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Spartak Plovdiv vs Arda - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Bulgarian Cup
So., 18. Okt. 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Unser Tipp

Spielzusammenfassung

A one-off knockout match in the Bulgarian Cup. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Arda have shipped 1.13 goals a game lately, while Spartak Plovdiv have conceded 1.86 and scored 2.14. Past meetings favor Spartak Plovdiv slightly — 2-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 1. Juni 2013, ending 0:3. xG projections (1.94 - 1.38) back Spartak Plovdiv to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter

Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form

80%
Spartak Plovdiv
11%
Unentschieden
9%
Arda
Unentschieden-Quote: 11% Favorit: Spartak Plovdiv

Modell-Vertrauen

Gesamter Indikatorwert

93% / Sehr Hoch Vertrauen
  • Form's been kind to Spartak Plovdiv lately — more wins on the board than Arda.
  • Win probability leans Spartak Plovdiv's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Spartak Plovdiv have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Arda, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 78%).

Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner

Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie

Über 0.5 Tore 99%
Über 1.5 Tore 94%
Über 2.5 Tore 78%
Über 3.5 Tore 44%
Über 4.5 Tore 20%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 73%
Spartak Plovdiv Ohne Gegentor 17%
Arda Ohne Gegentor 10%

Formanalyse der Teams

Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel

Metrik Spartak Plovdiv Arda
Spiele 28 30
Siege 17 14
Unentschieden 2 5
Niederlagen 9 11
Erzielte Tore 2.14 1.27
Gegentore 1.86 1.13
Erwartete Tore (xG) 1.94 1.38
Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten

1. Juni 2013 Third League - South-East
Arda vs Spartak Plovdiv
0:3
1. Dez. 2012 Third League - South-East
Spartak Plovdiv vs Arda
2:1
21. Apr. 2012 Third League - South-East
Arda vs Spartak Plovdiv
4:1
16. Okt. 2011 Third League - South-East
Spartak Plovdiv vs Arda
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum-Index

Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)

Spartak Plovdiv 75 / 100
Arda 10 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).

Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke

ANGRIFF ABWEHR BALLBESITZ DISZIPLIN
Spartak Plovdiv Arda

Vorhersage-Engine

Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte

Haupttipp Spartak Plovdiv Win (1)
Nebentipp Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS-Prognose Yes (GG)
Über/Unter Tipp Over 2.5

Smart Insights

Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster

Spartak Plovdiv's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Arda's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Spartak Plovdiv remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Tor-Trends

Spartak Plovdiv VS Arda
2.5 Erzielte Tore 1.5
1.25 Kassierte Tore 1.38
100% Über 1.5 88%
63% Über 2.5 38%
50% Über 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Spartak Plovdiv

(Home)
04 Oct
Spartak Plovdiv
1 : 0
Botev Ihtiman
26 Sept
Spartak Plovdiv
2 : 0
Rodopa Smolyan
19 Sept
Spartak Plovdiv
1 : 4
Gigant Saedinenie
12 Sept
Maritsa Plovdiv
0 : 2
Spartak Plovdiv
05 Sept
Spartak Plovdiv
2 : 0
Rozova Dolina
Page 1 of 6

Arda

(Away)
02 Oct
Lok. Plovdiv
2 : 0
Arda
19 Sept
Arda
1 : 1
Cherno More
12 Sept
CSKA Sofia
4 : 1
Arda
04 Sept
Arda
2 : 3
Botev Plovdiv
31 Aug
Arda
2 : 0
Botev Vratsa
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Chernomorets Balchik 2
Etar 3
TBD -
Spartak Varna -
Natsional Sofia 1
Gorna 3
TBD -
Septemvri Sofia -
Spartak Plovdiv 1
Botev Ihtiman 0
TBD -
Arda -
Balkan Botevgrad 0
Fratria 3
TBD -
Botev Vratsa -
Neftochimic Burgas 2
Svoge 1
TBD -
CSKA 1948 Sofia -
Botev Novi Pazar 1
Vihren 4
TBD -
Lok. Sofia -
Benkovski 0
Akademik Svishtov 3
TBD -
Slavia Sofia -
Oborishte Panagyurishte 1
Yantra Gabrovo 3
TBD -
Lok. Plovdiv -
Zagorets 0
Rilski Sportist 4
TBD -
Dunav Ruse -
Minyor Pernik 1
Beroe 2
TBD -
Ludogorets -
Volov Shumen 0
Chernomorets 1919 2
TBD -
Botev Plovdiv -
Krumovgrad 1
Spartak Pleven 2
TBD -
Levski Sofia -
Chavdar Troyan 0
Marek 4
TBD -
Cherno More -
Rodopa Smolyan 1
Nesebar 3
TBD -
CSKA Sofia -
Lokomotiv Mezdra 2
Pirin Blagoevgrad 3
Yambol 1915 0
Hebar 5
Belasitsa Petrich 1
Dobrudzha 2
Bdin Vidin 0
Montana 2
1/16-finals
Etar -
Spartak Varna -
Gorna -
Septemvri Sofia -
Spartak Plovdiv -
Arda -
Fratria -
Botev Vratsa -
Neftochimic Burgas -
CSKA 1948 Sofia -
Vihren -
Lok. Sofia -
Akademik Svishtov -
Slavia Sofia -
Yantra Gabrovo -
Lok. Plovdiv -
Rilski Sportist -
Dunav Ruse -
Beroe -
Ludogorets -
Chernomorets 1919 -
Botev Plovdiv -
Spartak Pleven -
Levski Sofia -
Marek -
Cherno More -
Nesebar -
CSKA Sofia -
Pirin Blagoevgrad -
Hebar -
Dobrudzha -
Montana -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -