Sport Tipps
Merthyr Town vs Marine - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
National League North 
Spielereignisse
24'
24'
Newell G.
67'
67'
Evans J.
90'
90'
Sinclair-Smith F.
Spielzusammenfassung
Marine in this National League North matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Marine.
Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter
Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form
31%
40%
29%
Unentschieden-Quote: 40% Favorit: Draw
Modell-Vertrauen
Gesamter Indikatorwert
66%
/ Mittel Vertrauen
- Form's been kind to Marine lately — more wins on the board than Merthyr Town.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular National League North form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 78%).
- These two have met 3 times recently and Marine have taken 2 of them.
Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner
Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie
Über 0.5 Tore 92%
Über 1.5 Tore 82%
Über 2.5 Tore 78%
Über 3.5 Tore 70%
Über 4.5 Tore 32%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 75.8%
Merthyr Town Ohne Gegentor 18%
Marine Ohne Gegentor 13%
Formanalyse der Teams
Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel
| Metrik | Merthyr Town | Marine |
|---|---|---|
| Spiele | 29 | 29 |
| Siege | 8 | 14 |
| Unentschieden | 7 | 2 |
| Niederlagen | 14 | 13 |
| Erzielte Tore | 1.45 | 1.38 |
| Gegentore | 1.62 | 1.14 |
| Erwartete Tore (xG) | 1.13 | 1.31 |
| Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten
26. Sept. 2026 National League North
Merthyr Town vs Marine
1:2
14. Apr. 2026 National League North
Marine vs Merthyr Town
1:3
19. Aug. 2025 National League North
Merthyr Town vs Marine
1:3
Schlüsselspieler-Analyse
Top-Akteure und erwartete Torbeteiligungen
Merthyr Town Vergleich
Top-Torschütze Evans J.
1 Tore Durchschnitt xG / Spiel 0.87
Durchschnitt xA / Spiel 0.56
Marine Vergleich
Top-Torschütze Newell G.
1 Tore Top-Vorlagengeber Sinclair-Smith F.
1 Ast
Durchschnitt xG / Spiel 1.19
Durchschnitt xA / Spiel 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum-Index
Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)
Merthyr Town 32 / 100
Marine 29 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).
Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke
Merthyr Town Marine
Vorhersage-Engine
Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte
Haupttipp Draw (X)
Nebentipp Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS-Prognose Yes (GG)
Über/Unter Tipp Over 2.5
Smart Insights
Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster
Merthyr Town's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.67 goals.
Marine let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.
Recent resilience: Merthyr Town stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Tor-Trends
Merthyr Town VS Marine
0.88 Erzielte Tore 1.63
1 Kassierte Tore 1.38
75% Über 1.5 88%
25% Über 2.5 63%
0% Über 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Merthyr Town
(Home) 26 Sept
Merthyr Town
1 : 2 Marine
22 Sept
Truro
2 : 0 Merthyr Town
19 Sept
Merthyr Town
1 : 1 Truro
12 Sept
Scarborough Athletic
0 : 0 Merthyr Town
08 Sept
Chester
0 : 1 Merthyr Town
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Merthyr Town
1 : 2 Marine
19 Sept
Merthyr Town
1 : 1 Truro
05 Sept
Merthyr Town
2 : 1 Macclesfield
29 Aug
Merthyr Town
1 : 1 Chorley
18 Aug
Merthyr Town
2 : 2 Telford
Page 1 of 4
Marine
(Away) 03 Oct
Marine
2 : 0 Warrington Town
26 Sept
Merthyr Town
1 : 2 Marine
19 Sept
Marine
3 : 2 Radcliffe
12 Sept
Marine
2 : 1 Darlington FC
08 Sept
South Shields
2 : 1 Marine
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Merthyr Town
1 : 2 Marine
08 Sept
South Shields
2 : 1 Marine
31 Aug
Harborough
2 : 1 Marine
22 Aug
King’s Lynn
1 : 4 Marine
15 Aug
Hereford
1 : 0 Marine
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hereford | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 22:5 | 23 |
| 2 | Macclesfield | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 13:6 | 21 |
| 3 | Oxford City | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18:7 | 20 |
| 4 | South Shields | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:13 | 20 |
| 5 | Hebburn Town | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:16 | 18 |
| 6 | Spalding United | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14:8 | 17 |
| 7 | Chester | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13:9 | 17 |
| 8 | King’s Lynn | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20:15 | 16 |
| 9 | Buxton | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 18:18 | 16 |
| 10 | Bedford | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:14 | 16 |
| 11 | Morecambe | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14:9 | 14 |
| 12 | Chorley | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16:17 | 14 |
| 13 | Merthyr Town | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12:11 | 13 |
| 14 | Scarborough Athletic | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:12 | 12 |
| 15 | Hednesford | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 17:17 | 12 |
| 16 | Marine | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 12:12 | 12 |
| 17 | Harborough | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:12 | 12 |
| 18 | Worksop | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 10:16 | 12 |
| 19 | Brackley | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11:19 | 12 |
| 20 | Southport | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13:20 | 9 |
| 21 | Telford | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8:15 | 9 |
| 22 | Darlington FC | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12:21 | 7 |
| 23 | Spennymoor | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11:21 | 7 |
| 24 | Radcliffe | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 9:20 | 6 |
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
