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New Mexico vs Monterey Bay - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

USL Championship Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park, Albuquerque, NM
So., 11. Okt. 2026
VS
01:00 AM
Unser Tipp

Spielzusammenfassung

New Mexico host Monterey Bay in the USL Championship. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. New Mexico have averaged 1.66 scored and 1.21 conceded recently, against Monterey Bay's 1.28 scored and 1.83 conceded. Head-to-head, New Mexico have won 3 to Monterey Bay's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on 9. Aug. 2026, ending 2:5. Model xG sits at 2.06 vs 1.38, favoring New Mexico. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter

Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form

42%
New Mexico
20%
Unentschieden
38%
Monterey Bay
Unentschieden-Quote: 20% Favorit: New Mexico

Modell-Vertrauen

Gesamter Indikatorwert

67% / Mittel Vertrauen
  • New Mexico have won more games recently than Monterey Bay.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on New Mexico taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this USL Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 78%).

Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner

Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie

Über 0.5 Tore 92%
Über 1.5 Tore 82%
Über 2.5 Tore 78%
Über 3.5 Tore 70%
Über 4.5 Tore 32%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 75.8%
New Mexico Ohne Gegentor 17%
Monterey Bay Ohne Gegentor 10%

Formanalyse der Teams

Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel

Metrik New Mexico Monterey Bay
Spiele 29 29
Siege 15 6
Unentschieden 8 6
Niederlagen 6 17
Erzielte Tore 1.66 1.28
Gegentore 1.21 1.83
Erwartete Tore (xG) 2.06 1.38
Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten

9. Aug. 2026 USL Championship
Monterey Bay vs New Mexico
2:5
21. Sept. 2025 USL Championship
Monterey Bay vs New Mexico
1:1
24. Apr. 2025 USL Championship
New Mexico vs Monterey Bay
1:0
18. Aug. 2024 USL Championship
New Mexico vs Monterey Bay
3:2
2. Juni 2024 USL Championship
Monterey Bay vs New Mexico
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum-Index

Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)

New Mexico 41 / 100
Monterey Bay 36 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).

Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke

ANGRIFF ABWEHR BALLBESITZ DISZIPLIN
New Mexico Monterey Bay

Vorhersage-Engine

Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte

Haupttipp Draw (X)
Nebentipp Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS-Prognose Yes (GG)
Über/Unter Tipp Over 2.5

Smart Insights

Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster

Monterey Bay let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

New Mexico scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

New Mexico went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Tor-Trends

New Mexico VS Monterey Bay
2.13 Erzielte Tore 1.25
1.5 Kassierte Tore 2
75% Über 1.5 88%
75% Über 2.5 50%
38% Über 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

New Mexico

(Home)
04 Oct
New Mexico
2 : 1
Phoenix Rising
01 Oct
FC Tulsa
1 : 0
New Mexico
27 Sept
New Mexico
2 : 3
Sacramento Republic
20 Sept
Colorado Springs
0 : 0
New Mexico
17 Sept
Birmingham Legion
4 : 4
New Mexico
Page 1 of 6

Monterey Bay

(Away)
04 Oct
Orange County SC
1 : 2
Monterey Bay
27 Sept
Monterey Bay
2 : 3
Lexington
19 Sept
Charleston
1 : 0
Monterey Bay
06 Sept
Monterey Bay
1 : 1
Phoenix Rising
30 Aug
Monterey Bay
1 : 1
Sacramento Republic
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tampa Bay 27 15 7 5 46:25 52
2 Detroit City 27 13 8 6 33:20 47
3 Charleston 26 14 4 8 52:31 46
4 Hartford Athletic 26 9 12 5 29:26 39
5 Rhode Island 26 11 5 10 39:29 38
6 Pittsburgh Riverhounds 27 11 5 11 28:27 38
7 Louisville City 26 10 7 9 43:42 37
8 Miami FC 28 9 9 10 38:45 36
9 Indy Eleven 27 9 7 11 33:33 34
10 Loudoun United 26 4 12 10 32:44 24
11 Birmingham Legion 26 4 11 11 36:43 23
12 Brooklyn FC 27 4 6 17 27:55 18
13 Sporting Jax 27 3 5 19 32:73 14
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 El Paso Locomotive 27 14 5 8 46:35 47
2 New Mexico 27 13 7 7 41:32 46
3 Sacramento Republic 27 11 11 5 37:25 44
4 Lexington 27 13 4 10 49:33 43
5 FC Tulsa 27 11 9 7 32:25 42
6 Colorado Springs 27 11 7 9 40:37 40
7 Orange County SC 27 10 9 8 36:42 39
8 San Antonio FC 27 9 11 7 29:29 38
9 Las Vegas Lights 27 10 6 11 35:38 36
10 Oakland Roots 27 8 10 9 33:35 34
11 Phoenix Rising 27 8 9 10 36:40 33
12 Monterey Bay 27 5 6 16 29:47 21
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)