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Newcastle Utd U21 vs Luton U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Premier League Cup
Fr., 9. Okt. 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Unser Tipp

Spielzusammenfassung

A one-off knockout match in the Premier League Cup. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Newcastle Utd U21 have averaged 1.17 scored and 1.9 conceded recently, against Luton U21's 0.96 scored and 2.57 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 1.81 vs 1.19, favoring Newcastle Utd U21. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter

Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form

70%
Newcastle Utd U21
17%
Unentschieden
13%
Luton U21
Unentschieden-Quote: 17% Favorit: Newcastle Utd U21

Modell-Vertrauen

Gesamter Indikatorwert

88% / Sehr Hoch Vertrauen
  • Luton U21 haven't matched Newcastle Utd U21's recent run of results.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Newcastle Utd U21 taking it.
  • Newcastle Utd U21 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 78%).

Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner

Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie

Über 0.5 Tore 94%
Über 1.5 Tore 83.5%
Über 2.5 Tore 78%
Über 3.5 Tore 35.5%
Über 4.5 Tore 16%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 72.2%
Newcastle Utd U21 Ohne Gegentor 20%
Luton U21 Ohne Gegentor 10%

Formanalyse der Teams

Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel

Metrik Newcastle Utd U21 Luton U21
Spiele 30 28
Siege 7 5
Unentschieden 6 2
Niederlagen 17 21
Erzielte Tore 1.17 0.96
Gegentore 1.9 2.57
Erwartete Tore (xG) 1.81 1.19
Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten

SokaPicks Momentum-Index

Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)

Newcastle Utd U21 67 / 100
Luton U21 14 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).

Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke

ANGRIFF ABWEHR BALLBESITZ DISZIPLIN
Newcastle Utd U21 Luton U21

Vorhersage-Engine

Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte

Haupttipp Newcastle Utd U21 Win (1)
Nebentipp Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS-Prognose Yes (GG)
Über/Unter Tipp Over 2.5

Smart Insights

Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster

Luton U21 let in goals in 96% of their last 28 matches.

Newcastle Utd U21 scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Away concern: Luton U21 has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Newcastle Utd U21 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Tor-Trends

Newcastle Utd U21 VS Luton U21
1.63 Erzielte Tore 0
1.38 Kassierte Tore 2
100% Über 1.5 67%
63% Über 2.5 33%
38% Über 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Newcastle Utd U21

(Home)
06 Oct
Solihull Moors
2 : 1
Newcastle Utd U21
22 Sept
Bradford City
2 : 1
Newcastle Utd U21
19 Sept
Leeds U21
2 : 0
Newcastle Utd U21
15 Sept
York City
1 : 3
Newcastle Utd U21
08 Sept
Boreham Wood
2 : 1
Newcastle Utd U21
Page 1 of 6

Luton U21

(Away)
07 Sept
Luton U21
0 : 4
Peterborough U21
14 Aug
Nottingham U21
2 : 0
Luton U21
22 Dec
West Brom U21
4 : 3
Luton U21
14 Dec
Brentford U21
2 : 1
Luton U21
03 Dec
Luton U21
2 : 1
Exeter U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Southampton U21 2 1 1 0 5:1 4
2 QPR U21 2 1 0 1 6:5 3
3 Blackburn U21 2 1 0 1 4:6 3
4 Bolton U21 2 0 1 1 2:5 1
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cardiff U21 2 2 0 0 7:3 6
2 Leicester U21 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
3 Bournemouth U21 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
4 Plymouth U21 2 0 0 2 3:6 0
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Huddersfield U21 2 1 1 0 6:3 4
2 Swansea U21 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
3 Birmingham U21 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
4 Gillingham U21 2 0 0 2 1:8 0
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Peterborough U21 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
2 Nottingham U21 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
3 Newcastle Utd U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Luton U21 2 0 0 2 0:6 0
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wolves U21 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
2 Preston U21 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Burnley U21 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
4 Fleetwood Town U21 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brighton U21 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
2 Sheffield Utd U21 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
3 West Ham U21 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
4 Millwall U21 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bristol City U21 2 2 0 0 6:1 6
2 Norwich U21 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
3 Exeter U21 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
4 Reading U21 2 0 0 2 1:6 0
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bromley U21 2 1 0 1 5:4 3
2 Ipswich U21 2 1 0 1 6:6 3
3 West Brom U21 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
4 Coventry U21 2 1 0 1 4:5 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Charlton U21 2 2 0 0 3:1 6
2 Stockport U21 2 1 0 1 5:2 3
3 Leeds U21 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
4 Stoke City U21 2 0 1 1 0:4 1
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hull City U21 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
2 Brentford U21 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
3 Wycombe U21 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
4 Derby U21 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams