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Stadium Background

Southern District vs Shatin - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Hong Kong Hong Kong

League Cup
Sa., 14. Nov. 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Unser Tipp

Spielzusammenfassung

A one-off knockout match in the League Cup. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Southern District have averaged 1.52 scored and 1.76 conceded recently, against Shatin's 1.07 scored and 2.07 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (2.25 - 1.56) back Southern District to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter

Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form

42%
Southern District
20%
Unentschieden
38%
Shatin
Unentschieden-Quote: 20% Favorit: Southern District

Modell-Vertrauen

Gesamter Indikatorwert

67% / Mittel Vertrauen
  • Southern District have won more games recently than Shatin.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Southern District taking it.
  • Southern District have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 86%).

Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner

Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie

Über 0.5 Tore 99%
Über 1.5 Tore 94%
Über 2.5 Tore 86%
Über 3.5 Tore 70%
Über 4.5 Tore 32%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 77.8%
Southern District Ohne Gegentor 15%
Shatin Ohne Gegentor 10%

Formanalyse der Teams

Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel

Metrik Southern District Shatin
Spiele 29 28
Siege 11 3
Unentschieden 3 9
Niederlagen 15 16
Erzielte Tore 1.52 1.07
Gegentore 1.76 2.07
Erwartete Tore (xG) 2.25 1.56
Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten

SokaPicks Momentum-Index

Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)

Southern District 41 / 100
Shatin 36 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).

Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke

ANGRIFF ABWEHR BALLBESITZ DISZIPLIN
Southern District Shatin

Vorhersage-Engine

Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte

Haupttipp Draw (X)
Nebentipp Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS-Prognose Yes (GG)
Über/Unter Tipp Over 2.5

Smart Insights

Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster

Southern District's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Shatin conceded in 93% of 28 recent games.

Away concern: Shatin has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Southern District has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Tor-Trends

Southern District VS Shatin
2 Erzielte Tore 1.25
1.88 Kassierte Tore 2.5
100% Über 1.5 88%
100% Über 2.5 88%
50% Über 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Southern District

(Home)
07 Nov
Lee Man Warriors
1 : 0
Southern District
24 Oct
Eastern AA
5 : 3
Southern District
19 Oct
Tai Po
4 : 2
Southern District
11 Oct
Southern District
3 : 0
Eastern District
01 Oct
North District
2 : 1
Southern District
Page 1 of 6

Shatin

(Away)
07 Nov
Shatin
1 : 1
Hong Kong Rangers
31 Oct
Eastern District
2 : 1
Shatin
18 Oct
Shatin
2 : 2
Hong Kong FC
01 Oct
Shatin
2 : 3
Hong Kong FC
19 Sept
Shatin
0 : 1
Lee Man Warriors
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
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Kowloon City -
Kitchee -
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Hong Kong Rangers -
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Southern District -
Shatin -
1/8-finals
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Hong Kong Rangers -
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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