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Ternana vs Recanatese - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italien Italien

Coppa Italia Serie D Stadio Libero Liberati, Terni
Mi., 21. Okt. 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Unser Tipp

Spielzusammenfassung

A one-off knockout match in the Coppa Italia Serie D. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Ternana at 1.25 goals for, 1.14 against; Recanatese at 1.29 for, 1.54 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (1.00 xG vs 1.38) point toward Ternana. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter

Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form

80%
Ternana
11%
Unentschieden
9%
Recanatese
Unentschieden-Quote: 11% Favorit: Ternana

Modell-Vertrauen

Gesamter Indikatorwert

93% / Sehr Hoch Vertrauen
  • Recanatese haven't matched Ternana's recent run of results.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Ternana taking it.
  • Ternana have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 78%).

Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner

Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie

Über 0.5 Tore 92%
Über 1.5 Tore 82%
Über 2.5 Tore 78%
Über 3.5 Tore 31.5%
Über 4.5 Tore 14%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 75.4%
Ternana Ohne Gegentor 17%
Recanatese Ohne Gegentor 15%

Formanalyse der Teams

Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel

Metrik Ternana Recanatese
Spiele 28 28
Siege 9 7
Unentschieden 9 9
Niederlagen 10 12
Erzielte Tore 1.25 1.29
Gegentore 1.14 1.54
Erwartete Tore (xG) 1.00 1.38
Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten

SokaPicks Momentum-Index

Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)

Ternana 75 / 100
Recanatese 11 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).

Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke

ANGRIFF ABWEHR BALLBESITZ DISZIPLIN
Ternana Recanatese

Vorhersage-Engine

Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte

Haupttipp Ternana Win (1)
Nebentipp Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS-Prognose Yes (GG)
Über/Unter Tipp Over 2.5

Smart Insights

Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster

Ternana found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Recanatese's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

Ternana went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Recanatese's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Tor-Trends

Ternana VS Recanatese
1.38 Erzielte Tore 1.63
1.13 Kassierte Tore 0.63
75% Über 1.5 63%
50% Über 2.5 38%
25% Über 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ternana

(Home)
04 Oct
Ternana
4 : 1
Montevarchi
27 Sept
Scandicci
0 : 0
Ternana
20 Sept
Ternana
3 : 0
Tau
16 Sept
Mezzolara
2 : 1
Ternana
12 Sept
Ternana
1 : 1
Follonica Gavorrano
Page 1 of 6

Recanatese

(Away)
04 Oct
Recanatese
2 : 3
Maceratese
27 Sept
Lanciano FC
4 : 1
Recanatese
20 Sept
Recanatese
0 : 0
Montecchio Gallo
16 Sept
Recanatese
4 : 1
Foligno
12 Sept
Santegidiese
1 : 1
Recanatese
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
AS Biellese 3
Alessandria 2
Valenzana 3
Saluzzo 2
Villa Valle 2
Tritium 1
Brusaporto 2
Chievo 1
Real Calepina 0
AC Leon 2
Varese FC 2
Pro Patria 5
Pavia 1
Sant'Angelo 3
Sanremese 5
Millesimo 2
Cjarlins Muzane 2
Brian Lignano 1
Este 0
Caldiero Terme 2
Mestre 0
Schio 2
Clodiense 2
Campodarsego 1
Lentigione 1
Piacenza 3
Sasso Marconi 1
Cittadella Vis Modena 0
Sestri Levante 1
Pistoiese 0
Seravezza Pozzi 1
Lucchese 2
Terranuova Traiana 0
Prato 3
Ternana -
Recanatese -
Ancona 2
Fossombrone 1
Flaminia 0
Siena 3
Unipomezia 3
Teramo 4
Latte Dolce 3
Sarrabus Ogliastra 0
Aquila Calcio 5
Termoli 2
Paganese 1
Real Normanna 2
Certosa V. Campagnano 4
Albalonga 1
Nocerina 1
Turris 2
Fidelis Andria 2
Bisceglie 1
Virtus Francavilla 3
Gravina 0
Lamezia 2
Gelbison 3
Igea Virtus 3
Reggina 2
Calcio Avola 0
ASD Modica Calcio 4
Trapani 1
Licata 2
1/16-finals
AS Biellese -
Valenzana -
Villa Valle -
Brusaporto -
AC Leon -
Pro Patria -
Sant'Angelo -
Sanremese -
Cjarlins Muzane -
Caldiero Terme -
Schio -
Clodiense -
Piacenza -
Sasso Marconi -
Sestri Levante -
Lucchese -
Prato -
TBD -
Ancona -
Siena -
Teramo -
Latte Dolce -
Aquila Calcio -
Real Normanna -
Certosa V. Campagnano -
Turris -
Fidelis Andria -
Virtus Francavilla -
Gelbison -
Igea Virtus -
ASD Modica Calcio -
Licata -
1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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