath. -
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Erith Town 3
Burgess Hill 4
Salisbury -
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Gosport Borough 0
Chichester City 2
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1/64-finals
Hebburn Town -
Guiseley -
Ashton United -
Workington -
Bridlington Town -
Macclesfield -
Spennymoor -
Scarborough Athletic -
Radcliffe -
Marine -
Avro -
Chester -
Darlington FC -
Bury FC -
Alfreton -
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Leek Town -
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Bourne -
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Braintree -
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King’s Lynn -
Stourbridge -
Halesowen -
Redditch -
Telford -
Chelmsford -
Hednesford -
Hemel Hempstead -
Hereford -
Brackley -
Newmarket -
Oxford City -
Merthyr Town -
Harborough -
Billericay -
Waltham Abbey -
Enfield Town -
Spalding United -
Dagenham & Red. -
Dorking Wanderers -
Walton & Hersham -
Aveley -
Farnham -
Ebbsfleet -
Folkestone -
Cray Wanderers -
Weymouth -
Hampton & Richmond -
Dartford -
AFC Totton -
Horsham FC -
Torquay -
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Slough Town -
Maidstone -
Maidenhead -
Whitehawk -
Tonbridge -
Wimborne -
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Bath City -
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Eastbourne Borough -
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Dover Ath. -
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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