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Nof Hagalil vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

State Cup
Mo., 12. Okt. 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Unser Tipp

Spielzusammenfassung

A one-off knockout match in the State Cup. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Nof Hagalil at 1.46 goals for, 1.61 against; Hapoel Bnei Musmus at 1.16 for, 1.32 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 0.94 vs 0.88, favoring Nof Hagalil. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter

Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form

70%
Nof Hagalil
17%
Unentschieden
13%
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
Unentschieden-Quote: 17% Favorit: Nof Hagalil

Modell-Vertrauen

Gesamter Indikatorwert

88% / Sehr Hoch Vertrauen
  • Nof Hagalil have won more games recently than Hapoel Bnei Musmus.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Nof Hagalil taking it.
  • Nof Hagalil have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 78%).

Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner

Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie

Über 0.5 Tore 92%
Über 1.5 Tore 82%
Über 2.5 Tore 78%
Über 3.5 Tore 12.5%
Über 4.5 Tore 6%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 75.8%
Nof Hagalil Ohne Gegentor 20%
Hapoel Bnei Musmus Ohne Gegentor 16%

Formanalyse der Teams

Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel

Metrik Nof Hagalil Hapoel Bnei Musmus
Spiele 28 19
Siege 9 7
Unentschieden 11 6
Niederlagen 8 6
Erzielte Tore 1.46 1.16
Gegentore 1.61 1.32
Erwartete Tore (xG) 0.94 0.88
Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten

SokaPicks Momentum-Index

Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)

Nof Hagalil 67 / 100
Hapoel Bnei Musmus 15 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).

Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke

ANGRIFF ABWEHR BALLBESITZ DISZIPLIN
Nof Hagalil Hapoel Bnei Musmus

Vorhersage-Engine

Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte

Haupttipp Nof Hagalil Win (1)
Nebentipp Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS-Prognose Yes (GG)
Über/Unter Tipp Over 2.5

Smart Insights

Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster

Attacking prowess: Nof Hagalil scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Hapoel Bnei Musmus let in goals in 74% of their last 19 matches.

Nof Hagalil went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Hapoel Bnei Musmus has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Tor-Trends

Nof Hagalil VS Hapoel Bnei Musmus
1.13 Erzielte Tore 0.38
1.38 Kassierte Tore 0.75
88% Über 1.5 38%
38% Über 2.5 25%
25% Über 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Nof Hagalil

(Home)
08 Oct
Ironi Baka
1 : 2
Nof Hagalil
30 Sept
Nof Hagalil
2 : 3
FC Tzeirey Tamra
24 Sept
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
2 : 3
Nof Hagalil
09 Sept
Nof Hagalil
1 : 0
Hapoel Tirat Karmel
05 Sept
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
2 : 2
Nof Hagalil
Page 1 of 6

Hapoel Bnei Musmus

(Away)
09 Oct
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad
0 : 0
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
30 Sept
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
1 : 0
Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik
23 Sept
MS Tira
1 : 1
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
18 Sept
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
1 : 2
Beitar Nahariya
10 Sept
Hapoel Karmiel
3 : 0
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm -
FC Shefa-Amr -
Hapoel Karmiel -
Maccabi Ironi Kfar Yona -
Hapoel Yarka -
Beitar Nahariya -
Ironi Nesher -
Kiryat Haim -
Nof Hagalil -
Hapoel Bnei Musmus -
Hapoel Tayibe -
Hapoel Daliyat -
MS Tira -
Maccabi Maalot -
Hapoel Bnei Jisr az-Zarqa -
Tzeirey Um El Fahem -
Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi -
Beitar Mevaseret Zion -
Hapoel Arad -
Kfar Saba 1928 -
Hapoel Rahat FC -
Hapoel Sderot FC -
FC Dimona -
Yehuda -
Ramat Hasharon -
Bnei Eilat -
H. Herzliya -
Hapoel Azor -
Gissin Petah Tikva -
Beitar Petah Tikva -
Bnei Herzliya -
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