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Netherlands vs Greece - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League
Fr., 13. Nov. 2026
VS
07:45 PM
Unser Tipp

Spielzusammenfassung

Netherlands host Greece in the UEFA Nations League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Netherlands at 2.42 goals for, 1.13 against; Greece at 1.7 for, 1 against. Head-to-head, Netherlands have won 2 to Greece's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on 1. Okt. 2026, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 1.06, favoring Netherlands. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter

Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form

40%
Netherlands
33%
Unentschieden
27%
Greece
Unentschieden-Quote: 33% Favorit: Netherlands

Modell-Vertrauen

Gesamter Indikatorwert

70% / Mittel Vertrauen
  • Netherlands carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Netherlands are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Nations League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 78%).

Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner

Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie

Über 0.5 Tore 92%
Über 1.5 Tore 82%
Über 2.5 Tore 78%
Über 3.5 Tore 31.5%
Über 4.5 Tore 14%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 72.2%
Netherlands Ohne Gegentor 20%
Greece Ohne Gegentor 10%

Formanalyse der Teams

Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel

Metrik Netherlands Greece
Spiele 31 30
Siege 16 15
Unentschieden 10 6
Niederlagen 5 9
Erzielte Tore 2.42 1.7
Gegentore 1.13 1
Erwartete Tore (xG) 1.44 1.06
Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten

1. Okt. 2026 UEFA Nations League
Greece vs Netherlands
2:2
16. Okt. 2023 Euro
Greece vs Netherlands
0:1
7. Sept. 2023 Euro
Netherlands vs Greece
3:0
28. Mai 2020 Friendly International
Netherlands vs Greece
0:0
1. Sept. 2016 Friendly International
Netherlands vs Greece
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum-Index

Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)

Netherlands 40 / 100
Greece 26 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).

Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke

ANGRIFF ABWEHR BALLBESITZ DISZIPLIN
Netherlands Greece

Vorhersage-Engine

Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte

Haupttipp Netherlands Win (1)
Nebentipp Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS-Prognose Yes (GG)
Über/Unter Tipp Over 2.5

Smart Insights

Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster

Netherlands scored in 94% of their last 31 games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Netherlands stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Greece conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

Tor-Trends

Netherlands VS Greece
2 Erzielte Tore 0.88
1.25 Kassierte Tore 0.88
88% Über 1.5 38%
75% Über 2.5 38%
38% Über 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Netherlands

(Home)
04 Oct
Netherlands
2 : 1
Serbia
01 Oct
Greece
2 : 2
Netherlands
27 Sept
Serbia
1 : 2
Netherlands
24 Sept
Netherlands
1 : 1
Germany
30 Jun
Netherlands
1 : 2
Morocco
Page 1 of 7

Greece

(Away)
04 Oct
Greece
0 : 0
Germany
01 Oct
Greece
2 : 2
Netherlands
27 Sept
Germany
0 : 1
Greece
24 Sept
Serbia
1 : 2
Greece
07 Jun
Greece
0 : 1
Italy
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France 4 3 1 0 7:2 10
2 Italy 4 2 1 1 8:5 7
3 Belgium 4 2 0 2 6:5 6
4 Turkey 4 0 0 4 2:11 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Netherlands 4 2 2 0 7:5 8
2 Greece 4 2 2 0 5:3 8
3 Germany 4 1 2 1 3:2 5
4 Serbia 4 0 0 4 3:8 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain 4 4 0 0 12:5 12
2 England 4 3 0 1 14:3 9
3 Croatia 4 1 0 3 4:14 3
4 Czech Republic 4 0 0 4 2:10 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal 4 4 0 0 9:4 12
2 Denmark 4 2 0 2 7:7 6
3 Wales 4 1 0 3 2:5 3
4 Norway 4 1 0 3 6:8 3
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)